I'll answer in order you asked.
#1 - I base my belief on your first 2 posts. (By the way..if the books are "never wrong", they must
print money for themselves every year)
#2 - My reply came 6 minutes after the one before me. Is there a shelf life on replying to these?
#3 - I've been wrong countless times. Wrong analysis, wrong guess. As someone who doesn't buy into the "books always know" or "it's rigged" mindset though - never made a pick on that thinking.
My point is the same as before (see #1). Had Montreal cashed (which appeared to be the better bet since from where I sat, they had all the confidence and the Rangers looked more fatigued and the plus money seemed like a good spot) - It would have fed the delusional "rigged" or "the books are never wrong" goofballs.