1. #1
    Poisec
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    Insane value on France vs Morocco

    All praise is on Morocco right now, understandably so, but they are running on adrenaline with some fitness / injury issues, and will face a strong French team.

    France -1 (asian handicap) at -102 looks really great to me.
    France -2 (asian handicap) at +360 (Betfair) is worth a try.

    IMO the French team will win by at least 2 goals, my prediction is 3-0 or 4-0.

    BOL everyone.

  2. #2
    EddieMusher
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    France to advance @ 1.24

  3. #3
    Jayvegas420
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    1st...You're only getting $0.60 more on the dollar vs. taking ML
    also...if your prediction is right, isn't there a ton more value in the over 2.5 (+130)?

  4. #4
    jjgold
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    These lines are priced perfectly. You could bet 1 million dollars on it.

  5. #5
    Poisec
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    Quote Originally Posted by Jayvegas420 View Post
    1st...You're only getting $0.60 more on the dollar vs. taking ML
    also...if your prediction is right, isn't there a ton more value in the over 2.5 (+130)?
    I don't think Morocco scores any goal in this match, for better odds I'd definitely go with France to score over 2.5 goals, +280.

  6. #6
    Poisec
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    Some other bets worth a shot, great odds:
    France wins 3-0, +1200
    France wins 4-0, +2200
    France wins 5-0, +5000

  7. #7
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Poisec View Post
    Some other bets worth a shot, great odds:
    France wins 3-0, +1200
    France wins 4-0, +2200
    France wins 5-0, +5000
    Sure, you could be right. It doesn't bother you that you're asking a team to crease a Defense that hasn't allowed a goal (excluding one Own Goal) all tournament (5 games)?
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  8. #8
    pologq
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    i think it will be very tough for morocco to score. the question is can france score on this defense in full time? i am willing to take a chance on france.

  9. #9
    Poisec
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Sure, you could be right. It doesn't bother you that you're asking a team to crease a Defense that hasn't allowed a goal (excluding one Own Goal) all tournament (5 games)?
    Yeah long shots, they have some fitness and injuries affecting the team though.

  10. #10
    k13
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    Very unlikely they score 3-4 goals.
    ML looks fishy low.

  11. #11
    JIBBBY
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    Morocco keeps surprising that's all I know. Tough to fade this team now.

  12. #12
    jjgold
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    There’s never value in any high liquid market

  13. #13
    hostile takeover
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    If France can get 1 it will open the flood gates. Morocco will have to come out of their shell for the first time all tourney.

  14. #14
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Poisec View Post
    Yeah long shots, they have some fitness and injuries affecting the team though.
    For sure. You have to think Morocco would have to be at Full Strength to win:

    *Morocco will be without striker Walid Cheddira, who picked up two bookings within a minute after coming on as a substitute in their shock win over Portugal.

    *And MAR has two injury concerns for the Semifinal:
    ...Nayef Aguerd missed the game against Portugal with a thigh injury and Romain Saiss, Morocco's captain, was carried off on a stretcher with a suspected left hamstring injury.

  15. #15
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by hostile takeover View Post
    If France can get 1 it will open the flood gates. Morocco will have to come out of their shell for the first time all tourney.
    This is possible. I'm not trying to talk the OP out of his bet strategy.

    Morocco could be undone here. Just stating that it would have to be against the recent MAR defensive form.

  16. #16
    Al Masters
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    Quote Originally Posted by Poisec View Post
    Some other bets worth a shot, great odds:
    France wins 3-0, +1200
    France wins 4-0, +2200
    France wins 5-0, +5000
    You’re fucckked if they win 6-0.

  17. #17
    lakerboy
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    The draw is +290/300.

    That should tell you everything you need to know on this game.

  18. #18
    jjgold
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    Why do books offer 100,000 up to 1 million any side??

  19. #19
    slayer14
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    Just make a big bet on France money line if you confident

  20. #20
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Why do books offer 100,000 up to 1 million any side??
    3 way line.

    That doesn't mean you can't win though.

  21. #21
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Imagine if this guy was suiting up:


  22. #22
    Optional
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    Quote Originally Posted by hostile takeover View Post
    If France can get 1 it will open the flood gates. Morocco will have to come out of their shell for the first time all tourney.
    ^^^ that's what i think too.

    But if France do not score first half, could end up 1-0 or even a draw i think.

  23. #23
    bhoor
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Imagine if this guy was suiting up:

    He was a good player in EPL . But he won't do well against a tight competition,

  24. #24
    alittleboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Al Masters View Post
    You’re fucckked if they win 6-0.
    small bet on 6-0 to cover risks?

  25. #25
    Orbison
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    Quote Originally Posted by Poisec View Post
    I don't think Morocco scores any goal in this match
    France is leaky in the back and has conceded in each match

  26. #26
    lakerboy
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    Quote Originally Posted by Orbison View Post
    France is leaky in the back and has conceded in each match
    Poland was not really a goal

  27. #27
    Orbison
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    fair enough but they give up space and chances

  28. #28
    Enkhbat
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    Quote Originally Posted by alittleboy View Post
    small bet on 6-0 to cover risks?
    You are never gonna cover all the risks, the game could end 3-1, 4-1
    I think Morocco will score at some point if France scores 2 early goals.

  29. #29
    Poisec
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    Quote Originally Posted by Al Masters View Post
    You’re fucckked if they win 6-0.
    This is not tennis bro

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