Early NFL leans

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  • B1GER1C828
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-31-07
    • 10244

    #1
    Early NFL leans
    pitt/balt-no play anymore.

    cincy -3. team hasnt played upto their potential at all yet. expecting a nice showing versus cleveland this weekend.

    ATL -6.5. Atl plays at home vs a disappointing 49ers squad. falcons have played well this season and it will continue vs 49ers this weekend.

    hou -3. Hou got rocked this passed weekend vs the cowboys in HOU. Hou's biggest weakness is their pass defense which by no means is a strength for oakland. Hou should be able to control the ball and move even against oaklands solid pass defense.

    giants -4. Chicago shoulda lost this passed monday but dumb penalties from GNB kept them in it. Chicago's O-line is absolutely terrible and can expect gmen's d-line to walk over them.

    Will take Denv if it moves upto +7, Jags +9 possbily as Jags always play colts tough and it will depend on health of colts WRs, and possible Panthers +13.5 because atl ran allll over saints and panthers have a great running game.

    philly -6. huge emotional game in philly. Rams rolled all over washington last week and expect philly to do even better.

    thoughts?
  • Jericholic
    SBR MVP
    • 02-15-10
    • 3099

    #2
    I'm with you on Atlanta this weekend, good luck!
    Comment
    • dtp
      SBR MVP
      • 09-17-09
      • 2106

      #3
      The only one of your plays I like is NYG. GL.
      Comment
      • Illusion
        Restricted User
        • 08-09-05
        • 25166

        #4
        I love your Giants play. I am still not completely sold on the Bears yet.
        Comment
        • harlee71
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 12-02-09
          • 7202

          #5
          I like #'s 1, 3, and 4. I don't trust the Giants at all, and no way am I giving up pts with them! Cleveland is playing solid and Cincy could show up or not. Until they get it together they are a no play for me. The others I haven't looked into much, but Carolina with that rookie QB, no thank you! The saints will put up at least 24 and I don't know if the Panthers can score 10pts.

          BOL!
          Comment
          • TPowell
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-21-08
            • 18842

            #6
            love the Cincy play, they are a definite playoff team IMO
            Comment
            • B1GER1C828
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 07-31-07
              • 10244

              #7
              Originally posted by Illusion
              I love your Giants play. I am still not completely sold on the Bears yet.
              its my top play so far. havent looked at totals yet tho
              Comment
              • stikymess
                SBR MVP
                • 05-19-10
                • 3288

                #8
                Doesn't Batch get one more start? Think Big Ben out for four games??

                Like Atl.

                Look at San Diego, Playing at home versus a 2-1 Card team that has no business being 2-1. Nothing like the cards coming to town to get an underachieving San Diego team right right.
                Comment
                • Ace_of_Spades
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 10-14-09
                  • 13518

                  #9
                  That win by Pitts last week was bullshit, squarest fukin play wins.
                  Comment
                  • B1GER1C828
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 07-31-07
                    • 10244

                    #10
                    Originally posted by stikymess
                    Doesn't Batch get one more start? Think Big Ben out for four games?? Like Atl. Look at San Diego, Playing at home versus a 2-1 Card team that has no business being 2-1. Nothing like the cards coming to town to get an underachieving San Diego team right right.
                    it was reduced to 3 after he talked to goodell?. if im wrong someone let me know . i havent actually bet any of these yet, but i thot he could come bak week 4
                    Comment
                    • B1GER1C828
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 07-31-07
                      • 10244

                      #11
                      nah your right..its one more week...cancel that play .
                      Comment
                      • stikymess
                        SBR MVP
                        • 05-19-10
                        • 3288

                        #12
                        Originally posted by B1GER1C828
                        nah your right..its one more week...cancel that play .
                        Well glad you didn't pull the trigger, my guess is under may be worth a look. I stay away from the NFL personally.

                        How's the poker treating you? hopefully no more costly disconnects.
                        Comment
                        • B1GER1C828
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 07-31-07
                          • 10244

                          #13
                          Originally posted by stikymess
                          Well glad you didn't pull the trigger, my guess is under may be worth a look. I stay away from the NFL personally. How's the poker treating you? hopefully no more costly disconnects.
                          havent played as i owe sbr points...will get into it eventually.
                          Comment
                          • OTL
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-08-10
                            • 2433

                            #14
                            I think Washington bounces back this week and covers, if not wins straight up. Then again, I won't be betting the NFL anymore. Too random and you see the officials deciding the outcome of the games all too often.
                            Comment
                            • dyeguy
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 07-21-09
                              • 94

                              #15
                              Originally posted by stikymess
                              Doesn't Batch get one more start? Think Big Ben out for four games??

                              Like Atl.

                              Look at San Diego, Playing at home versus a 2-1 Card team that has no business being 2-1. Nothing like the cards coming to town to get an underachieving San Diego team right right.
                              Definitely agree on San Diego this week. They play well at home and should put up 30 on AZ.
                              Comment
                              • Rod1010
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 09-01-10
                                • 6208

                                #16
                                philly -6? you throw the records in the garbage when its an nfc east game. always tight no matter what and i got my money on the skins. like giants-4 tho
                                Comment
                                • MadTiger
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 04-19-09
                                  • 2724

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by harlee71
                                  Cleveland is playing solid
                                  Even though I have been a Cleveland homer for 30+ years, I agree based on objective info.

