Kershaw -300 Today.....In Reality True Odds Probably -200

[jjgold]

He is not a stud to be -300 anymore

99% of pitchers are not anymore and a big part if most teams cannot hit so can get upset in close game and parity running rampant in MLB

Blowouts rare

[3runhomer]

I agree!

It is getting ridiculous to see Kershaw and Arieta at -300 and above each outing...

But the public keeps betting it obviously. Most every Cubs game is at least -200

[LT Profits]

I get Kershaw -245. Overvalued yes but not -200.

[BIGDAY]

I'm layin the juuuuuuice.

Should be an easy win.

[jjgold]

SD a scrappy team

Elk be careful here

[BIGDAY]

Taking Kershey to the BANK.

[Chi_archie]

I mean even with a couple mediocre starts Opposing hitters are only hitting .199 BA against thim

which is slightly better than his career of .207

guy makes EVERY hitter combined flirt with the Mendoza line

with 3 walks allowed in 37 IP

not too shabby

[Plaza23]

Kershaw is 7-3 lifetime as a 300 or better favorite.

[Chi_archie]

.469 OPS

Clayton Kershaw Batter vs Pitching Stats


Clayton Kershaw vs. <form class="js-goto" style="margin: 0px; padding: 0px; border: 0px; outline: 0px; vertical-align: baseline; background-color: transparent; display: inline;"><select class="tablesm" style="border-color: rgb(207, 207, 207); font-size: 10px; padding: 2px; font-family: Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; background-color: rgb(231, 231, 231);"><option value="" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Select</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/29/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Arizona</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/15/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Atlanta</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/1/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Baltimore</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/2/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Boston</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/16/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Chicago Cubs</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/4/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Chicago Sox</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/17/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Cincinnati</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/5/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Cleveland</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/27/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Colorado</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/6/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Detroit</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/18/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Houston</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/7/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Kansas City</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/3/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">LA Angels</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/19/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">LA Dodgers</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/28/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Miami</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/8/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Milwaukee</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/9/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Minnesota</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/21/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">NY Mets</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/10/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">NY Yankees</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/11/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Oakland</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/22/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Philadelphia</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/23/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Pittsburgh</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/25/clayton-kershaw" selected="selected" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">San Diego</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/26/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">San Francisco</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/12/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Seattle</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/24/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">St. Louis</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/30/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Tampa Bay</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/13/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Texas</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/14/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Toronto</option><option value="http://espn.go.com/mlb/player/batvspitch/_/id/28963/teamId/20/clayton-kershaw" style="color: rgb(34, 95, 178); padding: 0px 5px 0px 8px;">Washington</option></select></form> - Next Start: 5/1 4:10 ET vs. SD

SAN DIEGO PADRES CAREER STATISTICS VS. CLAYTON KERSHAW
BATTER	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Alexi Amarista	10	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	.100	.100	.100	.200
Christian Bethancourt	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	.000
Austin Hedges	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	.000
Travis Jankowski	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	.000
Jon Jay	11	2	1	0	0	0	1	6	.182	.250	.273	.523
Matt Kemp	8	2	1	0	0	3	1	4	.250	.333	.375	.708
Wil Myers	11	0	0	0	0	1	0	6	.000	.077	.000	.077
Derek Norris	14	3	1	0	0	0	0	2	.214	.214	.286	.500
Alexei Ramirez	11	5	1	0	0	1	0	2	.455	.455	.545	1.000
Adam Rosales	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	.333	.500	.333	.833
Yangervis Solarte	12	2	1	0	0	0	3	3	.167	.333	.250	.583
Cory Spangenberg	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	.000
Melvin Upton Jr.	11	2	0	0	0	0	0	6	.182	.182	.182	.364
Jemile Weeks	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	.000	.333	.000	.333
Totals	100	18	5	0	0	5	7	37	.180	.239	.230	.469

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[jjgold]

line dipping

Be careful here

[pavyracer]

I have Kershaw as -239.564896530864 favorite to win today. My model calculates 12 decimals of accuracy but I'm 20 units down this season so far.

