1. #1
    stevenash
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    Who has a lean on tonight's Marquette v. Butler game.

    First off I'm in a bit of a funk lately, 2- 5 across my last seven.
    Usually unranked home teams pay me off, lately, babkas.

    Butler's pretty much a mediocre 14-15 team playing in a brutal league.
    Marquette is sixth ranked in the nation, wraps up the Big East league title with a 'W' here.

    Betting line is 8.5 total is 141.

    This game is killing me.

    Like I said, I do like the home dog vs. ranked visitor angle, but that's not been paying me off lately.

    I'm looking at the six February games Butler has played, all Big East games, and if you throw out that miserable home loss to the Hoyas, I'm sorry, a home loss to Georgetown is inexcusable, Butler has been extremely competitive in the other five February games.

    2/4 - The first Marquette game, lose on the road to them 60-52.
    Very respectable loss. if a loss can be respectable?
    Rematch tonight.

    2/7 - Knocks off St. John's in a thriller.

    2/10 - Upsets #14 Xavier by eight, extremely impressive win.

    2/14 - Loses to 'Nova, in 'Nova, not a shameful road loss at all

    2/19 - Brain fart awful loss at home to Georgetown.

    2/22 - Knocks off DePaul on the road by a point.

    Overall, a pretty nice February.

    No need to run down the Big East Beast Marquette.
    Won five straight from Dec-Jan, than a tough loss to Xavier.
    Then won five straight again from Jan-Feb. than got bitch slapped by UConn.
    Currently on a four game win streak, I'm seeing a consistent pattern/trend here, even though trend betting is not always profitable.

    A Marquette win, they lock up the Big East regular season title, so they're playing with a purpose here. If Butler does pull off the home upset, I don't see them losing to St. John's Saturday.

    Butler is locked in to a 8/9 game with St. John's regardless of tonight's outcome, even if they lose the last game Saturday to Xavier, which is likely.
    That's a brutal final two games, Xavier and Marquette.

    Butler, outside of pride has no agenda tonight.
    Is it Senior night there? Not sure.

    The 141 total is equally frustrating.
    Your typical Butler game as of late is like 68-66, Marquette is like 81-71.
    I did the math, no edge on a razor sharp line.

    I'm inclined to take the home dog.

    Thoughts?

  2. #2
    Renegades
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    If Butler dictates the tempo they will cover but that is so hard to predict.

  3. #3
    hawkwind
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    Butler ml

  4. #4
    Slow Fanta
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    Don't know bout ML but like em to cover with Bates starting.

  5. #5
    johnnyvegas13
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    Think butler hangs but loses

  6. #6
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by hawkwind View Post
    Butler ml
    Line closed 8.5
    I told myself anything over 7.0 is a slight value.

    I'm on Butler + 8.5, small forty dollar action/value wager.

    Best of luck all.
    (total is just too tight, might revisit that at HT)

  7. #7
    trobin31
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    I knew a lady with a stump for a leg, her name was Eileen. I lean butler points but thatís a stay away for me

  8. #8
    johnnyvegas13
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    Nash u like seton hall ml +105 tonight?

  9. #9
    Renegades
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    Cant get much worse than Butler offense tonight. Wow

    even Mt Saint Marys plays better lol

  10. #10
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by johnnyvegas13 View Post
    Nash u like seton hall ml +105 tonight?
    SH or pass.
    Lean Hall, but the game doesn't really get my juices flowing here.

  11. #11
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Renegades View Post
    Cant get much worse than Butler offense tonight. Wow

    even Mt Saint Marys plays better lol
    I'll see your Mt. St. Mary's and raise you my 'beloved' Fairfield Stags.

  12. #12
    johnnyvegas13
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    I took hall Nash just so ya know

  13. #13
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by johnnyvegas13 View Post
    I took hall Nash just so ya know
    Best of luck..
    I love to bust your balls, but you're a decent fella.

    I'm passing there, I got my eye on a couple of West Coast NBA games a little later.

    Hey, looky here, six points from a Butler back door cover.
    Who knows?

  14. #14
    Nate rasta
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    Who are you leaning tonight for NBA nash?

  15. #15
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nate rasta View Post
    Who are you leaning tonight for NBA nash?
    Clips/Wolves OVER 232
    I'm kind of cold lately though, tail at own risk, but there should be a shit ton of points in that one.

  16. #16
    Nate rasta
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    Clips/Wolves OVER 232
    I'm kind of cold lately though, tail at own risk, but there should be a shit ton of points in that one.
    Right on.gl

  17. #17
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by Nate rasta View Post
    Right on.gl
    Thanks.
    Not for nothing 30 minutes ago the total was 232, I just went to place my wager, it was 230.
    Interesting, it's not a major move, but just enough of a move to make me think.

    Gobert is officially starting, upgraded from GTD, that's the only reason I can think of as to why the total would move two points, but as terrific he is on defense, he can score down low too.

    Since I'm still on a mini cooler, my wager is only a small 40 dollar OVER 230.

    I'm big on money management, I press up on a heater, I 'll keep is small and simple when on a cooler

    Best of luck again, this old school classic is for you.





  18. #18
    Nate rasta
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    Nice,thank you sir. She is still touring the U.S. and doing shows

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