                                  Cleveland is a few plays away from 3-0. They simply have to tighten up. Believe me, they know how to absolutely stink, and they are not there yet. Far from it.
                                  Comment
                                  • bobbyk1133
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 08-05-10
                                    • 2245

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by B1GER1C828
                                    pitt/balt-no play anymore. cincy -3. team hasnt played upto their potential at all yet. expecting a nice showing versus cleveland this weekend. ATL -6.5. Atl plays at home vs a disappointing 49ers squad. falcons have played well this season and it will continue vs 49ers this weekend. hou -3. Hou got rocked this passed weekend vs the cowboys in HOU. Hou's biggest weakness is their pass defense which by no means is a strength for oakland. Hou should be able to control the ball and move even against oaklands solid pass defense. giants -4. Chicago shoulda lost this passed monday but dumb penalties from GNB kept them in it. Chicago's O-line is absolutely terrible and can expect gmen's d-line to walk over them. Will take Denv if it moves upto +7, Jags +9 possbily as Jags always play colts tough and it will depend on health of colts WRs, and possible Panthers +13.5 because atl ran allll over saints and panthers have a great running game. philly -6. huge emotional game in philly. Rams rolled all over washington last week and expect philly to do even better. thoughts?
                                    I like most of these plays except HOU. It has trap written all over it. AJ is gimpy and their big advantage will be on the ground and in the return game. If OAK could get anything going in the passing game they will make life difficult for HOU. HOU might also be a bit flat after 3 big games in a row.

                                    I agree with the NYG pick too because I think CHI is very overrated at the moment. Having said that, it's hard to put your money in Eli's hands.
                                    Comment
                                    • k13
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 07-16-10
                                      • 18104

                                      #19
                                      The only one I like is Giants and that's at -3, Maybe Denver at 7 too.

                                      Niners/Atlanta, seems easy huh, Niners getting rolled, Atlanta beats the champs on the road now they get to play the 0-3 chumps at home, so we have a 7 to goes straight to 6.5 to get some more atlanta money.....

                                      Wash is one of my fave plays this week.
                                      Comment
                                      • floridagolfer
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-19-08
                                        • 2757

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by TPowell
                                        love the Cincy play, they are a definite playoff team IMO

                                        This is the one line I don't quite get. I don't see this game as essentially a toss-up, as the line would indicate. The disparity in talent between the two teams is quite evident, I do believe. Small underdogs are off to a great start so far this season, but this is one game where I think the number should be higher.
                                        Comment
                                        • cornast
                                          SBR Rookie
                                          • 09-20-10
                                          • 18

                                          #21
                                          better waiting a copuple of days....
                                          Comment
                                          • ngates815
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-01-09
                                            • 13845

                                            #22
                                            I think I'm really liking a big teaser this week. Normally do Moneylines parlays.


                                            Buying 14 pts.


                                            Philly +7.5
                                            cincy +11
                                            Jets +9.5
                                            Houston +11
                                            Bears +18
                                            Comment
                                            • B1GER1C828
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 07-31-07
                                              • 10244

                                              #23
                                              thanks for the input guys will prob make decisions tomorrow.
                                              Comment
                                              • ngates815
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-01-09
                                                • 13845

                                                #24
                                                Throw 200 on Cincy/Houston/Bears buying 13.5
                                                Comment
                                                • falconticket
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 09-05-10
                                                  • 3414

                                                  #25
                                                  Like the picks but not giants, may have to ride Chicago again. Take a look at St Louis getting 1 at home.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • TPowell
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 02-21-08
                                                    • 18842

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by floridagolfer;660***7
                                                    This is the one line I don't quite get. I don't see this game as essentially a toss-up, as the line would indicate. The disparity in talent between the two teams is quite evident, I do believe. Small underdogs are off to a great start so far this season, but this is one game where I think the number should be higher.

                                                    Cincy isn't going to blow teams away but 3 is a little low to me. I would put this line at around 6
                                                    Comment
                                                    • hitman2010
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-03-10
                                                      • 1465

                                                      #27
                                                      I like all of them except the Atlanta -6 or 6.5 is too much, this game would be 4 or lower differ.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • B1GER1C828
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 07-31-07
                                                        • 10244

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by TPowell
                                                        Cincy isn't going to blow teams away but 3 is a little low to me. I would put this line at around 6
                                                        ya i had this game around 5.5 or 6 myself actually so i like 3 here.


                                                        Originally posted by hitman2010
                                                        I like all of them except the Atlanta -6 or 6.5 is too much, this game would be 4 or lower differ.
                                                        the line actually is where i figured it to be. i figured it around 7, so 6.5 is close enough. But with that said i think atl still has an edge here and will ride it.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Grosshhit
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 07-10-09
                                                          • 673

                                                          #29
                                                          i like your plays except cleveland and the phily. I think Cleveland has a good showing this week at home against their rivals. They like Cincy havent played to their full potential this year and I think the game stays close and maybe even a win SU for Cleveland.

                                                          I think Washington covers in a hard fought game at Phily. I just dont see Phily covering 6.5. Washington should have a bounce back game here and especially with McNabb going back to Washington, you know he will be hungry for a win after the way Phily fan has straight disrespected his black ass the past 5 years.
                                                          Comment
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