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I will never understand this about gamblers
Big shots
Know everything
Why not play 1 game per month, your absolute best
Well you can take 5 shots per month
If you start in January with $100 by your last game in December you will have over $230,000
take $500 for 5 tries at it
worst case scenario you lose $500
well I would try it, and did try it but drink too much and always just fukkin go with a 3 teamer within 2 days
You start right now in February and you will have over $100k
WHY NOT??
I will try again when I stop drinking
most guys here laugh at $100 bets
so why not just fukkin set that aside?
Rudy stop drinking
mike I have been on your side latelyOriginally Posted by pimike
you act like a big shot
maybe you are I do not know
why not stop trying to winning grocery money and free sbr trips?
Go all in 5x
It’s the only way
yea but if you hit 60%
it is hard to pick 5 out of 10 plays
better to pick 5 out of 10,000 plays
mBR = Mini Bankroll
3 bets max... 100% mBR -- win -- 75% mBR -- win -- 50% mBR
start over
instead we have posters betting in terms of UNITS
that is the problem
GUYS WITHOUT MODELS SHOULD NOT BET UNITS
smart guys with models laughed and said FUKKIN obviously bet anything with an edge
that's just flat out wrong for the majority
by the way, I'm not even trolling
this is a great service I am offering
Rudy relax
no one cares
well if mike would follow my advice
he might afford his own vacation instead of using SBR for a free one
There isn't any 5 best picks, I can't see it happening, you can never guess a random outcome accurately.
HMMMMMMM....gamble less and make more you say.....hmmmmm
many preach to bet more
including all sharps
thats the problem with 'Kelly' ... only a handful of posters can accurately calculate their advantage on a wager. Rest are guessing
agree with everything said,
except units - although I do understand the point Rudy makes about units
Units can be relative to anyone's bankroll, whether a 10, 50, 100, 500, 1000 dollar bettor
in other words I use the units as a standardized measurement format
spot bettors always the most successful
Less occurrences apply to about 90% of players if you want to win
jjgold is one of the best... spot bettor that is
JJ is correct
It’s the only way to win
Rudy,
Please stop drinking.
I care pal.
Action is most of the fun. Money is just a result of the real reason most of us gamble.
set $500 for action
$500 for all in type plays once per month only and break them to 5 categories
BEST CHANCE YOU HAVE
what do I know?
well I am living the good life at 12:53 pm on a Thursday while drinking millers
Solid idea right there.
Problem is discipline
I have NONE
I don't post bad ideas to exercise my fingers
if I post it
it is worth reading and thinking about
OK?
Gotcha.
Patience is the KEY to winning big money long term. Action junkies are like all junkies addicted losers.
If you add beer to he equation it will influence your patience. .
Just at least slow down your drinking bud.
This can work if you can be patient.
I think your a great guy otherwise. Willing to help you in anyway you need bro.
Cheers!
If we could have SPONSORS, like AA
it would ensure many win 100k per year
I should come up with that idea
I'm not going to listen to a guy that uses his vacation at the grocery store to check in to sbr to get a free vacation
PASS
sorry wrong account
mods change this post to RUDYRUETIGGER
MLB, spot play live 'dogs.
If you play 80 games during the course of the season, with 100 dollar flat bets, you only need to go 33 and 37 to turn a profit.
You would lose 3700 for the 37 losses.
You would collect 4125 dollara for the 33 wins.
That's net a profit of 425 dollars by losing 59 percent of your selections (33/80 = 41.25%) even though the implied odds of winning one game at +125 is 44.44%
*aside to Rudy, not trying to be a showoff here, not trying to prove anything to anybody, just wanted to add my insight.
you provided nothing other than you like getting your iceberg lettuce paid for
Best case scenario: Let's say I have 2 bags full of marbles. Bag #1 has 53 Blue marbles and 47 Red marbles. Bag #2 has 60 Blue marbles and 40 Red marbles. The Blue marbles will represent Wins and the Red marbles will represent losses. I could reach into Bag #2 five times per month and if I'm REALLY good I will pull out Blue marbles 3 times(Wins) and pull out Red marbles twice(losses). Or, I could reach into Bag #1 as often as possible and have a slight edge over the books and still reach into Bag #2 five times per month. I'm far better off reaching into both bags as often as I can as long as my data says that my expected value is positive. Knowing what kind of bag you are reaching into is the hardest part of the problem. Most guys reach into the bags with almost no idea of how many Blue and Red marbles are in the bag. I agree with some of your points however, I still believe that anything with a positive expected value should be played. For people that have no idea of their expected value it doesn't really matter what they do because they are likely going to lose in the long run anyway.
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