1. #1
    Goat Milk
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    $500 on Federer +245 to win the Aussie

    1/25/17 10:00am $500.00 $1,225.00 Pending 1/26/17 3:30am Tennis ATP Australian Open - Roger Federer +245*

    Not playing around anymore this tournament. Been dominating and going to ride my hot wave with this huge bet. Federer should beat Wawrinka. Fed is already in his head. "When Roger is Roger, he makes great players look average." - Wawrinka. Wawrinka has never beaten Federer on a hard court in his life. Fed is definitely playing great tennis right now and I saw him and Nadal facing off in this finals once Djoker and Murray went down. People quick to ride these guys off and bet on Monfils, Raonic, Berdych, etc. No chance. Federer and Nadal own all those clowns. Nadal will have a very tough match with Dimitrov. Suddenly books reacted huge to the Nadal win, and they now think he's the favorite to win the tournament. Books have been wrong every step of the way on this tournament and I've been one step ahead of them.

    Nadal's short balls will be his downfall in the finals against Fed if they square off. His second served also will be absolutely punished by Federer. Federer isn't losing this title. He's been getting to the semis and finals last 4 years only to lose to Djokovic and Nadal so many times.

    If Dimitrov gets there he can give Fed some issues too but I don't see him beating Fed 3 sets. Maybe 1 or 2 tops. Same with Nadal. 1 or 2 sets at most against Fed.
    Points Awarded:

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  2. #2
    Russian Rocket
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    LMAO...can we get the same type of writeup about the betpoints that you stole from other posters here, clown?

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...ng-tokens.html

    pay what you owe stiff!

  3. #3
    Russian Rocket
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    Here is one more

    http://www.sportsbookreview.com/foru...n-special.html

    ...what a fkng deadbeat

  4. #4
    Goat Milk
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    This message is hidden because Russian Rocket is on your ignore list.


    Didn't I tell you your posts hurt my eyes? Is your post about me owing $6 in tokens? It prolly is because you can't come up with shit. You're a nerd. I'm broke, but I just dropped 5 bills on a future. You're smart. Real smart. Does your post have emoticons? It feels great to have you on ignore. Will never address you again after this. Making sure you know I do what I say. Computer nerd. What a great moment for you to be blocked by a forum legend. You should feel honored.
    Points Awarded:

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  5. #5
    Goat Milk
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    This message is hidden because Russian Rocket is on your ignore list.


  6. #6
    Russian Rocket
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    BOOM! You may block me- but others are going to see what you really are

    "I have a gold chain with a cross" fake ass clown

  7. #7
    t-wizzle
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    Goat this could be the one time Stan finally gets by Feds. He's been out of competition for 6 months. Any other time I'd be with you in a matchup between those two.

    Rooting for Roger though. This would be a great and improbable 18th slam.

  8. #8
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by t-wizzle View Post
    Goat this could be the one time Stan finally gets by Feds. He's been out of competition for 6 months. Any other time I'd be with you in a matchup between those two.

    Rooting for Roger though. This would be a great and improbable 18th slam.
    This is a sharp bet. Trust me on this.

  9. #9
    Chaz22
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    think it's Nadal's tournament this one.

    Stan vs Fed will be tough match for both of them, who will win ? - difficult to predict. Yes, there is that h2h record but then again Fed is 35....older....first tournament after lengthy injury-time. Wawrinka's level seems to me just as it was in last US Open....He loves playing here....Still Fed can grind it out it but then vs Nadal? (not even considering Dimitrov for a moment here. Tough match? how? where? with those slices he used against Goffin? or with that predictable serve? I really thought Raonic will put Nadal into more trouble....but nope....and now a weaker player will manage it?). what? should we again look at h2h history or "he's in his head" argument ?

    Unfortunately Nadal is the right pick here. And bookies have him at lowest odds.

  10. #10
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by Chaz22 View Post
    think it's Nadal's tournament this one.

    Stan vs Fed will be tough match for both of them, who will win ? - difficult to predict. Yes, there is that h2h record but then again Fed is 35....older....first tournament after lengthy injury-time. Wawrinka's level seems to me just as it was in last US Open....He loves playing here....Still Fed can grind it out it but then vs Nadal? (not even considering Dimitrov for a moment here. Tough match? how? where? with those slices he used against Goffin? or with that predictable serve? I really thought Raonic will put Nadal into more trouble....but nope....and now a weaker player will manage it?). what? should we again look at h2h history or "he's in his head" argument ?

    Unfortunately Nadal is the right pick here. And bookies have him at lowest odds.
    I had Nadal winning in 3 sets. I ended taking Nadal moneyline. I've been riding Nadal and Federer all tournament while books and other gamblers have been way too slow to catch up. Dimitrov is a better player than Raonic. 100%. Raonic has a lot of work to do on his game. He's weak from the baseline and weak at the net. His serve can't save him consistently in a best of 5 match vs the top players in the world. Best of 3, sure, that's different.

    Nadal can't beat Federer right now. Federer will punish all of Nadal's short shots, and Nadal still doesn't have his second serve down.

