1. #1
    LT Profits
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    NFL Picks – Week 6

    THURSDAY, 10/13
    Commanders PK -110
    Commanders / Bears UNDER 38 -108

    SUNDAY, 10/16
    Buccaneers -8 -108


    YTD: 32-25, +5.31

  2. #2
    stake1
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    Best of luck in week 6, hope you match your week 5!

  3. #3
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Good Luck, LT. Tell me it wouldn't be nice to have WASH at the dog price.

    Any chance we see the Bears tick to Fav b4 kickoff?

  4. #4
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Good Luck, LT. Tell me it wouldn't be nice to have WASH at the dog price.

    Any chance we see the Bears tick to Fav b4 kickoff?
    I am starting to see Was -1s pop up know, so don't think you'll get your wish.

  5. #5
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    Wentz is 3-0 vs the Bears and 6-0 on TNF, make of it what you will.

  6. #6
    LT Profits
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    1 NFL Pick Addition Sunday

    THURSDAY, 10/13
    Commanders PK -110
    Commanders / Bears UNDER 38 -108

    SUNDAY, 10/16
    Buccaneers -8 -108
    Cowboys / Eagles UNDER 42 -108

  7. #7
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I am starting to see Was -1s pop up know, so don't think you'll get your wish.
    Ya, I WHIFFED on the line.

  8. #8
    eddycash
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    I think way too many sharps are on sorry azz Wentz tonight. Gonna be another disaster most likely. Washington's head coach is a loser since day 1.

  9. #9
    michaellewis1098
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    Let’s do this! Tailing

  10. #10
    RavensFan2k3
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    Commanders!!

  11. #11
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    THURSDAY, 10/13
    Commanders PK -110
    Commanders / Bears UNDER 38 -108
    Good one, LT. Have a nice wkend.

  12. #12
    stake1
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    What’s new? Lt starts right where he left off, 2-0 sweep tonite and that is now 7-1 since week 5

  13. #13
    EddieMusher
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    Nice picks LT

  14. #14
    jrgum3
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    The books must've gotten hammered on that Under 38. I played that one even though generally speaking I don't get involved with unders below 40. This one made too much sense though because both teams defenses are pretty solid statistically and their offenses rank among the worst in the league.

  15. #15
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by stake1 View Post
    What’s new? Lt starts right where he left off, 2-0 sweep tonite and that is now 7-1 since week 5
    Actually 9-1? You only counted the 5-1 Sunday, but I won last Thursday (Colts) and then Monday (Over)

  16. #16
    jjgold
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    LT in a zone

    We always praise him when deserved and hammer him when deserved

  17. #17
    stake1
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Actually 9-1? You only counted the 5-1 Sunday, but I won last Thursday (Colts) and then Monday (Over)
    all apologies Lt. 90% run!

  18. #18
    LT Profits
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    5 NFL Picks Sunday

    5 Plays Sunday

    SUNDAY, 10/16
    Buccaneers -8 -108
    Bengals / Saints UNDER 42.5 -108
    Jets / Packers UNDER 45 -105
    Panthers / Rams UNDER 41.5 -108
    Cowboys / Eagles UNDER 42 -108


    YTD: 34-25, +7.31

  19. #19
    jjgold
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    a lot of unders there

  20. #20
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    Unders are 46-34 in the NFL thus far, LT looks ready to roll.

  21. #21
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post
    Unders are 46-34 in the NFL thus far, LT looks ready to roll.
    Good info, Horse. Ya, PPG is down about 3pts from last year.

    This is CONTRARY to the normal trend of pts going up. My opinion is that it's tied to:
    *the monsoon that generated a weird final in Chi/SF game.
    *Some of the wind/rain games in the Northeast (via the Hurricane effect).

    And some QB play has been terrible. If had to win a Bar Bet...I would take:
    *more Overs than Unders in remaining 15 NFL games this week.