[TheChamp1]

The problem with Kershaw at -300 is that he could hold the opposing team to a shut out through 7 innings, but the Dodgers offense will also be held to a shut out. So once the atrocious Dodgers bullpen comes in, it's a complete new ball game

[iloseagain]

i have sd ML, +1.5 and -1.5 +425

dodgers cant hit

[jjgold]

Another tight game and not easy for a huge favorite like this

[UncleChael]

The books have to make their money back.. Put Kershaw -400 you still ain't gonna make your money back. King Kershaw.

[Chi_archie]

The books have to make their money back.. Put Kershaw -400 you still ain't gonna make your money back. King Kershaw.

[play4win]

this clown ways win with 1 run. most overrated sp ever.

[Plaza23]

3 hit shutout. What more do you want want? JJ Gold talking out his ass again

[CWD]

have u ever heard the phrase NO JUICE WHEN YOU WIN

[iloseagain]

lol kershaw has covered 3 out of 5 games on the RL. Last 2 he hasnt and everyone is up in arms. Its not like hes going to win and cover every single time he pitches. People will bet kershaw every game because of his name. Heres a tip: dont bet a team -1.5 when the most runs theyve scored in the past 7 is 3 runs (one time!) and every other game has been 2, 1, or 0.

[mr. leisure]

Complete game shutout win 14 SO , 3 hits and 0 walks

[44 Mag]

Complete game shutout win 14 SO , 3 hits and 0 walks

[Chi_archie]

dude's WHIP is now 0.72

but what an over-rated bum

guy couldn't hit a solo HR so they could win 2-0

sheesh on man

[darrell74]

We all know most people are banging their heads in disgust because they took the run line.
Baseball bettors don't bet 300's when they got a run line.

Game should have been a pass for everyone, anyways. Dodgers are ice cold.

[iloseagain]

We all know most people are banging their heads in disgust because they took the run line.
Baseball bettors don't bet 300's when they got a run line.

Game should have been a pass for everyone, anyways. Dodgers are ice cold.

i took u6.5 and HRE u22.5. I though the HRE bet was very solid considering Pads werent going to hit and it seemed highly unlikely that Dodgers would hit Pomeranz. It ended at 8 TOTAL lol. Easy winner. Never had to sweat

[jjgold]

run lines for suckers

lots of 1 run games

[Luckycharms2012]

Took the under.

[BIGDAY]

Doesn't get much easier.

[pavyracer]

Kershaw was firing on all cylinders today. He put on a clinic out there.

[keel44]

If you want to key in on a pitcher only....just bet the first 5

[thellama]

And just hope they score a run.

[iloseagain]

If you want to key in on a pitcher only....just bet the first 5

thats a terrible strategy. Kersh 1h line was like -0.5 -170 today or something ridiculous. You will get killed betting those

And just hope they score a run.

yea exactly. Which doesnt happen often with great pitchers. They never seem to get run support. King felix and Kersh are both bot 3 in run support since 2008.

[habitualwinning]

I agree!

It is getting ridiculous to see Kershaw and Arieta at -300 and above each outing...

But the public keeps betting it obviously. Most every Cubs game is at least -200

The shit is ridiculous. I was screwing around earlier looking at old lines and I was looking through the 2001 Mariners with the record for most wins in a season. They only had about 30 games where they were favored more than -200 for the whole season, including playoffs. Cubs have already had like 10 games of -200 or better and the first month of the season just ended. The 2001 Mariners didn't have any games where they were -300 or better favs and the Cubs and Dodgers have both already had a few. The M's even had at least one game that I saw where they were +200 and a couple others where they were +155, +170 etc. that was the greatest team ever based on record. Let me know when the Cubs or Dodgers are +200 this season.

[pabonaparte]

Taking Kershey to the BANK.

While RL is dangerous with the Dodgers (not the Cubs!) ML is easy money with both Arieta and Kershaw. Price well justified!

[darrell74]

run lines for suckers

lots of 1 run games

they're all sucker bets
home team run lines drive me crazy- I stay away because you can lose the bottom of the ninth

-hate run lines at home and with public pitchers