[homie1975]

He's an extremely live dog. Gaining steam and building momentum here.

I don't wager elections but trump at plus-odds just feels like a great EV play.

He's gonna shred Joe at the debates which begin one month from today.

[gobucks]

-110 both ways at 5 Dimes

[King Mayan]

Lol

[thetrinity]

the debates will be must see tv

[johnnyvegas13]

It is a pk

wasn’t it about +145 just one or two weeks ago

[thetrinity]

^^yep biden picks a vp, has a convention and his odds go down (lol) and then trump got another bump for rnc convention

[jayc88]

I cannot wait for trump to win
Media in europe is bashing trump every single day its getting ridiculous

[pavyracer]

He was +155 as soon as a few weeks back. The question is not whther he wins but whether he will leave the White House when he loses.

[navyblue81]

50/50. New polls today show race tightening. Poll out yesterday showed Trump now ahead in Michigan and Wisconsin. I think it’ll come back down a bit after the bounce but Trump may be an ever-so slight favorite right now and has the better value at +100. The protests are actually helping Trump ironically enough. Giving Dems a bad image.

[iBetSo]

He was +155 as soon as a few weeks back. The question is not whther he wins but whether he will leave the White House when he loses.

I don’t know where all the crazy liberals keep getting this. He’s a billionaire that will make so much more when his time is over. But oh no, he won’t return to his billionaire lifestyle without force. Idiots.

[homie1975]

I don’t know where all the crazy liberals keep getting this. He’s a billionaire that will make so much more when his time is over. But oh no, he won’t return to his billionaire lifestyle without force. Idiots.

It's ego more than the money. If he loses he will blame voter fraud due to mail in voting etc and will fight it in court

[pavyracer]

I don’t know where all the crazy liberals keep getting this. He’s a billionaire that will make so much more when his time is over. But oh no, he won’t return to his billionaire lifestyle without force. Idiots.

Do you even listen to the fukking speeches he makes? He has already said that the Democrats are going to steal the election with mail in voting then he asks for a ballot to vote for himself by mail in Florida.

[jjgold]

He will be -140 election day

[MinnesotaFats]

Most books don't define their bet

Some use pop vote, others election

Trump is -110 /-120 now at most books

Harris sunk him...blacks are scaring the shit out if everybwhite suburban housewife and soccer mom. Last thing the Dems needed was black violence, looting and a black Political candidate on the ticket.

[homie1975]

Do you even listen to the fukking speeches he makes? He has already said that the Democrats are going to steal the election with mail in voting then he asks for a ballot to vote for himself by mail in Florida.

[homie1975]

updated lines from a few of the top books?

[MinnesotaFats]

-110/-120 both ways

Interesting prop bet at Bovada

Will Biden drop out before election was only -1000 (Trump -2500)

State by State bets more interesting

MN, WI, MI, FL, AZ, NV all at -140 or greater for Dems. Half those are going Rep so that's a nice bet there.

[jjgold]

it is just a pick em like most elections

Roll the dice and take trump

[JohnGalt2341]

updated lines from a few of the top books?

Looks like the Books have Biden at about a 51% to 52% winner right now. 538 has Biden at 77%. Either one, or both of these are way off. Most people likely think that it's 538 that is way off. I guess we'll see.

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...tm_source=digg

For any of you SBR point daredevils I found this gem at the SBR Book:

Nov 03 - 8:00 PM				2020 US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION
			1	TRUMP WINS ELECTIONS & POPULAR VOTE			+175
			2	ANY OTHER RESULT			-245

I think the chances of Trump winning the popular vote are very slim to none. There's a 1000 point limit on this... this -245 price is a steal! Get it while you can!

[jw]

Current Uk Betfair odds.
1.82 Biden
2.26 Trump

[habitualwinning]

-110/-120 both ways

Interesting prop bet at Bovada

Will Biden drop out before election was only -1000 (Trump -2500)

State by State bets more interesting

MN, WI, MI, FL, AZ, NV all at -140 or greater for Dems. Half those are going Rep so that's a nice bet there.

Sharp post. The states are where you make your $$$$ on elections. Each cycle there's about 6-10 states where the line is just flatout wrong. The reason is bc the lines are directly tied to the polls and books and pundits never take into account that polls are grossly inaccurate. 538 the poll website is a joke. They completely botched at least 2 elections in my short life so far. They were so wrong on the last election that it was almost the reverse of what they predicted. Lmao how can they still be considered a credible source after that? They also got the 04 election wrong big time. The guy that runs that site is a nitwit cuck. Anyway Minny knows whats up on these elections. +$ on some of these states for Trump is an early Christmas bonus. Dems too stupid to figure it out. Will lose their asses like they did on Hillary laying all that juice everywhere.

