No one has interesting threads here anymore so I'm gonna track todays action.
Feel free to tail, fade, comment or call me a dumb.
Start smaller on the bets and increase if anything gets rolling.
Play #1
Raptors -2.5 (First 9 min.) +100
$150 to win $150
My Thinking
Joe Harris left the bubble. Thats a lot of their 3 point game. And he had 14 points/15 rebounds in Game 2. I think that says a lot for the teams mental state. Down 0-2 team could be deflated and Raptors will look to close out the series in a sweep to get that extra rest.
I do think they cover the 10.5 in the end, but first 9min is starter time looking to get out to a lead. And all we need is a 3 point one at that mark.
I wont analyze every play. Wont have time doing most of it live. But will for certain ones I suppose.
My Thinking
Raptors cooled off a little but the nets havent even reached 20 points yet and the 1Q is over. Should see Raptors reach 44 before Nets touch 37.
My Thinking Teams are pretty even but Jazz pushed it to overtime in Game 1 and erupted in Game 2. Conley is back and Nuggets dont seem to have an answer for Mitchell. Jazz have adapted and are succeeding at finding the mismatches to create opportunities. More than likely this is the only play til halftime and I can get a read on the game.
Line was Jazz -0.5
Sold half a point to -1.0 to get +108. Better value for the small chance of a push.
Jazz 3Q Race to 20 Points +135
$350 to win $472.50
My Thinking
Denver started to kinda put it together towards the end of 2Q but it was more of no defensive communication by the Jazz on breaks.
I really like the value of +135 with how the Jazz have come out dominating the game. I believe they know better than to let up coming out of halftime. Denver on this play was juiced over -200. I dont know who would lay that based off 2 transition 3s before the half.
My Thinking
76ers haven’t done anything to show that they can handle the Celtics. Gordon being out is a good thing as far as I’m concerned. I’d rather have Smart seeing more minutes.
Celtics cover first quarter but it did come down to final possession. Tatum in some foul trouble. Could be a big game changer if they leave him in and he gets another.
Celtics first to 20 3Q cashes. It was a little back and forth. But they got it done. Tatum is off tonight. Probably it for this game unless something obvious pops up.
My book has 3 online betting platforms. I finally found the platform which offers the lines for a race to 10 or 20 points in a Q. Now I have a better sense of the bets available to me.
SBR Top-Rated Sportsbooks
iBet NBA Playoffs 8/21 (Free Tails or Fades)
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