1. #1
    Snowball
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    OKC Series +400 Melo digs deep

    There is too much h8 against Melo.
    Take a look at the headlines. All the armchair short memory quippers
    demand his benching, and speak of him as if he's garbage. This is
    the kind of junk talk that motivates not only the star himself, but
    his teammates to get him going. It's that bad. Regardless of how many
    minutes Anthony gets tonight, the difference between 26 or 32 won't
    matter. What matters is Melo saying enough is enough. You even see
    so-called professional sports writers complaining Melo doesn't pass..
    when he's never been a passer and always averaged 1-3 apg max.
    You see them lamenting his lack of defense... as if he's supposed to
    focus on defense. His DRB's are in-line career.
    https://www.basketball-reference.com...anthoca01.html

    Another issue is the Thunder have now demonstrated twice they can beat
    the Jazz even if Melo is a zombie. What does that tell you? It should
    tell you that maybe the Jazz aren't so rock solid.
    They did not play like men in Game 5 - they played like punks who couldn't believe
    they were going to win a series, or started thinking about partying...
    then proceeded to poop their shorts. What's this tell you about Quin Snyder, hmm?

    If OKC finds the mustard jar again - and Melo's bones aren't locking up,
    the naysayers could be in for a big surprise.

    stars shine in the darkness..
    stars have pride that kicks in out of nowhere.

    OKC Series +400 is where the value is.
    They are +240 tonight, Gm7 they won't be +160.
    Not a big bet, of course... at +400, it sure doesn't have to be.

  2. #2
    The Giant
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post


    They are +240 tonight, Gm7 they won't be +160.


    What does this mean?

  3. #3
    shadymcgrady
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post


    What does this mean?
    He means odds won't be better than right now if you think okc wins the series as opposed to betting them 2 games in a row to win

  4. #4
    The Giant
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    Quote Originally Posted by shadymcgrady View Post
    He means odds won't be better than right now if you think okc wins the series as opposed to betting them 2 games in a row to win


    That's how you would do it? You don't individually bet them two times in a row. You bet the first game, and then you roll it over onto the second.

    This is kindergarten stuff.

  5. #5
    Snowball
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post


    What does this mean?
    using the odds +240 game or +400 series
    bet 100 to win 240
    or bet 100 to win 400 less the hedge cost
    not exact, but look at the (70) [160/-110] differential as value.
    For example if the Jazz are +120 to win Gm7
    you have to make 240 to pocket win from Gm6
    Jazz can go to (-167) and 400 gets your 240
    but Jazz will not be -167 after losing Gm6 and heading to OKC
    so the Series +400 has more value than Gm6 alone.
    looking at the quick 400-240= 160 puts you near this spot
    so a quick decision can be made which bet has more value.

  6. #6
    shadymcgrady
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post


    That's how you would do it? You don't individually bet them two times in a row. You bet the first game, and then you roll it over onto the second.

    This is kindergarten stuff.
    Yes rollover but the OP believes the odds won't be at +160 for game 7

    I may take a stab tonight only bc foster the fixer has been deployed to this game

  7. #7
    The Giant
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    +240 and roughly -212 will make a two-game parlay equaling +400.

    So, the question is will OKC be higher or lower than -212 in game seven.

    If you believe the number is higher, you should just bet +400.
    If you believe the number is lower, you should parlay games six and seven together.

  8. #8
    convick
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    Quote Originally Posted by shadymcgrady View Post
    Yes rollover but the OP believes the odds won't be at +160 for game 7

    I may take a stab tonight only bc foster the fixer has been deployed to this game
    Jazz would probably be +160.

  9. #9
    The Giant
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    Quote Originally Posted by shadymcgrady View Post
    Yes rollover but the OP believes the odds won't be at +160 for game 7

    I may take a stab tonight only bc foster the fixer has been deployed to this game
    Dude, of course they're not going to be +160 at home in a game seven.

    Parlaying those numbers (+240 and +160) would come out to +784.

    He was adding those numbers together to get +400, which makes no sense.

  10. #10
    shadymcgrady
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    I always suspected you were of Asian decent giant, this confirms it

    I have several good friends who are asian but surprisingly they're all terrible gamblers

  11. #11
    The Giant
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    Quote Originally Posted by shadymcgrady View Post
    I always suspected you were of Asian decent giant, this confirms it

    I have several good friends who are asian but surprisingly they're all terrible gamblers
    It would explain my abnormally small penis, but no... I'm not Asian.

  12. #12
    shadymcgrady
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    Alright let's cash tonight

  13. #13
    Snowball
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    Giant in your scenario, you have to win both games
    and have exposure to a total loss in Gm7
    in mine you have no exposure to Gm7 and can walk
    away with a better payout than +240.

  14. #14
    The Giant
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    Quote Originally Posted by Snowball View Post
    Giant in your scenario, you have to win both games
    and have exposure to a total loss in Gm7
    in mine you have no exposure to Gm7 and can walk
    away with a better payout than +240.
    How are you planning on getting your +400?
    Points Awarded:

    Mase of Base gave The Giant 2 Betpoint(s) for this post.


  15. #15
    Snowball
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post
    How are you planning on getting your +400?
    Not. Just want to beat the line on the Gm6, which it does.
    If we see Gm7 I hedge to an undetermined degree depending on
    factors at the time.
    The +400 bet is not important to me but I like the angle and want a bump
    if they win tonight.

  16. #16
    The Giant
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    Better off just betting the game individually.
    You can get +248 at 5dimes.

    Whatever you do, best of luck, snowball.

  17. #17
    bonusguy
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    jut bet them 60-1 to win the conference

  18. #18
    IBetYou
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    Short term memory? He's been garbage for about 5 years now...

  19. #19
    Snowball
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    Quote Originally Posted by The Giant View Post
    Better off just betting the game individually.
    You can get +248 at 5dimes.

    Whatever you do, best of luck, snowball.
    Thanks Giant. I actually did just bet the game at the time
    because Nitro didn't have a series line up anyway.

  20. #20
    bonusguy
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    westbrook was let off his leash because they were down 25 in the 2nd half. he got lucky and made shots he usually bricks. hopefully he will think hes good again and take another 39 shots. if so utah wins easy

  21. #21
    IBetYou
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    Anthony: 7 points and 3 rebounds, and his -19 in 26 mins the worst of anyone by some distance.

    Billy Donovan said all season he had complete faith in him because he's "proven". The problem with saying shit like that is you box yourself into a corner. Mins should be earned on merit, not pre-season expectations.

  22. #22
    Playmaker
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    Jazz really targeted Melos poor defense in the second half...He's washed at this point

  23. #23
    bonusguy
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    rubio goes down in a tie game and they still lose lol

  24. #24
    DOM-Ganador
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    28 million. Melo has a player option. No brainer.....just like Sammy Preski for signing him.
    The following year, I wouldn`t be surprised if he is out of league.
    Nice golden parachute Melo.

  25. #25
    Snowball
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    Anthony stunk and George also stunk.. terrible passing, tired play,
    Westbrook and the role players kept them in it to the end, but
    the team needs to make some changes. Melo needs to go.

    I did make it clear this bet was not important so hopefully nobody
    went big on the ML.

  26. #26
    ChiLLx
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    I read somewhere Carmelo had 2 or 3 assists THE ENTIRE SERIES vs. the Jazz. The most overrated basketball player in 30 years

  27. #27
    triplecrown333
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    lol, next year will be the same focking thread saying the same shit, carmelo tired of naysayers lol, its been like this for years..he sucks, whats not to get...

  28. #28
    jjgold
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    the guy is due

    career over

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