NEW Streak for the Cash

[mikejamm]

You're right Yis, totally shitty day for soccer picks on streak! Never seen anything like, 2 goals scored in the 89th and 90th minute in that El Geish match? Fuk'in rigged shit! And like you said Liverpool is losing and the end up covering and winning by 2 goals? WTF!

[lordswing]

was trying to figure out why i couldn't find any of the horse names on pinny, until i realized pinny only has saturday odds up

is it obvious i don't pay attention to horses?

[MexicanStallion]

Having a terrible start to the month. I have nothing on soccer and NBA is eh.

[yisman]

was trying to figure out why i couldn't find any of the horse names on pinny, until i realized pinny only has saturday odds up

is it obvious i don't pay attention to horses?

Most don't.

I don't consider it a sport and I've watched maybe 5 minutes of horse racing in my entire life.

[lordswing]

winter memories top 2 is -200 @ betus, so i'm guessing that's ~ -130 (not really) after juice, good enough for me

[revnecro1273]

winter memories top 2 is -200 @ betus, so i'm guessing that's ~ -130 (not really) after juice, good enough for me

if higher percentage is on any other finish the top 2 play will be a play for me

[yisman]

using Betfair

8-12: 60.77%
1-7: about 42%

low vig, as you can see

[lordswing]

thanks yis, 8-12 is the next loser

[yisman]

gonna be rough because I won't be online much longer today, so I can't pick all the horse races.

[lordswing]

ugh, #6 is in the lead right now

[lordswing]

8-12 lose, top 4 were all from 1-7

[lordswing]

for 5:30, AoH should be good as Rightly So got scratched

[yisman]

^ yeah, I was wondering why #13 wasn't showing up at Betfair. Prop could be ruled a push

Fight breaks out between Borel and Castellano

[lordswing]

so for the 6:10, looks like A Z Warrior is the horse to lose (5.5 vs. Tell a Kelly's 8.4)

[yisman]

agreed. Saw that earlier but wasn't good enough to wait for.

Winter memories 3.05 to win and about 1.52 to place. Fair value for 1 or 2 would probably be about the -130 you estimated.

[lordswing]

-130 was just a number i pulled out of my ass since I thought BetUS would have high juice, not estimated at all, but if you're going to tel me i have superpowers, i'm not going to try and convince you i don't

[losturmarbles]

Tonight, I like Houston in NCAAF and Anaheim in NHL.

Guess I'll take the Pacers at 7 and maybe I'll be around later to pick Anaheim.

[lordswing]

AoH for the 2:30

[lordswing]

flipping ponies, Goldikova was 35% to win when i took out the juice earlier

[yisman]

-130 was just a number i pulled out of my ass since I thought BetUS would have high juice, not estimated at all, but if you're going to tel me i have superpowers, i'm not going to try and convince you i don't

yeah, betus does have high juice

you can usually estimate a fair line like that, from a high juice book.

I don't know what the fair line actually was for that prop, but I'm saying you're probably close.

Took yes for a Euro to win even though there's only two Euros running.

Going against Zenyatta after that

[lordswing]

I got 53% for Yes to Euros even with the Euro horse scratch

and Zenyatta's around 35% to win at Betfair, too lazy to take out the juice, but you already know which side I'm on

[revnecro1273]

what made you guys go against zenyatta? you guys love the chalk

[yisman]

Zenyatta was the favorite, but she was not the favorite if it was her vs. the entire field.

Field would've been a pretty heavy favorite in a bet like that.

[revnecro1273]

Zenyatta was the favorite, but she was not the favorite if it was her vs. the entire field.

Field would've been a pretty heavy favorite in a bet like that.

um...no...she was 4/5 to win...so actually it would have been a pick em

[revnecro1273]

what a fuking joke...only thing they have all afternoon tomorrow, as fuking usual, is fuking professional american football...they offer other events at night...can't they do that during the day as well? i absolutely despise professional american football

[yisman]

um...no...she was 4/5 to win...so actually it would have been a pick em

Um, yes, if you want to use the extremely juiced and inaccurate odds that ESPN used, I can't help you.

I'm talking about true odds. Did you not read lordswing's post?

[lordswing]

what made you guys go against zenyatta? you guys love the chalk

Picking the chalk/favorite is my only goal in SftC.

[lordswing]

So apparently I picked up a W3 along the way, as the SM reversed the Euro horse prop.

"Dangerous Midge was bred in Kentucky but trained and raced all his starts in Europe. He is classified as a European horse. We apologize for the error."

Good thing I picked USCEast -4, oh wait...

[yisman]

I just came here to post that.

Hilarious. I think a lot of people are going to very pissed off. Thinking you had an L1, making a risky pick, and then having it reversed.

Works for me, though. It puts me on a W4 instead of a W2.

I picked it thinking only 2 of the horses were considered Euro. With Midge included, Euro would've been an easier choice.

[lordswing]

i would hope our little side wager group could do better than a W4, but Cabo has the most reason to be annoyed, as he had a W3 before you bribed the SM to change it,

[lordswing]

going with Threet so I can be doubly pissed when my Sun Dicks wager loses too

[yisman]

Gee, I wonder why the Euro horse racing prop has by far the most comments of any SftC discussion today.

[yisman]

hragdog (11/6/2010 at 5:11 PM)
Report Violation
There is Actually 3 European horses left, Midge, Debussy, and Bekhabad.


rfcurran409 (11/6/2010 at 5:34 PM)
Report Violation
I'm 8-0 on the ponies. I'm not going to even try to predict this one. Too many variables and who knows what ESPN considers european.




=====

Both make good points.



Tony Martin5 (11/6/2010 at 5:31 PM)
Report Violation
well if theyre the favorites that MUST mean they HAVE to win, huh? No way a 37/1 horse could win. Oh wait. One just did!!! Just cuz theyre favored means nothing.








=====

What a moron.

http://streak.espn.go.com/en/entryStats?entryID=894658

This entry went 13-1 on the horses, with his only loss coming on Zenyatta.

Not surprisingly, he has a three game lead in the monthly.

[yisman]

Bailey4_Papi23 (11/6/2010 at 5:49 PM)
Report Violation
The guy on the ESPN chat just told me that #8 Midge is a European horse too

Bailey4_Papi23 (11/6/2010 at 5:52 PM)
Report Violation
the euros according the the handicapper on the live ESPN chat going on right now are 4, 7, and 8 so if 8 wins then we might have a controversy

pschweig8984 (11/6/2010 at 5:53 PM)
Report Violation
The 8, Dangerous Midge, was bred in Kentucky. He is NOT European. He's raced in Euro races, but not European.


pschweig8984 (11/6/2010 at 5:56 PM)
Report Violation
ESPN's commentators are wrong on the 8. Not that the 8 will factor in this race.





pschweig8984 (11/6/2010 at 5:58 PM)
Report Violation
The 8 was bred by Tony Holmes & Dr Walter Zent in Kentucky you morons. Only 2 Euro's.

pschweig8984 (11/6/2010 at 6:05 PM)
Report Violation
Midge is NOT Euro!! Not according to where he was born anyway. Bred and born in Kentucky, which is the Good Ol' USA. No wins it!

[revnecro1273]

Um, yes, if you want to use the extremely juiced and inaccurate odds that ESPN used, I can't help you.

I'm talking about true odds. Did you not read lordswing's post?

she closed at even odds...so the field would have been like -110 to -120 range...basically a pick em