1. 06-02-16 06:56 AM #1
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    MLB - Thursday, 6/2/16

    2 MLB Plays Thursday So Far

    Brewers +116 (5 Dimes)
    Twins +110 (Heritage)


    YTD: 151-165-7, -7.01

    Totals to Come
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  2. 06-02-16 07:23 AM #2
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    4 MLB Plays

    4 MLB Plays Thursday

    Brewers +116 (5 Dimes)
    Red Sox / Orioles OVER 9.5 +105 (Heritage)
    Royals / Indians UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
    Twins +110 (Heritage)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  3. 06-02-16 07:39 AM #3
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    60%ers:

    San Francisco 72% (-257)
    Cleveland 64% (-178)
    Colorado 62% (-163)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  4. 06-02-16 07:53 AM #4
    WalkingLuckCharm
    WalkingLuckCharm's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-07-10
    Posts: 4,192
    Betpoints: 2947

    Are they your kids in your dp?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  5. 06-02-16 08:12 AM #5
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by WalkingLuckCharm View Post
    Are they your kids in your dp?
    Yes they are, oldest on left Robert is now 17 and driving. I AM old.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  6. 06-02-16 08:36 AM #6
    Snake24
    Snake24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-14-14
    Posts: 2,366
    Betpoints: 7076

    GL today
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  7. 06-02-16 08:37 AM #7
    Snake24
    Snake24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-14-14
    Posts: 2,366
    Betpoints: 7076

    Do you parlay any of your bets, LT?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  8. 06-02-16 08:41 AM #8
    Broke Homey
    Hey Cancer, penetrate You!!
    Broke Homey's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-04-16
    Posts: 1,026
    Betpoints: 28

    LT, I thought Maeda was starting for LAD, but it looks like Urias is now. How much of a differential does your platform show for the Cubs winning % vs both pitchers?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  9. 06-02-16 08:49 AM #9
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by Snake24 View Post
    Do you parlay any of your bets, LT?
    No, everything straight.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  10. 06-02-16 08:55 AM #10
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by Broke Homey View Post
    LT, I thought Maeda was starting for LAD, but it looks like Urias is now. How much of a differential does your platform show for the Cubs winning % vs both pitchers?
    Urias was named yesterday afternoon so I did run model with correct pitchers, and I get Cubs 57% (-133).

    Note I did not touch Urias rating after first start as he ran into Ump with very tight strike zone. Nic Lentz today has been a slight Under ump through his limited sampling, so I expect better performance from Urias, who had eye-popping numbers at Triple-A.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  11. 06-02-16 09:07 AM #11
    Broke Homey
    Hey Cancer, penetrate You!!
    Broke Homey's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 03-04-16
    Posts: 1,026
    Betpoints: 28

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Urias was named yesterday afternoon so I did run model with correct pitchers, and I get Cubs 57% (-133).

    Note I did not touch Urias rating after first start as he ran into Ump with very tight strike zone. Nic Lentz today has been a slight Under ump through his limited sampling, so I expect better performance from Urias, who had eye-popping numbers at Triple-A.
    I missed that yesterday. I went on Heritage and saw that there was an overnight pitching change noted. So if -133 is the number, i am off, way off, on my early wager...
    Ty for the info, and all you do here. BOL today!
    BH
    Last edited by Broke Homey; 06-02-16 at 09:17 AM.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  12. 06-02-16 09:41 AM #12
    VtecMouse
    VtecMouse's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 07-19-15
    Posts: 32
    Betpoints: 966

    Whats going on LT.. does the model say anything about the Houston Dbacks game with the over/under.. im thinking over.. any thoughts.. thanks
    ...
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  13. 06-02-16 09:46 AM #13
    trobin31
    trobin31's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-09-14
    Posts: 9,604
    Betpoints: 10311

    LT, what do you have on Arz @ Hou, I am baffled by even the opening line of -130, let alone thr rlm and steam pushing it even higher. I get about -110 for arz on the 1st 5 innings, using Grienke away stats instead of full grade and -110 for Astros full game due to their bullpen advantage so just wondering you got. Maybe somebody out for arz? Tia
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  14. 06-02-16 10:05 AM #14
    Snake24
    Snake24's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-14-14
    Posts: 2,366
    Betpoints: 7076

    LT, model results on the Yankees/Tigers total? Is O9 a consideration?
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  15. 06-02-16 10:23 AM #15
    HeeluvaGuy
    HeeluvaGuy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-15-14
    Posts: 3,449
    Betpoints: 3926

    Quote Originally Posted by VtecMouse View Post
    Whats going on LT.. does the model say anything about the Houston Dbacks game with the over/under.. im thinking over.. any thoughts.. thanks
    ...
    Arizona has played 12 straight overs. Going for lucky 13 today.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  16. 06-02-16 10:41 AM #16
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by VtecMouse View Post
    Whats going on LT.. does the model say anything about the Houston Dbacks game with the over/under.. im thinking over.. any thoughts.. thanks
    ...
    I have 8.1, could become playable if it drops to 7
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  17. 06-02-16 10:43 AM #17
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by trobin31 View Post
    LT, what do you have on Arz @ Hou, I am baffled by even the opening line of -130, let alone thr rlm and steam pushing it even higher. I get about -110 for arz on the 1st 5 innings, using Grienke away stats instead of full grade and -110 for Astros full game due to their bullpen advantage so just wondering you got. Maybe somebody out for arz? Tia
    I see the same thing you see and passed this game due to extreme variance. Model has Houston 53% (-113).
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  18. 06-02-16 10:45 AM #18
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by Snake24 View Post
    LT, model results on the Yankees/Tigers total? Is O9 a consideration?
    Too close, I get 9.4
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  19. 06-02-16 10:46 AM #19
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    Arizona has played 12 straight overs. Going for lucky 13 today.
    THIS time I actually do lean Over, but the 7.5 is still to close to my 8.1
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  20. 06-02-16 10:47 AM #20
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Quote Originally Posted by HeeluvaGuy View Post
    Arizona has played 12 straight overs. Going for lucky 13 today.
    Oh and let's no talk about yesterday's 4-1 entering ninth inning.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  21. 06-02-16 10:48 AM #21
    HeeluvaGuy
    HeeluvaGuy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-15-14
    Posts: 3,449
    Betpoints: 3926

