Deciphering 2nd half lines, a case in point

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  • fearless
    Restricted User
    • 08-14-06
    • 4950

    #1
    Deciphering 2nd half lines, a case in point
    New Jersey was a one point underdog at Cleveland with no James... Now it's halftime, with New Jersey leading 47-43, the halftime line at Pinnacle is:

    New Jersey -1 +100 -120 moneyline

    So, does this mean that the oddsmakers knew that New Jersey should have been favored before the game? After all, this halftime line is saying that New Jersey should have been a 4 or 5 point favorite in this game, am I deciphering this right?
  • Data
    SBR MVP
    • 11-27-07
    • 2236

    #2
    NJ closed as -2.5 favorite. They won 1st half by "the line" and now they are favorites to win the second half by the half the line. Pretty common scenario.
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    • pavyracer
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-12-07
      • 82845

      #3
      Originally posted by rainbowworld
      New Jersey was a one point underdog at Cleveland with no James... Now it's halftime, with New Jersey leading 47-43, the halftime line at Pinnacle is:

      New Jersey -1 +100 -120 moneyline

      So, does this mean that the oddsmakers knew that New Jersey should have been favored before the game? After all, this halftime line is saying that New Jersey should have been a 4 or 5 point favorite in this game, am I deciphering this right?
      They want to leave the final score line at -5. -5 is the point where teams start to foul to get the ball back. If they think NJ has a better chance to win they go with them that is -1 second half. If they think Cleveland will win they would have made the line +3.5 Cleveland.
      Comment
      • fearless
        Restricted User
        • 08-14-06
        • 4950

        #4
        Originally posted by Data
        NJ closed as -2.5 favorite. They won 1st half by "the line" and now they are favorites to win the second half by the half the line. Pretty common scenario.
        I bet New Jersey ML +100 less than an hour before the game.
        Comment
        • fearless
          Restricted User
          • 08-14-06
          • 4950

          #5
          Originally posted by pavyracer
          They want to leave the final score line at -5. -5 is the point where teams start to foul to get the ball back. If they think NJ has a better chance to win they go with them that is -1 second half. If they think Cleveland will win they would have made the line +3.5 Cleveland.
          Makes sense, thanks. Do you think 5 is a common number for NBA spreads for this reason?
          Comment
          • Time is Money
            SBR MVP
            • 12-03-07
            • 2255

            #6
            Originally posted by Data
            NJ closed as -2.5 favorite. They won 1st half by "the line" and now they are favorites to win the second half by the half the line. Pretty common scenario.
            Nets started +3.5, dropped to 1 around 4-5 PM and then turned into a pick'em until tip off.. dont know where you saw 2.5 at
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            • fearless
              Restricted User
              • 08-14-06
              • 4950

              #7
              "
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              • Data
                SBR MVP
                • 11-27-07
                • 2236

                #8
                Originally posted by Time is Money
                Nets started +3.5, dropped to 1 around 4-5 PM and then turned into a pick'em until tip off.. dont know where you saw 2.5 at
                TheGreek
                moneylines were -140/+120
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                • Ganchrow
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-28-05
                  • 5011

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Time is Money
                  Nets started +3.5, dropped to 1 around 4-5 PM and then turned into a pick'em until tip off.. dont know where you saw 2.5 at
                  Perhaps at BetJamaica or TheGreek: http://www.sbrforum.com/Scores/NBA+Odds/68515/Side.aspx.
                  Comment
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