Official Streak for the Cash discussion thread

**JMobile** · 07-19-11, 01:29 AM

Yisman, what you think on the Lee vs Garza for Tuesday?

**lordswing** · 07-19-11, 10:15 AM

looks like more beaver ball tonight, W/L records are important!

**yisman** · 07-19-11, 12:52 PM

Originally posted by JMobile

Yisman, what you think on the Lee vs Garza for Tuesday?

I think that the Phillies will likely win.

As of now, I'm not betting it, and it's not on streak.

**neverstoppers23** · 07-19-11, 12:57 PM

I have been too depressed to start picking again, after Rory ****** me up the ass. I knew I should of just waited for the baseball game. Still time to beat the longest streak, if I get started tonight.

**yisman** · 07-20-11, 01:54 AM

This cycling prop is even harder to figure than Tuesday's.

France/Australia/Belgium should be favored, but it's hard to tell by how much. Pass.

**craigpb** · 07-20-11, 03:22 AM

Soccer game looks easier; will see how it moves.

**l7ustin** · 07-20-11, 07:34 AM

up to a 4 streak. not really likeing baseball games. what do you guys think

**ThaddeusB** · 07-20-11, 12:06 PM

Originally posted by l7ustin

up to a 4 streak. not really likeing baseball games. what do you guys think

Significant favorites are rare in baseball, and all the early games are basically pure coin flips today. Rosenberg at 2:45, however, is a huge favorite (~-225 no juice). That's where my W7 is going.

**lordswing** · 07-20-11, 01:16 PM

i've had 19 soccer picks and 5 mlb picks this month, baseball just takes too long unless you're playing the quick props

**craigpb** · 07-20-11, 11:23 PM

Guessing AOC is favored in cycling since Contador hasn't done much.

**lordswing** · 07-21-11, 12:12 AM

Originally posted by craigpb

Guessing AOC is favored in cycling since Contador hasn't done much.

don't guess, 'cause you'd be wrong

**yisman** · 07-21-11, 01:33 AM

Biggest tossup of any of the cycling props to this point.

My calculations put Contador/Sanchez at about 50.8%.

**craigpb** · 07-21-11, 02:23 AM

How does it change once you factor that Contador only has like 3 stage wins ever?

**l7ustin** · 07-21-11, 08:50 AM

went with the bo sox yesterday. looking at detroit today with my W5 think verlander will bounce back. and detroit is basically better in every way than the twins

**l7ustin** · 07-21-11, 08:52 AM

honka win or draw seems like a decent play too. anyone good at picking golf??

**lordswing** · 07-21-11, 08:57 AM

Originally posted by craigpb

How does it change once you factor that Contador only has like 3 stage wins ever?

I look at odds, not at small sample sizes

Originally posted by yisman

Biggest tossup of any of the cycling props to this point.

My calculations put Contador/Sanchez at about 50.8%.

TG had Sanchez at -140, which is probably closer to -115/-120, I took the pair since I only have a W1

**yisman** · 07-21-11, 10:29 AM

Originally posted by lordswing

TG had Sanchez at -140, which is probably closer to -115/-120, I took the pair since I only have a W1

Betfair had him at +140.

Could've avoided this, but I decided to switch from no run to yes run a few seconds too late. They locked me into the pick. Otherwise, I would've been at 3 and skipped this tossup.

Honkers next.

**CaDDyy** · 07-21-11, 10:59 AM

take the mets

**lordswing** · 07-21-11, 04:56 PM

Originally posted by yisman

Betfair had him at +140.

Could've avoided this, but I decided to switch from no run to yes run a few seconds too late. They locked me into the pick. Otherwise, I would've been at 3 and skipped this tossup.

Honkers next.

BetFair's liquidity was also $30 when I checked, so I'll take The Greek's #s anyday. It's still a coin flip prop, so w/e

Beaver night for me

**yisman** · 07-21-11, 05:35 PM

I wouldn't take the Greek's numbers on cycling props if I'm trying to find a fair price.

**rm18** · 07-21-11, 09:14 PM

Cant believe nobody is over 19 this month I am at 9 if Tigers hold on got maybe a one in 500 shot to take this down

**goofyre** · 07-21-11, 10:19 PM

This month has been brutally hard it seems. Hopefully I can make a run.

**neverstoppers23** · 07-21-11, 11:25 PM

I have won good streak left in me, at just two games now. But If i pick the best baseball game per day, I think i can get to 10 just in time to roar and win this thing.

**ThaddeusB** · 07-21-11, 11:32 PM

Spain/Luxemborg is a significant favorite for tomorrow's cycling prop. The Schlecks (Lux) + Contador (Spa) is already 58%. Through in some miscellaneous small chances and it should be well over 60%.

