1. #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Thursday, 7/5/18

    4 MLB Plays Thursday

    Tigers -110 (5 Dimes)
    Rangers / Tigers UNDER 9.5 -108 (Heritage)
    White Sox +1.5 +125 (Heritage)
    White Sox / Astros UNDER 7.5 -110 (Heritage)


    YTD: 247-255-13, +15.10

  2. #2
    RavensFan2k3
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    How do you see this LAA/Seattle game? How do you rate the two pitchers?

  3. #3
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    How do you see this LAA/Seattle game? How do you rate the two pitchers?
    I have sizable edge for Gonzales, about 10% above average compared to about 10% below average for Barria. I am curious myself to see where this game opens up at, I get Seattle 57% (-133).

  4. #4
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I have sizable edge for Gonzales, about 10% above average compared to about 10% below average for Barria. I am curious myself to see where this game opens up at, I get Seattle 57% (-133).
    Guess I won't get the value I expected, opened -135 at Bookmaker.

  5. #5
    Regul8er
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    Solid numbers LT.......+15 units is huge in mlb at this point.

    I really like Detroit too......Boyd has been solid, and Gallardo is a gascan these days, has to be rated way less then average on your model. Plus they played a late one in Arlington last night, and have to travel north. Good spot here imo. I locked this one in last night, in the fear that it would climb to -120 or higher this morning.

  6. #6
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by Regul8er View Post
    Solid numbers LT.......+15 units is huge in mlb at this point.

    I really like Detroit too......Boyd has been solid, and Gallardo is a gascan these days, has to be rated way less then average on your model. Plus they played a late one in Arlington last night, and have to travel north. Good spot here imo. I locked this one in last night, in the fear that it would climb to -120 or higher this morning.
    I’m looking at this game too, but not sure I can say Matt Boyd has been solid. It’s difficult to back him

  7. #7
    Regul8er
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    4.18 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, exit velocity 2 MPH under league average.

    He hasn't been a stud, but I would say that's solid. Gallardo has been getting clowned......I don't see him pitching many more games in his career.

  8. #8
    Slipknot26
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    Like Tigers -110 also.
    What do you have on Zona / Pads LT ? Pitchers and total ?
    I think Lauer can keep them from scoring 4 but the Pads offense is miserable at it gets . May just take Zona and Pads TT Unders , don't expect much scoring IMO

  9. #9
    KDF500
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    Great work this far LT!

    Thoughts on SF ML?

  10. #10
    jjgold
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    I got my eye on Texas today

  11. #11
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Slipknot26 View Post
    Like Tigers -110 also.
    What do you have on Zona / Pads LT ? Pitchers and total ?
    I think Lauer can keep them from scoring 4 but the Pads offense is miserable at it gets . May just take Zona and Pads TT Unders , don't expect much scoring IMO
    Arizona 59% (-144), 8.5

    Both starters right around average, I have Miller about 4% better.

  12. #12
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by KDF500 View Post
    Great work this far LT!

    Thoughts on SF ML?
    I only get Giants 55% (-122)

  13. #13
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Regul8er View Post
    4.18 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, exit velocity 2 MPH under league average.

    He hasn't been a stud, but I would say that's solid. Gallardo has been getting clowned......I don't see him pitching many more games in his career.
    I have Boyd about 5% below average, but I have Gallardo about 20% below average.

  14. #14
    Blackballer
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    Quote Originally Posted by Regul8er View Post
    4.18 ERA, 1.21 WHIP, exit velocity 2 MPH under league average.

    He hasn't been a stud, but I would say that's solid. Gallardo has been getting clowned......I don't see him pitching many more games in his career.
    Gallardo was backed by massive run support in his last 3 starts for TEX but when it comes to producing runs and offense in gneral I would still trust the Rangers even with the extra innings game from yesterday and all the travel.

  15. #15
    Blackballer
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    Pitching edge can't be that big of a difference in this game between this two starters

  16. #16
    Regul8er
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    Give me the home team at -110, with the better arm on the mound, that didnt have to travel half way across the country late last night/early this morning.

  17. #17
    RavensFan2k3
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    LT how do you rate the Arizona and Padres pitchers? Also what do you get for that game?

  18. #18
    jjgold
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    LT have you ever hit 20 units 2018?

  19. #19
    Blackballer
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    LT have you ever hit 20 units 2018?
    He mentioned it the last time that he went to 20 units this season for a short period of time before a play brought him back below 20U

  20. #20
    Slipknot26
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    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    LT how do you rate the Arizona and Padres pitchers? Also what do you get for that game?
    Post #11
    Arizona 59% (-144), 8.5

    Both starters right around average, I have Miller about 4% better.

  21. #21
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    LT have you ever hit 20 units 2018?
    I was momentarily over 20 units Monday afternoon after hitting day play with Tigers +136, but then lost night play. lol

  22. #22
    Conqueror
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    LT,

    I like the UNDER in the Brewers game. What does your sagely model say?

  23. #23
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by Conqueror View Post
    LT,

    I like the UNDER in the Brewers game. What does your sagely model say?
    Lean OVER at 9.2

  24. #24
    LT Profits
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    OK Gents I am out. Just the original 4 plays with no additions. No more Q&A until tomorrow.

  25. #25
    Conqueror
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Lean OVER at 9.2
    Thanks!

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