1. #1
    carolinakid
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    The whole world is on Marshall tonite

    This week it seem like every tv talk show was talking about Marshall and how they will win big time tonite.is this good or is Marshall a pass.i hate playing games when everyone are on a team.your thoughts (ck)

  2. #2
    KVB
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    Here's the breakdown CK.

    I disagree with you that the whole world is on Marshall here and it's more of a situation where the public is on the Marshall spread while the money and groups have gone the other way, based on trades I see in the market.

    When it comes to the forecasts my stacking percentages forecast shows Marshall winning 31-24 and the non predictive public gauge has Marshall winning 24-20, more in line with the offered Total.

    Despite the forecasts, my information is adding up to show that indeed sharper money is on Western Kentucky here but that can be a fluid situation, and even misleading, as information comes in. Let's get into the last hour of trading to see what we really have here.

    This line did pull off of the 7 and that was essentially "reverse line movement" as many like to call it, however they want to interpret it. That move confirms some of my information.

    I'll try to remember to update here as I am not done with my daily phone calls regarding the markets.


  3. #3
    carolinakid
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    good info KVB yes most of the time when i see a lot of noise on one side, i will either pass or be on the other side.bol the rest of the day.boy it felt great to be back out at a sporting event today.it gave me that pump up thing to dive back into the numbers.............bol

  4. #4
    carolinakid
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    also you got to add in the fact it will be raining at this game tonite too

  5. #5
    Otters27
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    Seems like it

  6. #6
    KVB
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    Quote Originally Posted by carolinakid View Post
    also you got to add in the fact it will be raining at this game tonite too
    I see rain, just under 10 mph winds and about 70 degrees, so not too cold really.

    Especially for players engaged in the game.

  7. #7
    carolinakid
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    very low total as well it open at 48.5 and now at 43under 14.......

  8. #8
    KVB
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    This is Western Kentucky or nothing for me here.

    I don't like the Total, it's moved too much at 42.5. Even if they onky score 3 points, what I say about it moving too much remains true.

    It's not about the final score, or after the fact analysis, the pre game analysis tells me the Total has moved too much.

    If you are on the UNDER 48.5, the OVER 42.5 is a good buy now, for a middle opportunity in some of the position.

    Of course, if you don't like the middle shot, the UNDER 48.5 looks like a pretty good bet right now.

  9. #9
    carolinakid
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    yes even with the bad weather at a lot of games this sat, boy the unders has been getting kill in the college ranks.i have a person pm me and wanted me to do a running thread on games that i thought the plus money is a tool to bet against.what do you guys think??

  10. #10
    carolinakid
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    as of now the this game is dead in the water.......6.5-13 and 43 under 14 1st half 3.5-09 and21.5 under 12....ml 177 dog take back +155

  11. #11
    carolinakid
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    close to game time and it dead in the water...........i will look to the 2nd half for a play in this one

  12. #12
    pologq
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    all i keep hearing is marshal. reminds me of everyone on the yankees.

  13. #13
    carolinakid
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    Herd with a fast td 7-0

  14. #14
    carolinakid
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    hey did anybody watch the last 2 min of the kansas st game......i took state+4.5 at the half when it was 14-7 state, the qb has a easy one yd 1 to run the clock out and fell down going for 1 yd wide open and i had to stress out the last 140 for some way, state win 21-14 su and cash the 2nd half......fyi tcu had PLus 11 on the 4.5 that why i went the other way.i have found in the past that the plus money work better for game and 1st halfs, but this one work out for me.

  15. #15
    carolinakid
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    14-0 Herd

  16. #16
    carolinakid
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    21-0 herd, looking like all the talk was right on with this game...

  17. #17
    jjgold
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    Let’s wait for the game to be over but it sure looks good now

  18. #18
    carolinakid
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    28-0 herd

  19. #19
    carolinakid
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    2nd half marshall -1/2+02 and 19.5o 18

  20. #20
    carolinakid
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    it a no play here i do not see any value to side or total

  21. #21
    KVB
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    Let Marshall get their blowout, we'll catch these teams on the backside of this in the coming weeks. There will be market repercussions I'm sure.


  22. #22
    carolinakid
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    Boy this sucks,power went off at my home around 915 pm,duke power told me they hope to have it back on by 3am sunday

  23. #23
    KnuckleHeadz
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    Quote Originally Posted by carolinakid View Post
    Boy this sucks,power went off at my home around 915 pm,duke power told me they hope to have it back on by 3am sunday
    What’s the temp like where you are tonight?

  24. #24
    carolinakid
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    It very warm here tonite,still no power

  25. #25
    KnuckleHeadz
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    Quote Originally Posted by carolinakid View Post
    It very warm here tonite,still no power
    Fawk that... time to pack up for the night and hit a hotel

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