Yet another futures lock! So Cal Over 11 wins

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  • SBR_John
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-12-05
    • 16471

    #1
    Yet another futures lock! So Cal Over 11 wins
    2007 NCAA Football Regular Season Wins - USC (Regular Season). Team must play all regular season games for action. Bowl and Conference Championship games not count towards wager. No Parlays. Max $600
    11 (-105)o
    11(-125)u
    If they drop 1 its a push. They play 12. That Neb game is early and even though I think they will pound the Huskers it is on the road. The end stretch is a little scary too with Cal and Ariz St on the road followed by UCLA. USC doesnt like to play 3 good games in a row without taking one off. But luckily the 1st tough one is against Cal. I'm popping the over thinking worse case is a push.

    Time/Result
    Sep 1 Idaho 10:15pm
    Sep 15 @Nebraska 8:00pm
    Sep 22 Washington St. 8:00pm
    Sep 29 @Washington 8:00pm
    Oct 6 Stanford 7:00pm
    Oct 13 Arizona TBA
    Oct 20 @Notre Dame 3:30pm
    Oct 27 @Oregon 3:00pm
    Nov 3 Oregon St. 8:00pm
    Nov 10 @California 8:00pm
    Nov 22 @Arizona St. 8:00pm
    Dec 1 UCLA 4:30pm
  • bigboydan
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 08-10-05
    • 55420

    #2
    I wouldn't call it a lock at all John, but I do like the over 11 myself.
    Comment
    • ShamsWoof10
      SBR MVP
      • 11-15-06
      • 4827

      #3
      eehhhh... I don't like it... too many road games late and there is too little room for error... A major injury and you're hit... I would say the BCS would be better value....

      Comment
      • pico
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 04-05-07
        • 27321

        #4
        usc lost to ucla last year... i think u 11 is a good play all you need is that they **** up 2 times.
        Comment
        • maritime
          SBR Sharp
          • 10-26-05
          • 474

          #5
          picking a team to go undefeated seems like a bad bet to me
          Comment
          • rjt721
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-06-07
            • 7929

            #6
            SC loses a minimum of 2 games this year.

            Here's a winner: Wisconsin under 9.5.
            Comment
            • ShamsWoof10
              SBR MVP
              • 11-15-06
              • 4827

              #7
              Originally posted by rjt721
              Here's a winner: Wisconsin under 9.5.
              ooohh I like that one...

              Comment
              • FightForCalifornia
                SBR High Roller
                • 02-22-07
                • 116

                #8
                USC 12-0 this year? You've got to be kidding yourself. USC is the best team in the country and will play in the chip even if they have an early loss, but I put their chances of going undefeated under 15%.

                Pac-10 is just way too deep with way too many dangerous teams this year. This year, USC will be playing lower scoring games than you're used to seeing, and that means that a defensive or special teams touchdown and a good day for the other team or a bad day by USC or a key injury at a critical time is all it takes to sink them.

                USC could very easily lose at Cal or ASU or Oregon, and @ UW and Nebraska are not gimmies either. UCLA and Arizona should be tough too, but USC gets them at home.

                If I didn't think that season long futures weren't such terrible bets for so many different reasons, I would be all over USC under 11.
                Comment
                • moses millsap
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 08-25-05
                  • 8289

                  #9
                  Originally posted by FightForCalifornia

                  If I didn't think that season long futures weren't such terrible bets for so many different reasons, I would be all over USC under 11.
                  Care to list those reasons when you have time?
                  Comment
                  • seaborneq
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 09-08-06
                    • 22556

                    #10
                    Alabama under 8 is a mortal lock.
                    Comment
                    • seaborneq
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 09-08-06
                      • 22556

                      #11
                      I had SC under last year and they pushed with the loss to UCLA. They will win as many as possible to screw your wager.
                      Comment
                      • isetcap
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-16-05
                        • 4006

                        #12
                        I want to know how jj is posting as SBR_John.
                        Comment
                        • BigBollocks
                          SBR MVP
                          • 06-11-06
                          • 2045

                          #13
                          Tough one John. You'll obviously be extremely lucky to get a push at this point. GL....
                          Comment
                          • Rollins08
                            SBR MVP
                            • 04-20-07
                            • 1337

                            #14
                            It seems like a long time ago when this didn't seem that bad.
                            Comment
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