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    I see the same thing you see and passed this game due to extreme variance. Model has Houston 53% (-113).
    The Arizona lineup today is weird. No Tomas, who really can only hit lefties, yet Lamb is in. I think Chip Hale is on the verge of being fired. He has completely lost this team.

    Now that I've said that, they'll probably crush Keuchel and win easily.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  22. 06-02-16 10:51 AM #22
    HeeluvaGuy
    HeeluvaGuy's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-15-14
    Posts: 3,449
    Betpoints: 3926

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Oh and let's no talk about yesterday's 4-1 entering ninth inning.
    Haha. That's the thing about streaks. Weird shit happens to keep them going. But truth be told, balls were getting hammered early in that game and it could have easily been 6-4 going into the ninth.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  23. 06-02-16 11:18 AM #23
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    1 MLB Addition

    5 MLB Plays Thursday

    Dodgers +140 (DSI)
    Brewers +116 (5 Dimes)
    Red Sox / Orioles OVER 9.5 +105 (Heritage)
    Royals / Indians UNDER 8 -105 (Heritage)
    Twins +110 (Heritage)
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  24. 06-02-16 11:21 AM #24
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    Yes, I am very much aware Dodgers are only 7 cents off of model number, but I still like the play. Let's see how Urias does with a fair strike zone.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  25. 06-02-16 12:36 PM #25
    7777KaL
    7777KaL's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 04-13-16
    Posts: 383
    Betpoints: 6946

    Houston ML I believe they will come through. Specially a home game
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  26. 06-02-16 12:38 PM #26
    trobin31
    trobin31's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 01-09-14
    Posts: 9,604
    Betpoints: 10311

    Quote Originally Posted by trobin31 View Post
    LT, what do you have on Arz @ Hou, I am baffled by even the opening line of -130, let alone thr rlm and steam pushing it even higher. I get about -110 for arz on the 1st 5 innings, using Grienke away stats instead of full grade and -110 for Astros full game due to their bullpen advantage so just wondering you got. Maybe somebody out for arz? Tia
    Thanks LT, some steam moved the line towards us so I'm gonna take a shot at it. Agree with you on dodgers as well but took the run line just in case the cubs late inning magic and dodgers shotty bullpen bite me in the ass.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  27. 06-02-16 01:53 PM #27
    funnyb25
    Go Get Laid Man!
    funnyb25's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-09-09
    Posts: 39,621
    Betpoints: 23924

    Damn...I've been on every play and it really appears that last season was a complete fluke. Phock
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  28. 06-02-16 02:00 PM #28
    LT Profits
    LT Profits's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 10-27-06
    Posts: 90,963
    Betpoints: 5179

    NO ACTION on Twins, so down to 4 Plays as of now.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  29. 06-02-16 02:01 PM #29
    GreatWallofTrump
    GreatWallofTrump's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-27-16
    Posts: 727
    Betpoints: 758

    Why pulling out of twins? Just curious
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  30. 06-02-16 02:04 PM #30
    funnyb25
    Go Get Laid Man!
    funnyb25's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-09-09
    Posts: 39,621
    Betpoints: 23924

    Quote Originally Posted by GreatWallofTrump View Post
    Why pulling out of twins? Just curious
    Pitching change
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  31. 06-02-16 02:25 PM #31
    funnyb25
    Go Get Laid Man!
    funnyb25's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-09-09
    Posts: 39,621
    Betpoints: 23924

    I know you don't like tweaking model during season, but it can't get any worse...7 losing days in a row, maybe more, tweaking it might be necessary..
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  32. 06-02-16 02:39 PM #32
    funnyb25
    Go Get Laid Man!
    funnyb25's Avatar SBR PRO
    Join Date: 07-09-09
    Posts: 39,621
    Betpoints: 23924

    Urias next week
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  33. 06-02-16 03:06 PM #33
    RavensFan2k3
    Handicappin' like I'm Trappin'
    RavensFan2k3's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 08-18-12
    Posts: 17,377
    Betpoints: 18704

    Brewers was the only play I liked tonight. Let's get this
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  34. 06-02-16 04:56 PM #34
    WalkingLuckCharm
    WalkingLuckCharm's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 06-07-10
    Posts: 4,192
    Betpoints: 2947

    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Yes they are, oldest on left Robert is now 17 and driving. I AM old.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
  35. 06-02-16 05:07 PM #35
    Roscoe_Word
    Roscoe_Word's Avatar Become A Pro!
    Join Date: 02-28-12
    Posts: 4,000
    Betpoints: 8667

    Quote Originally Posted by RavensFan2k3 View Post
    Brewers was the only play I liked tonight. Let's get this
    With you and LT on this.
    Reply With Quote Reply With Quote
12 Last
Top
« Previous Thread | Baseball Betting | Next Thread »