1. #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB Picks - Monday, 8/29/22

    3 MLB Plays Monday

    Red Sox +118
    Phillies / Diamondbacks OVER 9 +107
    Padres / Giants OVER 7.5 +102


    YTD: 289-302-16, -20.58


    All plays are Listed Pitchers unless ACTION is stated

    Season low was -35.16 entering games of Thursday, 8/11/22

  2. #2
    LT Profits
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    1 MLB Pick Addition

    4 MLB Plays Monday

    Red Sox +118
    Diamondbacks +158
    Phillies / Diamondbacks OVER 9 +107
    Padres / Giants OVER 7.5 +102

  3. #3
    Chiefs83
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    BetParx has Redsox +140 as part of some promo…I live in NJ

  4. #4
    jjgold
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    Let’s have a good week LT

  5. #5
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chiefs83 View Post
    BetParx has Redsox +140 as part of some promo…I live in NJ
    Nice boost, I see no higher than +110 for real line right now.

  6. #6
    spippen
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    LT good luck today.

    Some of the plays you post are based on "weak lines" compared to your "model lines"?

    Question: when a price moves from a -103 to a -120 per say, would such a play have never made it into your official play had that been the price to begin with? I think lots of your plays only make the cut under strict pricing, correct?

    Thanks

  7. #7
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by spippen View Post
    LT good luck today.

    Some of the plays you post are based on "weak lines" compared to your "model lines"?

    Question: when a price moves from a -103 to a -120 per say, would such a play have never made it into your official play had that been the price to begin with? I think lots of your plays only make the cut under strict pricing, correct?

    Thanks
    Well, ALL my plays have variances between model line and actual line at time of wager. The capping part comes in deciding which variances to act on and which ones to pass.

    As for your last part, it depends how far initial line was from model line. If model has 57% (-133), move from -103 to -120 would still be playable. If model has 54% (-117), then priced out at -120.

  8. #8
    spippen
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Well, ALL my plays have variances between model line and actual line at time of wager. The capping part comes in deciding which variances to act on and which ones to pass.

    As for your last part, it depends how far initial line was from model line. If model has 57% (-133), move from -103 to -120 would still be playable. If model has 54% (-117), then priced out at -120.
    Thank you sir.

  9. #9
    spippen
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    nice day

  10. #10
    LT Profits
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    Arizona was never in doubt

  11. #11
    pavyracer
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    Look at the haters today. LT goes 3-1 +2.67 units and no one is trolling. That's because they lost fading him.

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