1. #1
    jjgold
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    Under Might Be The Strong Play Tonight: Cincy@Denver

    Two average QB's
    The Game is relevant
    Excellent defenses
    Do not every be a square and try and factor in weather as it means zero on totals in pro sports


    Under 40 might be the angle

    Vegas Pro Gambler

  2. #2
    KSmooth4U
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    Doesnt your weather arguement only apply if you were trying to convince us to take the over?

  3. #3
    BIGDAY
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    Okay. I'll pound it.

  4. #4
    jjgold
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    BIGDAY I WANT TO POUND YOU

    Pros play like it is 75 degrees every game no matter if -10 or 100 degrees

  5. #5
    MoMoneyMoVaughn
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    JJ we know you are trying to get action on under so you can get a few free points on the over.

    Oldest trick in the book.

  6. #6
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    Quote Originally Posted by MoMoneyMoVaughn View Post
    JJ we know you are trying to get action on under so you can get a few free points on the over.

    Oldest trick in the book.
    Coach is sharp, Mo.

  7. #7
    Wolfpackofone
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Two average QB's
    The Game is relevant
    Excellent defenses
    Do not every be a square and try and factor in weather as it means zero on totals in pro sports


    Under 40 might be the angle

    Vegas Pro Gambler
    You're such a joke... Weather doesn't play a factor?? Yet every professional handicapper says to factor it in. And obviously it does, if it's pouring rain, guess what, the ball is harder to catch so deep passes won't be as frequent.. Only a moron, like yourself, would make a statement like that.

  8. #8
    no1here
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    one can make a lot of money betting strictly bad weather games

  9. #9
    jjgold
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    Quote Originally Posted by no1here View Post
    one can make a lot of money betting strictly bad weather games
    I doubt any statistical proof to back that up

  10. #10
    MarcusPaige
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    Bad weather also leads to sloppy turnovers which can throw a game over in a matter of minutes. Most players say the player who actually knows where he is going (i.e. the wide receiver or runner) have a significant advantage on a wet field as well. Perhaps a driving, blinding snow might make a game more likely to go under. The rest of it, just doesn't matter.

  11. #11
    Jeep_Life 42
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    anybody have the weather report for Denver tonight?

  12. #12
    paco
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    Quote Originally Posted by MarcusPaige View Post
    Bad weather also leads to sloppy turnovers which can throw a game over in a matter of minutes. Most players say the player who actually knows where he is going (i.e. the wide receiver or runner) have a significant advantage on a wet field as well. Perhaps a driving, blinding snow might make a game more likely to go under. The rest of it, just doesn't matter.
    Few years ago it was a over a foot of snow blizzard between lions and Eagles, total dropped significantly everyone took under and it end up being the highest scoring game on the whole board that day

  13. #13
    PorkChop
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    McCarron puts up 20 tonight minimum

  14. #14
    Snowball
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    They both suck on offense and have rough defense.
    Under is right.

  15. #15
    jjgold
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    Men keep hitting it

    Good luck

  16. #16
    DiggityDaggityDo
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    I'm on the Under.

    Denver also.

  17. #17
    Manny0825
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    Under is the play IMO. Both offenses are shaky. You got AJ McCarron at QB. Hes a rising star, but still a rookie. He will make mistakes. He made mistakes playing against a terrible San Fran D. Just imagine the problems he will have against Denvers D. Brock is a little better, but not much. So he will struggle as well because Cincy's D is good too. So i say Under is the play.
    Last edited by Manny0825; 12-28-15 at 04:41 PM.

  18. #18
    Jeep_Life 42
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    Quote Originally Posted by Manny0825 View Post
    Under is the play IMO. Both offenses are shaky. You got AJ McCarron at QB. Hes a rising star, but still a rookie. He will make mistakes. He made mistakes playing against a terrible San Fran D. Just imagine the problems he will have against Denvers D. Brock is a little better, but not much. So he will struggle as well be ause Cincy's D is good too. So i say Under is the play.
    Broncos for the win!

  19. #19
    Snowball
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    i can't play it
    too low now.
    just one of my rules.
    gl.

  20. #20
    lilpete
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Two average QB's
    The Game is relevant
    Excellent defenses
    Do not every be a square and try and factor in weather as it means zero on totals in pro sports


    Under 40 might be the angle

    Vegas Pro Gambler
    u39.5

  21. #21
    Albabbie
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    Man 39.5 is low. Gonna pass.

  22. #22
    vividjohn45
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    Quote Originally Posted by MoMoneyMoVaughn View Post
    JJ we know you are trying to get action on under so you can get a few free points on the over.

    Oldest trick in the book.
    Haha.

  23. #23
    Dollars2Donuts
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    Ok, my thoughts.

    This weekend was full of unders. Both teams have suspect QB play and both D's are excellent. The teams matchup well for a low scoring game, but.....

    Cold weather with no wind is a recipe for points for a few reasons. Tacklers tend to go a little easier unless they are certain that they will take down the runner. The ball is harder and tougher to catch so will will see more deflected balls, which easily turn into points the other way. The ball is also tougher to hold onto for the backs, and the backs should see the ball a lot deep in their own end.

    Also McCarron throws the ball more often than not, and Cincy is going to have a real issue running the ball against this Denver D.

    Maybe be even more importantly....most of SBR is on the under.

    Now, take into account that I have had the worst three weeks of my betting-life these last three weeks....I still like the over here.

  24. #24
    Shafted69
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    faded

  25. #25
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by jjgold View Post
    Two average QB's
    The Game is relevant
    Excellent defenses
    Do not every be a square and try and factor in weather as it means zero on totals in pro sports


    Under 40 might be the angle

    Vegas Pro Gambler
    good usage of the word 'might'

  26. #26
    paco
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    Lock it up along with Denver

  27. #27
    teaserpleaser
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    AJ looks good ....everybody and their mother in this under including me. Serious though bengals should stick with AJ at QB.

  28. #28
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by teaserpleaser View Post
    AJ looks good ....everybody and their mother in this under including me. Serious though bengals should stick with AJ at QB.
    don't they have choice this year do they?

  29. #29
    KalouKalou
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    The weather isn't that bad

  30. #30
    MarcusPaige
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    I like the over.

  31. #31
    teaserpleaser
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    Quote Originally Posted by JMon View Post
    don't they have choice this year do they?
    Don't they have a choice? Typo? Dalton will be back for the playoffs but we all know how that ends. If they want to save face I guess they could say he can't go. Don't care how they do it but AJ should finish out the season.

  32. #32
    JMon
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    Quote Originally Posted by teaserpleaser View Post
    Don't they have a choice? Typo? Dalton will be back for the playoffs but we all know how that ends. If they want to save face I guess they could say he can't go. Don't care how they do it but AJ should finish out the season.
    Ya, that was pretty bad..they don't have a choice do they? Don't think Dalton will be back. I see what you are saying.

  33. #33
    teaserpleaser
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    Quote Originally Posted by PorkChop View Post
    McCarron puts up 20 tonight minimum
    Good call chopper

  34. #34
    jjgold
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    going to be close

  35. #35
    paco
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    Another clutch call by Coach

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