1. 10-14-15 06:37 AM #1
    LT Profits
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    MLB - Wednesday, 10/14/15

    1 MLB Play Wednesday

    Astros / Royals UNDER 7.5 +100 (Heritage)


    YTD: 531-490-26, +91.73

    Regular Season: 523-486-26, +87.18
    Playoffs: 8-4, +4.55
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  2. 10-14-15 06:47 AM #2
    LT Profits
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    By the way, my bare minimum price on this is -105, so no play at -110 (actually no play at -106 or more)
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  3. 10-14-15 06:48 AM #3
    LT Profits
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    60%er:

    Toronto 65% (-186)
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  4. 10-14-15 06:55 AM #4
    buffalo716
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    I have no money lines attached to my over/under. Still worth the play on Texas under? What did you get for the jays total. 2 strong pitchers today but jays just crush the ball so often how could you not go over. So if i know vegas that game is going under too.
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  5. 10-14-15 07:19 AM #5
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by buffalo716 View Post
    I have no money lines attached to my over/under. Still worth the play on Texas under? What did you get for the jays total. 2 strong pitchers today but jays just crush the ball so often how could you not go over. So if i know vegas that game is going under too.
    I have Toronto game 8.8, so actually lean Over at 8. No play as of now though.
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  6. 10-14-15 09:09 AM #6
    eddycash
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    No play on Astros ml ?
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  7. 10-14-15 09:20 AM #7
    Chi_archie
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    get em LT!!!
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  8. 10-14-15 09:29 AM #8
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by eddycash View Post
    No play on Astros ml ?
    You know I love them, but hate that line is drifting further away from model number. I only have Royals 53% (-113).
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  9. 10-14-15 09:32 AM #9
    eddycash
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    Doesn't that mean the Astros line has more value now that it has risen?
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  10. 10-14-15 09:40 AM #10
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by eddycash View Post
    Doesn't that mean the Astros line has more value now that it has risen?
    Theoretically yes, but I have stated several times that I don't like when model is TOO far off of real line, ESPECIALLY when it continues to go further away. I would prefer the line on Astros drop while sill leaving room to be +EV.
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  11. 10-14-15 09:47 AM #11
    eddycash
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    Thanks, I'm waiting for the stros under to budge to 8, wonder if it will touch it again
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  12. 10-14-15 09:54 AM #12
    eddycash
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    Wow never mind, I just missed -105, it's headed the wrong direction
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  13. 10-14-15 10:09 AM #13
    brett1508
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    Tailing on the under and I took Houston at +124. We'll see. Good luck
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  14. 10-14-15 12:01 PM #14
    mth61
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    Well LT the line on the stros is down to...

    -124/+119 5d
    -130/+120 Bookmaker
    -133/+124 Heritage

    Closer to the model but still +ev
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  15. 10-14-15 12:08 PM #15
    LT Profits
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    This game is pissing me off already. Shot up too fast for my liking, came back just as fast, which I do like, but I can't get the +125 I want right now. Come on Heritage, add a penny damnit!
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  16. 10-14-15 12:29 PM #16
    High3rEl3m3nt
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    This game is pissing me off already. Shot up too fast for my liking, came back just as fast, which I do like, but I can't get the +125 I want right now. Come on Heritage, add a penny damnit!
    Shifts in lines/odds reflect differences of respected opinions. Nothing to be scared of.
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  17. 10-14-15 12:42 PM #17
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by High3rEl3m3nt View Post
    Shifts in lines/odds reflect differences of respected opinions. Nothing to be scared of.
    Still want the +125 bare minimum though, although I MIGHT (i said might) take the +124.
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  18. 10-14-15 01:30 PM #18
    eddycash
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    ill be lucky to get +120
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  19. 10-14-15 01:34 PM #19
    High3rEl3m3nt
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    Quote Originally Posted by LT Profits View Post
    Still want the +125 bare minimum though, although I MIGHT (i said might) take the +124.
    If you were wanting at least +125, I'm not sure why you didn't get it earlier

    odds from heritage (MT time)

