Nuggets average 112 points at home and should easily surpass that tonight.
Jokic will get his 20 points, Murray draws an extremely easy assignment in Brunson who starts for the injured Smith.
I can see Murray putting up pinball numbers tonight, he's scored double digits in his last 15 straight games, Brunson isn't the answer.
Monte Morris has scored double digits in 7 of his last 8.
I anticipate the bench/ancillary players to get theirs as well against an ordinary at best Mav defense.

115 points is a reasonable number to expect out of Denver.

Even if Denver hits average 112 (at home) Dallas has some scorers (Doncic, Barnes, Matthews) as the Mavs average 105 per, should hit that against an ordinary defense.

Personally I think 207.5 is a very soft number here, I'm not saying i'm smarter than the books, but unless I'm missing something here this game winds up around 216 or so.

Doubling down on the over 207.5

(p.s. I got my eye on the scrappy Brooklyn Nets, home dogs vs. Lakers also, that's just a lean for now)