**ThaddeusB** · 07-21-11, 11:34 PM

Originally posted by l7ustin

anyone good at picking golf??

On the 9 hole props, the tie is worth so much that the side with it will basically always be favored.

**yisman** · 07-21-11, 11:34 PM

Originally posted by neverstoppers23

I have won good streak left in me, at just two games now. But If i pick the best baseball game per day, I think i can get to 10 just in time to roar and win this thing.

If you can get 8 baseball games right in a row, I'll take my hat off to you.

as for cycling, as thad said, the pick is clearly spain/lux. Luxembourg is a tiny country, but the Schleck are from there. This prop gives you the three favorites (by far and away) to win the stage

<table id="runnerTable" class="runnerTable "><tbody id="runnerTbody" class=" "><tr id="runner_29908373" class="cacheable runner "><td class="info border">Andy Schleck
</td> <td id="EBP_0_29908373" class="cacheable b1 back buttonWidth buttonContainer "> 5.8

</td> <td id="ELP_0_29908373" class="cacheable l1 lay layDisplay buttonWidth buttonContainer "> 5.9

</td> <td class="rightSpacer"> </td> </tr> <tr id="runner_29908374" class="cacheable runner "> <td class="info border"> Frank Schleck
</td> <td id="EBP_0_29908374" class="cacheable b1 back buttonWidth buttonContainer ">3.65

</td> <td id="ELP_0_29908374" class="cacheable l1 lay layDisplay buttonWidth buttonContainer "> 3.8

</td> <td class="rightSpacer"> </td> </tr> <tr id="runner_29908375" class="cacheable runner "> <td class="info border"> Alberto Contador
</td> <td id="EBP_0_29908375" class="cacheable b1 back buttonWidth buttonContainer "> 7.2

</td> <td id="ELP_0_29908375" class="cacheable l1 lay layDisplay buttonWidth buttonContainer "> 7.8

</td> <td class="rightSpacer">
</td></tr></tbody></table>

next is Evans at like 20/1.

**neverstoppers23** · 07-22-11, 12:08 AM

Well i am 7/10 in baseball and their usually is one game a day that I think is worthy of my pick. 5-1 in soccer.
1/0 in biking.
then i suck in tennis and golf. I bet on Jason day to have a better front 9 and he tied with the guy, and I bet on Rory to beat out this guy who in the last major missed the cut. And I lost. (that is how i lost my big streak).

Thus I am only going to bet on CFL, soccer and baseball, but mostly baseball.

Also I never had a streak BROKEN UP on a baseball play thus far. In the beginning of the month I got two in a row wrong. so really since then I am 7-1. Then now, I got a game wrong after I got the stupid United States soccer game wrong.
And really, that game I got wrong Clev was up 1-0 , and blew it to the Twins in the bottom of the 9th. Lost it 2-1.

So, be prepared for me to go on an amazing streak, I have major confidence.

**craigpb** · 07-22-11, 01:02 AM

Good luck. Baseball can be unpredictable thanks to the bullpens.

**yisman** · 07-22-11, 01:04 AM

I'd be willing to bet anyone they don't get 8 straight baseball picks right this year in SftC.

Qualifier is that the eight straight has to be within a month, and that they have to be straight up ("who wins", and not the props). Last year I had a sick baseball record and as far as I know, I never got 8 straight right.

**neverstoppers23** · 07-22-11, 02:40 AM

i am willing to bet i can do, I am almost positive. If only i was picking the games I have been gambling on I would be 6-0. Obviously bull pens and starting pitchers can kill you, i ran into a streak where every ace i had had his worst game of the season for four straight bets .

But now I am back on track ready to roar.
What odds do you want to give me, for the rest of the mlb season that i can do 8 games in a row.
15/1?
Id be willing to lay 50 points on it

**rm18** · 07-22-11, 03:05 AM

gonna take Hernandez to get a K in first inning and Dbacks to get my streak to 11 tomorrow

**neverstoppers23** · 07-22-11, 03:15 AM

wait there is a higher streak then 9 in the league?

**yisman** · 07-22-11, 11:25 AM

No, not a higher streak.

Not giving 15/1.

I just missed a pick. +1.5 was the easy pick after cycling lost.

Rough loss on cycling too. French guy edges two Spanish cyclists. France-Sanchez-Contador

**CaDDyy** · 07-22-11, 12:50 PM

how long till the jackpot gets hit? oct?

**craigpb** · 07-23-11, 12:22 AM

Think there has only been 1 27 win streak so doubt it ever gets it.