[JohnGalt2341]

Sharp post. The states are where you make your $$$$ on elections. Each cycle there's about 6-10 states where the line is just flatout wrong. The reason is bc the lines are directly tied to the polls and books and pundits never take into account that polls are grossly inaccurate. 538 the poll website is a joke. They completely botched at least 2 elections in my short life so far. They were so wrong on the last election that it was almost the reverse of what they predicted. Lmao how can they still be considered a credible source after that? They also got the 04 election wrong big time. The guy that runs that site is a nitwit cuck. Anyway Minny knows whats up on these elections. +$ on some of these states for Trump is an early Christmas bonus. Dems too stupid to figure it out. Will lose their asses like they did on Hillary laying all that juice everywhere.

Which states do you believe are the states that are most likely way off?

[asiagambler]

Sharp post. The states are where you make your $$$$ on elections. Each cycle there's about 6-10 states where the line is just flatout wrong. The reason is bc the lines are directly tied to the polls and books and pundits never take into account that polls are grossly inaccurate. 538 the poll website is a joke. They completely botched at least 2 elections in my short life so far. They were so wrong on the last election that it was almost the reverse of what they predicted. Lmao how can they still be considered a credible source after that? They also got the 04 election wrong big time. The guy that runs that site is a nitwit cuck. Anyway Minny knows whats up on these elections. +$ on some of these states for Trump is an early Christmas bonus. Dems too stupid to figure it out. Will lose their asses like they did on Hillary laying all that juice everywhere.

538 was not way off in the last election. They had Clinton at about 66% to win on election night which was right about in line with the betting markets.

Trump also didn't win in a landslide regardless of the electoral count. He won by a razor thin margin in all the battleground states. I do think there was a "silent majority" that was underrepresented in the polls but they were far from "grossly inaccurate."

[JohnGalt2341]

538 was not way off in the last election. They had Clinton at about 66% to win on election night which was right about in line with the betting markets.

Trump also didn't win in a landslide regardless of the electoral count. He won by a razor thin margin in all the battleground states. I do think there was a "silent majority" that was underrepresented in the polls but they were far from "grossly inaccurate."

Exactly right. This is really simple math. But I will illustrate it here in case anyone is unaware of it.

In 2016 Trump got either 304 or 306 EV depending on how you count the faithless electors. Now, let's take a look at some states Trump is currently losing but he won in 2016.

Michigan +210 16 Delegates
Wisconsin +170 10D
Pennsylvania +140 20D
Arizona +105 11D

I would hardly consider that a landslide. If Trump loses Florida and any of the states listed above he will fall short of 270.

Even if Trump wins Florida again this time around he will likely have to win at least 2 of the states above. I'm not saying that Trump can't win but it looks like he's going to have to win AT LEAST 3 of the 5 states mentioned in this post or else I think his chances are slim.

[homie1975]

Donnie is in big trouble now..

[Mike Huntertz]

5D

2020 US Presidential Election
both must represent their respective party on Election Day, November 3rd 2020 or a later date for action
Tue 11/3		101 Joe Biden wins Presidential Election		-165
8:00PM		102 Donald Trump wins Presidential Election		+145

[Johnnythunder]

Donnie is in big trouble now..

How so?

[beerman2619]

Trump will win the 2020 election you dumb ass liberal clowns . This is the same b.s i heard when he beat Hillary. Go ahead believe the polls what was he in the 2016 election +275 at most sportsbooks. The man leaves the hospital in just 3 days with the coronavirus. Which some of you clowns think is a death sentence bet again against Trump, let me know how that turns out for you. I mean who wouldn't want a 80 year old president that likes to sniff kids and had dementia in Joe Biden. The crowds that show at his rallys are impressive as well

[beerman2619]

Do you even listen to the fukking speeches he makes? He has already said that the Democrats are going to steal the election with mail in voting then he asks for a ballot to vote for himself by mail in Florida.

Pavy the little liberal clown. Probably be giving Brock a back rub during election night. Then they can cry together when Trump wins.

[homie1975]

How so?

The debate debacle plus COVID. I don't think he has the sympathy vote. I think it's the opposite now.

[homie1975]

This time the polls are accounting for things that they did not in 2016

[jjgold]

It looks like Trump has no shot

It’s just a vote against him not Republicans

[homie1975]

Trump will win the 2020 election you dumb ass liberal clowns . This is the same b.s i heard when he beat Hillary. Go ahead believe the polls what was he in the 2016 election +275 at most sportsbooks. The man leaves the hospital in just 3 days with the coronavirus. Which some of you clowns think is a death sentence bet again against Trump, let me know how that turns out for you. I mean who wouldn't want a 80 year old president that likes to sniff kids and had dementia in Joe Biden. The crowds that show at his rallys are impressive as well

Donnie had 3 experimental drugs provided that the common man could never get. He deserves it because he's the POTUS so he deserves the best treatment there is no doubt about it, but let's be real here.

I dislike both candidates. The libertarian candidate Jo is bad also.

Just a shittty election to have to vote in.

[homie1975]

Donnie much tougher than Sleepy Joe but these last 5 weeks have been very bad for him. In late august I thought he was a very live dog. Then a sept surprise happened.

[Unrivaled]

Trump has no chance.