1. #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Wednesday, 4/24/19

    2 MLB Plays Wednesday

    Giants +100 (5 Dimes)
    White Sox / Orioles UNDER 10 -105 (Heritage)


    YTD: 51-50-3, +3.09

  2. #2
    jjgold
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    good turnaround

    Bet teams today in little losing streaks

  3. #3
    spippen
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    Nice to see you above .500 and + units

  4. #4
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by spippen View Post
    Nice to see you above .500 and + units
    +10 since Brock said I should quit.
    Nomination(s):
    This post was nominated 1 time . To view the nominated thread please click here. People who nominated: leetreaper

  5. #5
    snider
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    Dammit my IP address is blocked . Why would they do that

  6. #6
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by snider View Post
    Dammit my IP address is blocked . Why would they do that
    I have nothing to do with that, try the SBR_Forum handle.

  7. #7
    eaglesfan371
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    Quote Originally Posted by snider View Post
    Dammit my IP address is blocked . Why would they do that
    Every time I see this guy comment on a thread I immediately think “wow has spider broken out of his antisocial habit” then I realize it’s not spider.

  8. #8
    eaglesfan371
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    What line do you get for SF/TOR? Very strange line movement. I assume you have Pomeranz much better than Bucholz?

  9. #9
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by eaglesfan371 View Post
    What line do you get for SF/TOR? Very strange line movement. I assume you have Pomeranz much better than Bucholz?
    Giants 53% (-113), value almost shifted to other side.

  10. #10
    spippen
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    LT what about rubbish teams like the Red Sox? Well maybe I should say teams that have played like rubbish all season so far. Does the model factor in that fact. I was leaning on the Tigers tonight at plus 190. Detroit is playing great- Boston is playing poorly. I don't think they can play any worse than the way they have played.

  11. #11
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by spippen View Post
    LT what about rubbish teams like the Red Sox? Well maybe I should say teams that have played like rubbish all season so far. Does the model factor in that fact. I was leaning on the Tigers tonight at plus 190. Detroit is playing great- Boston is playing poorly. I don't think they can play any worse than the way they have played.
    Line looks pretty spot on as I get Boston 67% (-204)

    And model does not care about wins and losses but rather the underlying metrics, and so far Boston has underachieved and Detroit has overachieved, so expect regression to the mean as usual.

  12. #12
    eaglesfan371
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Line looks pretty spot on as I get Boston 67% (-204)

    And model does not care about wins and losses but rather the underlying metrics, and so far Boston has underachieved and Detroit has overachieved, so expect regression to the mean as usual.
    How many weeks are people going to say Boston is going to regress though. Just like Golden Knights were not given any respect their entire first season, when are people going to believe this team is not worth the huge fav lines being put up. I vaguely remember Boston doing similar several years ago; expected to be top of AL and was last or 2nd last in AL east end of season.

  13. #13
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by eaglesfan371 View Post
    How many weeks are people going to say Boston is going to regress though. Just like Golden Knights were not given any respect their entire first season, when are people going to believe this team is not worth the huge fav lines being put up. I vaguely remember Boston doing similar several years ago; expected to be top of AL and was last or 2nd last in AL east end of season.
    If the Red Sox are truly bad, it will eventually be reflected in the metrics. Right now. those still look pretty good so let's see where that goes.

    That being said, I have saved a lot of money on the Red Sox this season by never laying over -150.

  14. #14
    EyesWideShut
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    Nice hit on SF

    I really don’t understand how they won that one

  15. #15
    KVB
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    SF comes through LT, I was on it too but paid -118.


  16. #16
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by KVB View Post
    SF comes through LT, I was on it too but paid -118.

    It pays to bet the overnights, which stay up until 8 AM ET.

  17. #17
    KVB
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    True, but it was a Contrarian Fund play and the Fund will pay that price for the extra info and intends to make it up with extra precision.

    Intends...lol.


  18. #18
    LT Profits
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    Another

  19. #19
    lakerboy
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    Lt guessing better lately. Good job

  20. #20
    jjgold
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    He is hot

    Models work

  21. #21
    KVB
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    Nice work LT!


  22. #22
    RangeFinder
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    Great job LT!!

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