    Dimitrov is much more consistent from the baseline than Raonic. He has much more variety in his game as well. His forehand is better. His backhand is better. And he moves better. He's a better player.

    I will outsmart the books on this bet, just like I"ve been doing all tournament.

    GL. Gave you all the info in my head. Everyone's been telling me all tourney Nadal and Fed are old or haven't played in awhile, blah blah. I don't get sucked into the knee jerk reactions from the getgo. Now everyone is back on the bandwagon.

    I don't lose these kinds of future bets.

  11. #11
    jjgold
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    I had Nadal winning in 3 sets. I ended taking Nadal moneyline. I've been riding Nadal and Federer all tournament while books and other gamblers have been way too slow to catch up. Dimitrov is a better player than Raonic. 100%. Raonic has a lot of work to do on his game. He's weak from the baseline and weak at the net. His serve can't save him consistently in a best of 5 match vs the top players in the world. Best of 3, sure, that's different.

    Nadal can't beat Federer right now. Federer will punish all of Nadal's short shots, and Nadal still doesn't have his second serve down.

    Dimitrov is much more consistent from the baseline than Raonic. He has much more variety in his game as well. His forehand is better. His backhand is better. And he moves better. He's a better player.

    I will outsmart the books on this bet, just like I"ve been doing all tournament.

    GL. Gave you all the info in my head. Everyone's been telling me all tourney Nadal and Fed are old or haven't played in awhile, blah blah. I don't get sucked into the knee jerk reactions from the getgo. Now everyone is back on the bandwagon.

    I don't lose these kinds of future bets.

  12. #12
    CanuckG
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    Good luck. By the way this has nothing with the books being slow. Books have set the right lines on these matches. Nobody is outthinking them lol. You've made winning bets.

  13. #13
    Chaz22
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    I agree with Dimitrov being a better baseliner than Raonic. For sure.

    But, when on-serve Dimitrov will have to work much harder than Raonic had to. I watched how Dimitrov played against Goffin (who was just so tense and energyless today) and it was far from impressive. Just relying on his defense and slicing it back which for a small-size player like David caused big problems. Against Nadal he'll be dead using this strategy. So unless he serves lights out (which he wont), im not sure what threats he can offer. Nadal is still a better defensive player.

  14. #14
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by CanuckG View Post
    Good luck. By the way this has nothing with the books being slow. Books have set the right lines on these matches. Nobody is outthinking them lol. You've made winning bets.
    Nadal was +480 to win the Aussie last night, and now he's +165? LOL. Federer was +205 now +245. Books are knee jerk reacting to the Raonic win. They're clueless.

    How about this. Nadal is gonna be a slight underdog to Federer in the finals. Watch. Federer is gonna smoke Wawrinka and then Nadal will have a little bit of a tougher time with Dimitrov.
    Quote Originally Posted by Chaz22 View Post
    I agree with Dimitrov being a better baseliner than Raonic. For sure.

    But, when on-serve Dimitrov will have to work much harder than Raonic had to. I watched how Dimitrov played against Goffin (who was just so tense and energyless today) and it was far from impressive. Just relying on his defense and slicing it back which for a small-size player like David caused big problems. Against Nadal he'll be dead using this strategy. So unless he serves lights out (which he wont), im not sure what threats he can offer. Nadal is still a better defensive player.
    His threat is his baseline game at the moment is bigger than Nadal's. Especially on these courts. This is Dimotov's best surface and Nadal's worst. He didn't need to do much to beat Goffin. He won in 3 sets easily. Nadal should beat Dimitrov in 4 or 5 imo. Dimitrov will end up being a top 5 player in the world after this year is over...

    ^^ Canuck, that prediction I just made on Dimitrov being top 5 after the year is an example of how I'm ahead of the books as usual

  15. #15
    Goat Milk
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    Down to -107

  16. #16

  17. #17
    Goat Milk
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    422693928-1 1/26/17 3:14am $50.00 $193.00 Pending 1/26/17 3:30am Props Tennis 8017 R.Federer beats R.Nadal +386* vs Any other result
    422558067-1 1/25/17 10:00am $500.00 $1,225.00 Pending 1/26/17 3:30am Tennis ATP Australian Open - Roger Federer +245*

  18. #18
    jjgold
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    Great shot

    Fed rather play Nadal

  19. #19
    maletaja
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    Nadal wins 3-0 probably 3-1. Dimitrov slices are easy for Nadal. Same said eurosport commentator
    Yes , that hard court favours big hitters, but somehow always Nadal has weapon for this. He creates his topspin to control match
    Dimitrov serve is even worse than Raonic serve
    Yes Dimitrov can move, but does Nadal...

  20. #20
    rizespor
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    I have Fed +1800 and Dimitrov +4000

    I guess Nadal is gonna fukking bury me

  21. #21
    JayDr3am
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    Quote Originally Posted by rizespor View Post
    I have Fed +1800 and Dimitrov +4000

    I guess Nadal is gonna fukking bury me
    more than likely lol

  22. #22
    jtoler
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    ...
    Last edited by jtoler; 01-26-17 at 09:49 PM.

