1. #1
    Hangoverblack
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    It's time to fade Phil in round 3. Pound Play!

    When I watched Phil lip out that putt for 62 Thursday, I got a small chub.

    I knew it was coming. The Phil Patented Skull Fach Collapse.

    He managed to get around Friday with some great golf early, buoyed mentally by the fact he was in the dream half of the draw, playing soft greens in little wind for the first 30 holes of the tourney.

    Then, as he came home to 18, you started to see it. The conditions were worsening, wind picking up, and Mickelson by the end of the round was looking mortal once more. Kind of adopted that did-that-really-just-did-I-do-that-never mind-I'm-sorry look on his face we know him so well to wear.

    Tomorrow he plays in the final group with one of the best ball strikers on tour. His matchup with Stenson is a DREAM matchup to Pound. The books know it, putting Mickelson at +105 in the head to head. Stenson Also has the shortest odds to win despite being back a stroke, and despite having never won. It's all about ball striking and patience and mental fortitude as the winds will be 20 mph and the pressure of the weekend and links golf intensifies. Stenson is not a great putter, but with the wind in play putting becomes more about mental toughness than mechanics to some extent.

    Take the Euro-boy-ball-striker -135 over the gas can 46 year old who isn't sleeping tonight because he Can't WAIT to get out there and shit the bed with a 41 on the front and finally get back to his comfort zone. 7 shots back Sunday with no expectations on him and the green light to hit driver off the cart path again.


    STENSON 30 units (-135)

    good luck gents
    Last edited by Hangoverblack; 07-16-16 at 01:52 AM. Reason: drunk spelling
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  2. #2
    A.M.S.
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    Nice analysis... gna tail... got Stenson -125

  3. #3
    SauteedLemmings
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    You had me until you misspelled the guy you said to bet on, then I totally lost confidence in the whole write up

  4. #4
    Hangoverblack
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    Good luck man.

    After he he missed that putt for 62, Mickelson said in the post match interview that he honestly felt like he was going to cry. I read that, and thought that doesn't sound like a guy that anticipates a happy ending to starting 3 strokes clear! Any bet can win or lose, but I really like this spot. Phil was favored (-135) in his matchup with Westbrook today. But the books made him plus money tomorrow to Stenson. That's huge if you think about it. Stenson ranks 7th in tee-to-green stats in the PGA, and 3rd in greens-in-reg. Mickelson ranks 100th in gir.

    Lets hope that Scottish wind blows. Forecast is for 20-25 mph winds in the afternoon.

  5. #5
    Hangoverblack
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    Quote Originally Posted by SauteedLemmings View Post
    You had me until you misspelled the guy you said to bet on, then I totally lost confidence in the whole write up
    Then don't bet it bro! Been here 4 years, read a lot of good write ups from guys, made some money tailing. Saw an angle here and thought I'd share it. Stetson Stenson Bueller who cares. Guy hits the ball straight. I'm going to bed gotta work in a few hours so will be watching on my cell phone. GLTA
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  6. #6
    mohye1980
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    I'm in. Got it at -114. Playing it for $100. Good luck to us.

  7. #7
    sweethook
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    fuk this take 2 -12

  8. #8
    19th Hole
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    Lefty should regain choke form.

  9. #9
    Hangoverblack
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    Phil just gave a pre-round interview on Golf Channel. Guy looks like he's been up all night flossing his teeth with live wire and popping adderall out of a PEZ dispenser. Said twice how excited he was for the difficult conditions.

    Translates to: "I have the ultimate excuse to play poorly. The weather."

    Poundage

  10. #10
    jjgold
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    at his age hard to keep it up

    Odds are with you guy

  11. #11
    Hangoverblack
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    Hope so, I'm in this one large now. Odds on Stenson getting shorter. 15 minutes to tee time

  12. #12
    BetweenHerCheeks
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    Ok Batman, I'm jumping on Stenson -125 and also -1/2 EV....nice write up

  13. #13
    jjgold
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    we are off

    good luck men

  14. #14
    Hangoverblack
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    Cash it gents. Wind died way down, but conditions were tough enough that Stenson floated to the top.

    enjoy the post game interview where Phil goes apeshit about cameras

  15. #15
    CanuckG
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    Stenson looks unbeatable

  16. #16
    mohye1980
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    $$$$

  17. #17
    jjgold
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    Stenson will win tomorrow

  18. #18
    SauteedLemmings
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    Good call

  19. #19
    jjgold
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    good call although Phil played well

    What happens tomorrow?

  20. #20
    BIGDAY
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    "pound play" made it win.

  21. #21
    BetweenHerCheeks
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    Reloaded this shit with Stenson -115 tomorrow matchup with Phil....nice call today Batman!

  22. #22
    DrunkHorseplayer
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    Good call; Mickelson will most surely shoot over par tomorrow.

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