1. #1
    johnnyvegas13
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    Cardinals to win World Series +4000

    On it

  2. #2
    slayer14
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    Wainwright is the key

  3. #3
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by johnnyvegas13 View Post
    On it
    Cards true odds of winning the pennant are 7.4 %, and the true odds of the Cards winning the World Series is 2.7 %

    2.7 percent is +3700 (rounded up)

    You're getting +4000 on a +3700 proposition to which I say, good value bet there Johnny,

  4. #4
    jjgold
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    Johnny better off just lighting your money on fire

  5. #5
    ThaWoj
    hope i dont wake up tomorrow
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    We have no pitching. Flaherty cant stay healthy and is a political idiot. Waino is a million years old. Matz blows. Bullpen is absolutely awful. Miles is the only one I trust.

    Then when the pitching is doing ok the offense goes gold. Nolan has more bad games than good. Bader still out. Big Fundi having a great year. Albert washed. Yadi out and washed. We like Gorman and Donovan. Tommy Edman can be a spark sometimes.

  6. #6
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Johnny better off just lighting your money on fire
    40 to 1 is actually value.
    He's getting 40 to 1 though because he's got to get past the Dodgers, then NY Yankees.

    After those two teams the Mets are deeper.
    But there is value in the Cards.

    I never thought I'd be saying this, but there is actually some value in the Yankees.

    The book (DK) is offering +400 on the Yanks, in reality they have a 30.30 percent chance of winning it all which translates into +330 real odds.


    There is no value in the Mets.

    The biggest ripoff I've seen so far, (and I'll make an elaborate post tomorrow pointing out real all the value is) the real ripoff are the Braves.
    The Braves have in reality have a 4.50% chance of winning the WS, at 4.50% means you need +2220 better, DK is offering you +800, almost triple more than real value.

  7. #7
    TheMoneyShot
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    Who's going to take down the Yanks? Looks like a well oiled machine... and then some.

  8. #8
    Kermit
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    I don't see anyone beating the Yankees.

    They're like the Gas House Gorillas.

  9. #9
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheMoneyShot View Post
    Who's going to take down the Yanks? Looks like a well oiled machine... and then some.
    In the AL, Houston and only have a punchers chance.
    Only one team is coming out of the AL Central, and I really admire what Seattle is doing, as a former catcher myself, I love Servais.
    Not only was he a very smart defensive catcher, he's held a couple of high front office posts before becoming their bench manager.
    I loved what he did last season, he started the season with his first four rotation starters all lefties, and in the bullpen had six righties (two LHP)
    I love the way he thinks.

    Now having said all that, this is where I get off.
    The M's can not and will not continue this streak much longer.
    If you're feeling frisky and have a disposable twenty hanging around your desk draw, you can try to turn that 20 into a grand at 50:1
    Know this though, set aside all the accolades they are getting right now, they only do have in reality a 2.3 % chance winning it all.

    2.3% divided by 100 is +4340, making +5000 them a value, not a super value, but a value nevertheless.

  10. #10
    johnnyvegas13
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    Quote Originally Posted by ThaWoj View Post
    We have no pitching. Flaherty cant stay healthy and is a political idiot. Waino is a million years old. Matz blows. Bullpen is absolutely awful. Miles is the only one I trust.

    Then when the pitching is doing ok the offense goes gold. Nolan has more bad games than good. Bader still out. Big Fundi having a great year. Albert washed. Yadi out and washed. We like Gorman and Donovan. Tommy Edman can be a spark sometimes.
    They really just need to add a good starter imo

    and that should b possible via trade

    if they win the div it’s gonna b dodgers or cards

    nets suck

  11. #11
    johnnyvegas13
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    40 to 1 is actually value.
    He's getting 40 to 1 though because he's got to get past the Dodgers, then NY Yankees.

    After those two teams the Mets are deeper.
    But there is value in the Cards.

    I never thought I'd be saying this, but there is actually some value in the Yankees.

    The book (DK) is offering +400 on the Yanks, in reality they have a 30.30 percent chance of winning it all which translates into +330 real odds.


    There is no value in the Mets.

    The biggest ripoff I've seen so far, (and I'll make an elaborate post tomorrow pointing out real all the value is) the real ripoff are the Braves.
    The Braves have in reality have a 4.50% chance of winning the WS, at 4.50% means you need +2220 better, DK is offering you +800, almost triple more than real value.
    I guess I forgot about the braves

    hoping mets win that div

    they will choke playoffs

  12. #12
    yisman
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    Quote Originally Posted by ThaWoj View Post
    We have no pitching. Flaherty cant stay healthy and is a political idiot. Waino is a million years old. Matz blows. Bullpen is absolutely awful. Miles is the only one I trust.