  23. #23
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by rizespor View Post
    I have Fed +1800 and Dimitrov +4000

    I guess Nadal is gonna fukking bury me
    You have Fed +1800?



    You're a beast

    All tennis gurus know that Nadal can't beat Federer on this surface, the way it's playing this year. You're good.

  24. #24
    rizespor
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    Quote Originally Posted by Goat Milk View Post
    You have Fed +1800?



    You're a beast

    All tennis gurus know that Nadal can't beat Federer on this surface, the way it's playing this year. You're good.
    Thanks. I don't even follow the men's side that closely but had to bite at those odds. I knew he was coming off a long layoff but I remembered a couple years back he was coming off an injury and he steamrolled through everyone at cincy. Then made it all the way to the US open finals before losing to djokovic. I would love to see fed get #18 but got a sick feeling Nadal wins it all. Dimitrov could really help me out if he can somehow beat Nadal. Then guaranteed profit either way. I don't normally like to hedge but thinking of betting a little on Nadal to win AO +100 so at least lock in a little profit

  25. #25
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by rizespor View Post
    Thanks. I don't even follow the men's side that closely but had to bite at those odds. I knew he was coming off a long layoff but I remembered a couple years back he was coming off an injury and he steamrolled through everyone at cincy. Then made it all the way to the US open finals before losing to djokovic. I would love to see fed get #18 but got a sick feeling Nadal wins it all. Dimitrov could really help me out if he can somehow beat Nadal. Then guaranteed profit either way. I don't normally like to hedge but thinking of betting a little on Nadal to win AO +100 so at least lock in a little profit
    He's +160 to win it all
    In your case maybe you should hedge a bit. But fedex is winning this tourney. Nadal the better player. Nadal the best player in the world. Djoker 2. Federer 3. Murray 4. Dimitrov 5.

  26. #26
    bettingmosquito
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    Why don't you guys bet at Betfair?
    I had Bautista-Agut at +45000 and trading him at +16000 for a nice profit.

    Those who have Federer better hedge if Nadal qualifies for the final

  27. #27
    lonegambler23
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    Quote Originally Posted by maletaja View Post
    Nadal wins 3-0 probably 3-1. Dimitrov slices are easy for Nadal. Same said eurosport commentator
    Yes , that hard court favours big hitters, but somehow always Nadal has weapon for this. He creates his topspin to control match
    Dimitrov serve is even worse than Raonic serve
    Yes Dimitrov can move, but does Nadal...
    lol you cant even compare dimitrov with raonic. raonic is a slow moving, non existent in rallys, servebot is all. dimitrov has an effective serve, GREAT mover, GREAT shotmaker. he will hurt nadal. dimitrov in 4 or 5

  28. #28
    bettingmosquito
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    By the way never take bets on the Outright markets at bet365 or 1xbet, their cash out option is a fraud, by that I mean they take big margins on the odds. Thats why IMO, Betfair or nothing.

  29. #29
    bettingmosquito
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    Quote Originally Posted by lonegambler23 View Post
    lol you cant even compare dimitrov with raonic. raonic is a slow moving, non existent in rallys, servebot is all. dimitrov has an effective serve, GREAT mover, GREAT shotmaker. he will hurt nadal. dimitrov in 4 or 5
    Agree Nadal is not a lock today... but if he wins, of course he'll beat Fed in the final.
    Fed is kind of injured by the way, so even Dimitrov could beat him.

  30. #30
    Booya711
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    Damn...I want Fed to win and this clown dikk is on it...might as well be seaweed
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  31. #31
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by bettingmosquito View Post
    Agree Nadal is not a lock today... but if he wins, of course he'll beat Fed in the final.
    Fed is kind of injured by the way, so even Dimitrov could beat him.
    Those books are not available to U.S. players.

    Nadal has no chance against Federer on this surface.

    Injured? 3 days to rest. He's good

  32. #32
    Goat Milk
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    Quote Originally Posted by Booya711 View Post
    Damn...I want Fed to win and this clown dikk is on it...might as well be seaweed
    Should I bump my Clemson +1100 to win it all thread to see what you said in there?

    You ever post a +1100 winner on this site in your 5 years?

    You ever even post a +500 winner?

    Didn't think so.

    Who are you again?

    No one.

  33. #33
    t-wizzle
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    Goat I haven't watched much. It's tough with it being in the middle of the night. How does Nadal look? Been hoping he could get back close to the player he used to be but I want Roger to take him down.

  34. #34
    jtoler
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    Ive looked at some more things, right now I think Grigor gives Nadal more of a problem than Fed believe it or not, Grigor not scared of Nadal's forehand and Nadal's forehand heavy top to back doesnt bother Grigor like it does Fed, I'll be betting Grigor in this match.
    Last edited by jtoler; 01-26-17 at 09:54 PM.

  35. #35
    GoBlue77
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    Quote Originally Posted by jtoler View Post
    Ive looked at some more things, right now I think Grigor gives Nadal more of a problem than Fed believe it or not, Grigor not scared of Nadal's forehand and Nadal's forehand heavy top to back doesnt bother Grigor like it does Fed, I'll be betting Grigor in this match.
    congrats. dumbest thing ever said in a tennis forum

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