  22. #22
    LT Profits
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    3 NFL Pick Additions Sunday

    8 Plays Sunday

    SUNDAY, 10/16
    Buccaneers -8 -108
    Saints +3 -108
    Bengals / Saints UNDER 42.5 -108
    Jaguars +1.5 -107
    Jaguars / Colts UNDER 41 -106

    Jets / Packers UNDER 45 -105
    Panthers / Rams UNDER 41.5 -108
    Cowboys / Eagles UNDER 42 -108

  23. #23
    Str8Mush4Life
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    Jesus that 2 point conversion fail might fk up that Jags/Colts game.........

  24. #24
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by Str8Mush4Life View Post
    Jesus that 2 point conversion fail might fk up that Jags/Colts game.........
    Life on the wire. -1.5/-2 in play.

  25. #25
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Interesting to see how the Totals play out. Looks like MOST of the early games are going over.

    Any weather issues on the late games?

  26. #26
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Interesting to see how the Totals play out. Looks like MOST of the early games are going over.

    Any weather issues on the late games?
    I might be premature on that. Still some games to play out.

  27. #27
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChuckyTheGoat View Post
    Good info, Horse. Ya, PPG is down about 3pts from last year.

    This is CONTRARY to the normal trend of pts going up. My opinion is that it's tied to:
    *the monsoon that generated a weird final in Chi/SF game.
    *Some of the wind/rain games in the Northeast (via the Hurricane effect).

    And some QB play has been terrible. If had to win a Bar Bet...I would take:
    *more Overs than Unders in remaining 15 NFL games this week.
    Don't have any numbers but just based on observation it seems like they're not calling as many ticky tack PI penalties this year.

  28. #28
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post
    Don't have any numbers but just based on observation it seems like they're not calling as many ticky tack PI penalties this year.
    That's very good information. Thanks. I'll check vs the site:

    *I know that Rush TDs were down in the first three weeks but they rebounded to 2021 levels.

    I will look more at the Pass Interference calls. That has to be the missing link.

    BTW, my prediction of Overs appears to be wrong. More Unders this week. Will see where they set next week's lines.

  29. #29
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    I do know that last year the dogs and unders dominated for the first nine or ten weeks then there was a liitle bit of regression. I'm thinking maybe now with legalized gambling there's so much more new money in the pools, most of it square money which invariably goes to the chalk and overs.

  30. #30
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by DrunkHorseplayer View Post
    I do know that last year the dogs and unders dominated for the first nine or ten weeks then there was a liitle bit of regression. I'm thinking maybe now with legalized gambling there's so much more new money in the pools, most of it square money which invariably goes to the chalk and overs.
    I think you're on to something, Horse. Favs and Overs.

    I don't cap Totals. Would think it's very challenging, a lot to dissect.

  31. #31
    LT Profits
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    MONDAY, 10/17
    Broncos +4 -108


    YTD: 36-31, +2.86

    Note: missed the +4.5 I intended to play due to lengthy phone call before I hit Submit
    Last edited by LT Profits; 10-17-22 at 11:32 PM. Reason: typo. YTD units was +2.86
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: ChuckyTheGoat

  32. #32
    jjgold
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    Nothing wrong with that figure right now

  33. #33
    ChuckyTheGoat
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    MONDAY, 10/17
    Broncos +4 -108


    YTD: 36-31, +3.86

    Note: missed the +4.5 I intended to play due to lengthy phone call before I hit Submit
    John Harold Walker?

  34. #34
    unusialsusp5
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Actually 9-1? You only counted the 5-1 Sunday, but I won last Thursday (Colts) and then Monday (Over)
    You did and then were a horrific 2-6 on a critical Sunday. Football handicapping is not your strength. And you are too infatuated with totals.

  35. #35
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by unusialsusp5 View Post
    You did and then were a horrific 2-6 on a critical Sunday. Football handicapping is not your strength. And you are too infatuated with totals.
    I would not say infatuated, I usually have a mix of sides and totals.

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