    Then when the pitching is doing ok the offense goes gold. Nolan has more bad games than good. Bader still out. Big Fundi having a great year. Albert washed. Yadi out and washed. We like Gorman and Donovan. Tommy Edman can be a spark sometimes.
    Yadi went home to PR to play basketball

  13. #13
    ThaWoj
    hope i dont wake up tomorrow
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    Quote Originally Posted by yisman View Post
    Yadi went home to PR to play basketball
    I read he got arrested the other day

  14. #14
    ThaWoj
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    In the AL, Houston and only have a punchers chance.
    Only one team is coming out of the AL Central, and I really admire what Seattle is doing, as a former catcher myself, I love Servais.
    Not only was he a very smart defensive catcher, he's held a couple of high front office posts before becoming their bench manager.
    I loved what he did last season, he started the season with his first four rotation starters all lefties, and in the bullpen had six righties (two LHP)
    I love the way he thinks.

    Now having said all that, this is where I get off.
    The M's can not and will not continue this streak much longer.
    If you're feeling frisky and have a disposable twenty hanging around your desk draw, you can try to turn that 20 into a grand at 50:1
    Know this though, set aside all the accolades they are getting right now, they only do have in reality a 2.3 % chance winning it all.

    2.3% divided by 100 is +4340, making +5000 them a value, not a super value, but a value nevertheless.
    If they can catch Houston somehow I'm in line to win 40k

  15. #15
    gauchojake
    Have Some Asthma
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    Johnny has hit futures on NFL and NBA.... Can he continue the streak in MLB?????

  16. #16
    flyingillini
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    Love the play. Go Cardinals!!!!

  17. #17
    stake1
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    Jv: you have guts pal. they have no pitching. do not buy into those "soto rumors" either. there is no chance they will trade walker and winn for soto
    I mean winn just threw the hardest toss from ss at 100+mph to first base, the owner is the cheapest of anyone with the kind of cash flow that team has. so sure, maybe they add cole hamels, jon lester, and the great tony fossas for the stretch run. but they cannot beat Lad for the pennant

  18. #18
    unde0087
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    There isn't a chance in hell they win, they probably won't make the playoffs, if they make it I hope to God the Mets play them first.

  19. #19
    unde0087
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    So we can clean up the pile of shit they are.

  20. #20
    unde0087
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    Their coach is a total clown.

  21. #21
    johnnyvegas13
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    Quote Originally Posted by stake1 View Post
    Jv: you have guts pal. they have no pitching. do not buy into those "soto rumors" either. there is no chance they will trade walker and winn for soto
    I mean winn just threw the hardest toss from ss at 100+mph to first base, the owner is the cheapest of anyone with the kind of cash flow that team has. so sure, maybe they add cole hamels, jon lester, and the great tony fossas for the stretch run. but they cannot beat Lad for the pennant
    Last sentence exactly what was said about Braves last yr

    dodgers r very beatable

  22. #22
    johnnyvegas13
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    Adding cards to win the div +150

  23. #23
    johnnyvegas13
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    R cards gonna get a pitcher today or what

  24. #24
    stake1
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    Quote Originally Posted by johnnyvegas13 View Post
    R cards gonna get a pitcher today or what
    they did last night: quintana
    they need 2-3 new quality arms. their world series odds are now: +$5,000

  25. #25
    stake1
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    maybe the cardinals trade for eovaldi. longer shot is rodon

  26. #26
    stake1
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    not rodon, but Monty is not shabby. I am pissed the Bombers gave him away to the cardinals for nothing

  27. #27
    johnnyvegas13
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    Quote Originally Posted by stake1 View Post
    not rodon, but Monty is not shabby. I am pissed the Bombers gave him away to the cardinals for nothing
    I woulda preferred a big name but they got guys

    pitching has depth now

    just need some cards devil magic this fall

  28. #28
    DJK
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Johnny better off just lighting your money on fire
    Does it matter when it's only $1?

  29. #29
    unde0087
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    Quote Originally Posted by DJK View Post
    Does it matter when it's only $1?

  30. #30
    unde0087
    Did we win?
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    I would love to see evidence of these plays

  31. #31
    johnnyvegas13
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    Brewee just got swept by the fulkkinnn rats

    cards have a chance I would say

  32. #32
    johnnyvegas13
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    Big series starting today vs brewer

    if they can win this series they have a nice looking schedule after

  33. #33
    pologq
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    cards are there. this is their season.

  34. #34
    flyingillini
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    Cardinals all the way!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! World Series cHampions!

  35. #35
    DrunkHorseplayer
    Redskins forever
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    Quote Originally Posted by TheMoneyShot View Post
    Who's going to take down the Yanks? Looks like a well oiled machine... and then some.
    Other then their 41-13 streak, the Yanks are only 30-28. Granted, the streak was impressive because it was a whole two months and not just a week or two but the Yankees aren't playing like a .600 team right now and they're getting bet to the board; they're going to take a tumble in the playoffs.

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