Louisville/UNC NCAA PICK

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  • mofome
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-19-07
    • 13003

    #1
    Louisville/UNC NCAA PICK
    Two of the hottest teams in the country lock up tonight in Charlotte. Both the Louisville Cardinals and the North Carolina Tar Heels annihilated their opponents in the sweet 16 creating a matchup that should draw interest from fans all over the country.

    UNC is currently a six point favorite which isn’t all that surprising, but what is a bit odd, in my opinion, is the fact that the public is all over the favorites here. Louisville comes out of the nation’s best conference, they played the sixth toughest schedule, they have one of the best tournament coaches college basketball has seen, and they still don’t seem to be getting a lot of respect from the public.

    Not much needs to be said about UNC. They have cruised through the SEC tournament runner up and a Washington State team that was in the top 25 all season. I can’t imagine a team having any more confidence that UNC does right now, but it wasn’t long ago that the Tar Heels used a buzzer beater to get past Virginia Tech and then were challenged by the Clemson Tigers. North Carolina is a great team, but it seems that bookmakers may be over compensating a bit for public perception.

    Discounting their first round game, UNC has won by an average of 26 pionts and shown that they can win a track meet or a game played in the 60s. Neither of the Tar Heels opponents have been within six points in a single half, much less for the game. Rick Pitino's bunch has been just as impressive. Louisville has run with the Vols and walked with the Sooner while holding each under 34% from the field.

    The best line I see on the game, for taking the dog, is laying the six at -104 and that’s what I’ll do today. The Cardinals have size, speed, and they’ve shot the ball well through the opening rounds of the tournament. I wouldn’t be surprised if they played well enough to advance to the Final Four, I would be surprised if they got blown out.


    Louisville +6

  • pavyracer
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-12-07
    • 82842

    #2
    Good Luck. Pick seems solid. I'm on NC ML because game will be close. When two excellent coaches meet in finals the games are always close. Game will be like poker play.
    Comment
    • mofome
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 12-19-07
      • 13003

      #3
      Originally posted by pavyracer
      Good Luck. Pick seems solid. I'm on NC ML because game will be close. When two excellent coaches meet in finals the games are always close. Game will be like poker play.


      thanks for the feedback pavy. this game, and the mem/tx game, should be great to watch.
      Comment
      • jjgold
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 07-20-05
        • 388179

        #4
        I love cards also, they are going to rattle them with the great D
        Comment
        • mofome
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-19-07
          • 13003

          #5
          Originally posted by jjgold
          I love cards also, they are going to rattle them with the great D

          added a bit.

          glad you're on this one jj. u like'em ml or just taking the points?
          Comment
          • MJFtheGenius
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 05-31-07
            • 7257

            #6
            Originally posted by jjgold
            I love cards also, they are going to rattle them with the great D
            just like washington st did
            Comment
            • mofome
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 12-19-07
              • 13003

              #7
              Originally posted by MJFtheGenius
              just like washington st did


              washington state and louisville have similar athletes.
              Comment
              • BigLee55
                SBR Hustler
                • 03-03-08
                • 93

                #8
                gotta go with my boys the Heels. UNC by 15
                Comment
                • Wrigley
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-28-07
                  • 7268

                  #9
                  I was liking the cards Mo and this write up just help with that decision.

                  Lets get them you have been hot!
                  Comment
                  • St. Andrew
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-23-08
                    • 2265

                    #10
                    Originally posted by jjgold
                    I love cards also, they are going to rattle them with the great D
                    I remember hearing how Washington State, with that great D of theirs, would rattle them too.

                    Game is in Charlotte. Enough said.
                    Comment
                    • mofome
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-19-07
                      • 13003

                      #11
                      Originally posted by St. Andrew
                      I remember hearing how Washington State, with that great D of theirs, would rattle them too.

                      Game is in Charlotte. Enough said.


                      wsu isn't a top 50 defense.

                      enough said.
                      Comment
                      • twtb19
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 12-08-07
                        • 553

                        #12
                        I am with you on this MO, good writeup and I am taking the money line for Louisville.
                        Comment
                        • szaidi99
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 01-09-08
                          • 484

                          #13
                          i want to bet the over/under on this game, what do you guys think?

                          a track meet, or a slow down defensive game?
                          Comment
                          • thegreatdiatchi
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-07-08
                            • 1154

                            #14
                            Louisville 1st half and UNC -6.

                            I really don't see UNC losing this game but I could see Louisville's defense giving them problems early on esp if the shot is off. Ultimately I just think UNC is too good.
                            Comment
                            • St. Andrew
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-23-08
                              • 2265

                              #15
                              Originally posted by mofome
                              wsu isn't a top 50 defense.

                              enough said.
                              WTF? Washington State ranked second nationally in scoring defense (56.1 points per game).
                              Comment
                              • mofome
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-19-07
                                • 13003

                                #16
                                Originally posted by St. Andrew
                                WTF? Washington State ranked second nationally in scoring defense (56.1 points per game).


                                wow, that is neat. They play a slow game and therefore allow fewer points. that does not actually mean they play good defense. don't let facts cloud your thinking.

                                Comment
                                • Weezy F.
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 03-29-08
                                  • 953

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by szaidi99
                                  i want to bet the over/under on this game, what do you guys think?

                                  a track meet, or a slow down defensive game?
                                  I'm think we will see some defense tonight, under 155 for me.
                                  Comment
                                  • mofome
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-19-07
                                    • 13003

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by Weezy F.
                                    I'm think we will see some defense tonight, under 155 for me.
                                    suuwooo gang..if u aint wit it, then ure in the food chain


                                    Comment
                                    • Weezy F.
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 03-29-08
                                      • 953

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by mofome
                                      suuwooo gang..if u aint wit it, then ure in the food chain


                                      Yesssir!!
                                      Comment
                                      • brock
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-07-08
                                        • 8314

                                        #20
                                        Nice write up mofo
                                        Comment
                                        • Bigcrank23
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 11-14-06
                                          • 276

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by szaidi99
                                          i want to bet the over/under on this game, what do you guys think?

                                          a track meet, or a slow down defensive game?
                                          So tempted to play this over but I might resist the urge...Anyone have an idea of how L-ville will play this game? I know they have the athletes to run the floor with N.C. but is that really the kinda game they want to get into? I could see the winner of this game topping the 80 mark while the loser (L-ville ) should be in the upper 70s. Thoughts?
                                          Comment
                                          • Mr Nuts
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-22-05
                                            • 1383

                                            #22
                                            I like Carolina -6
                                            Comment
                                            • rjt721
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 02-06-07
                                              • 7929

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by St. Andrew
                                              WTF? Washington State ranked second nationally in scoring defense (56.1 points per game).
                                              Wazzou's 335th in possessions per game.

                                              I like Lville + as well tonight.
                                              Comment
                                              • goldengoat
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-25-05
                                                • 3239

                                                #24
                                                anyone else like team total NC under 80?
                                                Comment
                                                • mofome
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 12-19-07
                                                  • 13003

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by goldengoat
                                                  anyone else like team total NC under 80?
                                                  the total in this one is a tough one for me to figure. gl with what you play on it GG
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Rowdy Rolex
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 03-26-08
                                                    • 223

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by goldengoat
                                                    anyone else like team total NC under 80?
                                                    I'm not bettin it but I see UNC in the mid to upper 80s and Louisville in the 70s...

                                                    could be even higher though if the games filled with turnovers and running the court
                                                    Comment
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