1. #1
    stevenash
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    Game 1 KC/NYM over 7 runs

    - Matt Harvey
    18 homers allowed this season, in 183 innings that's more than 1 a start, (0.9 per nine, but he doesn't average 9 innings a start) That's a big number when you consider KC in a high contact, swing and does not miss team.

    KC is not a swing and miss team, a major reason Mets rolled LA and Chicago is those two teams are extreme swing and miss teams, KC swings and misses 10 percent less that the aforemention teams.

    Now, 13-8 and a ERA of 2.71 is sound, most teams would love to have a Harvey in their rotation, however he was the furthest thing from lights out.

    Mets infield is shaky, Wright's throws to first can be adventurous, Murphy at 2B is prone to brain farts, Flores is not an elite defensive SS. I've seen Duda play first base about 30 times this season, I have to admit he's better than most give him credit for, if Harvey is not getting the swings and misses he's accustomed to, KC bats are going to keep the Mets defense real busy, I can see an unearned run or two helping the total go over 7.

    Now, factor in KC team speed, that can aid the total as well, that team speed can pressure NY into errors as well.

    On the other side, Before 7/30 Mets line up was considered a laughing stock, since K Johsnon and Uribe and Cespedes etc additions, the line up is very legit.

    Volquez isn't the second coming of Sandy Koufax, he allowed a ton of baserunners this season (1.31 WH/IP confirms this)

    He also made each and every start this season, could have a tired arm, his last three were erratic, he got clubbed by Houston and Toronto, was sharp against Toronto in Game 1 v. Blue Jays though.

    This game has 8, maybe 9 runs scored written all over it, Volquez will be hit, I'm not expecting Harvey to be lights out and will be challenged as well.

    One last item, pitchers don't hit tonight.

    Best wagering option in this game tonight is over 7.
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  2. #2
    MoeSedway
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    Always appreciate a write-up like this, Nash. I'm glad to see someone giving my man Duda some credit for his defensive play at first; I think he's one of the more underrated guys at the position.

    Just an FYI in regards to Harvey and the longball -- he's only allowed 3 in his last 76.2 innings.

    Good luck with your wager. I think the Mets put up 5+ themselves, but I'm a homer.

  3. #3
    BIGDAY
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    Pounded the fawker.

  4. #4
    rpesi9955
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    I agree with this play.

  5. #5
    spro23
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    I have under 7. there wont be much offense in this game

  6. #6
    PorkChop
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    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    -

    KC is not a swing and miss team, a major reason Mets rolled LA and Chicago is those two teams are extreme swing and miss teams, KC swings and misses 10 percent less that the aforemention teams..

    Nailed it. This will be the determining factor in the series & what will make it an exceptional watch.

  7. #7
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by spro23 View Post
    I have under 7. there wont be much offense in this game
    Fading is allowed, the good news is is if I lose, you win.

    Best of luck.

  8. #8
    JJJ
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    nasher any lean on the side for tonights game?

  9. #9
    KingJD31
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    Duda goes yard 4 times tn

  10. #10
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by JJJ View Post
    nasher any lean on the side for tonights game?
    I'm a KC fan, don't trust Volquez, can't fade Harvey, but can't back him either.

    Game 1 is a man to man pick 'em for a reason.
    Pass

  11. #11
    JJJ
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    thanks nasher always appreciate your insight
    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    I'm a KC fan, don't trust Volquez, can't fade Harvey, but can't back him either.

    Game 1 is a man to man pick 'em for a reason.
    Pass

  12. #12
    WalkingLuckCharm
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    2 more runs let's get this boys

  13. #13
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by WalkingLuckCharm View Post
    2 more runs let's get this boys
    Guaranteed a push.

  14. #14
    jjgold
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    I say it goes over

  15. #15
    pattymayo
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    good work nasher, love a push at worst with 2 innings to go

  16. #16
    spro23
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    well I got ****** on that one

  17. #17
    jjgold
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    Good call Nashua

  18. #18
    mngambler
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    Nice hit, I blind followed for a unit based on a good write-up...thanks!

  19. #19
    Jeep_Life 42
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    Good call!

  20. #20
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by mngambler View Post
    Nice hit, I blind followed for a unit based on a good write-up...thanks!
    My pleasure, glad to help

  21. #21
    Alex Vaile
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    Nice call thanks!

  22. #22
    rpesi9955
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    Great call thanks.

  23. #23
    habitualwinning
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    Whats your call for tonight? That write up was very precise for last night, almost perfect.

  24. #24
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by habitualwinning View Post
    Whats your call for tonight? That write up was very precise for last night, almost perfect.
    Appreciate the words, thank you.
    I just call them as i see them, thanks again

    Like KC 3*

  25. #25
    Thrilla
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  26. #26
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by rpesi9955 View Post
    Great call thanks.
    No, thank you.
    Glad to help.

  27. #27
    tatddy
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    Wish we had a go pro on you when Gordon hit that bomb.

  28. #28
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    Wish we had a go pro on you when Gordon hit that bomb.
    I actally called that bomb, Gordon mashes balls down in the zone, I knew that overrated closer was going to do that

  29. #29
    KingJD31
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    Here we go baby lagares 475ft shot

  30. #30
    KingJD31
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    Lol the pitch wasn't down, seems like you got problem with my mets
    Quote Originally Posted by stevenash View Post
    I actally called that bomb, Gordon mashes balls down in the zone, I knew that overrated closer was going to do that

  31. #31
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by KingJD31 View Post
    Lol the pitch wasn't down, seems like you got problem with my mets
    a) I don't have a problem with "your Mets"
    Do you a controlling interest with "your Mets" by the way.

    b) I've been defending Collins against idiots who don't know thing one about baseball that say the Mets will never go anywhere with Collins as manager.

    c) Been defending Duda all season.

    d) The ball was belt high, not up, not down, but that wasn't what I said slick, I said Gordon is a terrific hitter on sinkers, not that pitch wasn't a sinker, that he throws sinkers and Gordon hits that pitch well.

    Now run along slick, but thanks for playing.

  32. #32
    KingJD31
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    A) you're a douche

    B) Collins is a fuckin retard so clearly you don't know shit

    C)ok

    D) sure guy, you're a genius

  33. #33
    KingJD31
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    Nash by any chance do you write yelp reviews?

  34. #34
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by KingJD31 View Post
    Nash by any chance do you write yelp reviews?
    You're the one who trolled me pal.
    Now run along slick.
    Hugs and kisses

  35. #35
    stevenash
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    Quote Originally Posted by KingJD31 View Post
    D) sure guy, you're a genius
    Where's the ball where Gordon makes contact?

    http://www.cbssports.com/mlb/writer/...ting-to-royals

    Run along now troll boy.

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