Im getting cooked like a beaver in Lousiniana on Thanksgiving

**onlooker** · 11-27-05, 05:54 PM

Favorites are still killing everyone, this needs to turn around, and fast. Its sick how much favorites are covering these last few weeks.

**Senator7** · 11-27-05, 06:05 PM

Books are too worried about the big money underdog bettors. Because of this, the opening numbers have been weak and there has been a ton of value with the chalk. This season more than any other, there have been many lines that have come out that I look at and shake my head before laughing all the way to the bank. I'm usually 60/40 in terms of favorites to underdogs. This year, its been closer to 80/20 and its worked really well so far. I'm 12-4 so far this week with Jacksonville and Green Bay still playing and both covering as we speak. I even played The Pack on the moneyline @ +225. Sorry, its been a bad week for you, Brick.

**freebie** · 11-27-05, 06:17 PM

I don't care if it's dog or favs. Just as the line looks good and it cash in for me.

KC -4 cashed in big for me today.
I can't see why anyone got to wager on dogs or no plays?

**Betman** · 11-27-05, 06:17 PM

Well Brick ! The positive thing about a day like this is that it can only get better from then on

**onlooker** · 11-27-05, 06:59 PM

Originally posted by freebie

I can't see why anyone got to wager on dogs or no plays?

Its not that way at all. If I find the value in betting a favorite, I will. But I wont lay to many points. I dont like laying anything over 2.5 in foots. Its mostly dogs and small favorites for me. I do very well with this and even though with the way the last few weeks have been going, Ive been doing pretty well.

Its mostly hoops and pucks for me. With a football wager here and there.

**Brick Tamland** · 11-27-05, 07:01 PM

Originally posted by Betman

Well Brick ! The positive thing about a day like this is that it can only get better from then on

Thats probly what they say at the bank when you file chapt 13.

**freebie** · 11-27-05, 09:15 PM

Originally posted by onlòóker

Its not that way at all. If I find the value in betting a favorite, I will. But I wont lay to many points. I dont like laying anything over 2.5 in foots. Its mostly dogs and small favorites for me. I do very well with this and even though with the way the last few weeks have been going, Ive been doing pretty well.

Its mostly hoops and pucks for me. With a football wager here and there.

Onlooker,

I think and bet the same style as you. :an_cheers

**onlooker** · 11-27-05, 09:54 PM

Originally posted by freebie

Onlooker,

I think and bet the same style as you. :an_cheers

You must be making good coin then.

**Senator7** · 11-28-05, 02:52 AM

You'll like the lines for next week's NFL games, Brick. A bunch of numbers that are 3 or less. I'd get some of the lines to 4 or 4.5 to discourage action on the chalk because the lines look like its going to be a pick the winner week in the NFL.

I'll keep my fingers crossed that the Steelers cover for you tomorrow night too.

**pags11** · 11-28-05, 03:23 AM

these are just some of the reasons I no longer bet on the NFL...

**JoshW** · 11-28-05, 10:23 AM

November has been pretty bad for me. Last November was bad too.

Favorites winning this much cannot be good for most bookmakers. I am not saying that you shouldn't be favorites, but historically linesmaker inflate the prices on favorites, so they weren't the best place to look for value.

Couple sharps I know have been playing some favorites for two years with success. I still tend to pick and follow plays that are chosen from dogs. My loss I guess, but I stilll don't see much value in favorites even with their current streak.