    Time Houston Kansas City
    10/14/15 09:09:36am +124 -133
    10/14/15 09:06:26am +127 -137
    10/14/15 09:05:13am +129 -139
    10/14/15 06:38:14am +127 -137
    10/14/15 06:03:21am +129 -139
    10/14/15 05:46:03am +127 -137
    10/14/15 05:43:17am +125 -135
    10/13/15 10:01:32pm +124 -133
    10/13/15 09:41:55pm +126 -135
    10/13/15 05:38:01pm +125 -134
    10/13/15 05:36:51pm +122 -131
    10/12/15 10:11:09pm +124 -134
    10/12/15 09:59:10pm +123 -132
    10/12/15 09:54:06pm +121 -130
    10/12/15 08:45:14pm +119 -128
    10/12/15 08:33:49pm +121 -130
    10/12/15 06:52:01pm +119 -128
    10/12/15 05:39:25pm +117 -126
    10/12/15 05:28:56pm +119 -128
    10/12/15 03:53:05pm +115 -124
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  20. 10-14-15 01:36 PM #20
    eddycash
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    he explained why above cmon man lol
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  21. 10-14-15 01:47 PM #21
    LT Profits
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    MLB Side & Total

    2 MLB Plays Wednesday

    Astros +124 (Heritage)
    Astros / Royals UNDER 7.5 +100 (Heritage)
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  22. 10-14-15 01:48 PM #22
    LT Profits
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    The deed is done!

    And now on with my life.
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  23. 10-14-15 01:50 PM #23
    eddycash
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    i dont suppose there is still value in +119 is there?
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  24. 10-14-15 01:59 PM #24
    buriedbookie
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    GL
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  25. 10-14-15 02:10 PM #25
    LT Profits
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    Quote Originally Posted by eddycash View Post
    i dont suppose there is still value in +119 is there?
    No. I was debating the +124 (I have some really cool debates inside my head) but settled for it. Would not go one penny lower.
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  26. 10-14-15 02:15 PM #26
    innovation
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    yes, but who wins those debates?
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  27. 10-14-15 02:17 PM #27
    brett1508
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    Quote Originally Posted by innovation View Post
    yes, but who wins those debates?
    LT vs. LT? I'll take LT. Lol
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  28. 10-14-15 07:03 PM #28
    funnyb25
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    total now 8 with under @ -105
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  29. 10-14-15 08:05 PM #29
    GloatingBastard
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    I just bet the Royals live 2nd inning down 2-0..got the ml at +195....I think they come through here..
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  30. 10-14-15 08:54 PM #30
    RavensFan2k3
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    Quote Originally Posted by GloatingBastard View Post
    I just bet the Royals live 2nd inning down 2-0..got the ml at +195....I think they come through here..
    Great call! I should have waited to take KC
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  31. 10-14-15 08:56 PM #31
    Slice81
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    Quote Originally Posted by GloatingBastard View Post
    I just bet the Royals live 2nd inning down 2-0..got the ml at +195....I think they come through here..
    Took the same! Now let's see a finish!!
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  32. 10-14-15 09:01 PM #32
    Slice81
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    Only got +178 btw. Nice job
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  33. 10-14-15 09:05 PM #33
    funnyb25
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    why are you guys posting this in someone's thread who has the other side? Seems kinda messed up to me
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  34. 10-14-15 09:23 PM #34
    Slice81
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    Quote Originally Posted by funnyb25 View Post
    why are you guys posting this in someone's thread who has the other side? Seems kinda messed up to me
    Agreed. I Apologize. Too many beers. Just saw a post I liked and responded.
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  35. 10-14-15 09:43 PM #35
    No coincidences
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    You got completely bent over on that total play.

    Are you watching this? Holy shit.
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