1. 10-07-13 04:19 PM #1
    BigDeem5
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    Prop in the MNF Game

    2.2 units gets you 2 units on this one

    Geno Smith +48.5 Pass yds versus Matt Ryan.

    Why? I see the Falcons winning this game fairly big, getting up early and Jets would be behind and throwing all 2h.

    Sure, Ryan is usually good for 300 yards at home in the dome, but.... If you're up 28-10 in the 3rd/4th you aren't going to throw much.

    Geno will throw pick(s), and hopefully Atlantas defense can give Atlanta a short field, limiting Ryan's pass yds as well.

    I see Ryan going for about 305 and Geno in the 280s.

    I see a Falcons 27-13 final as well.
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  2. 10-07-13 04:24 PM #2
    teaserpleaser
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    You underestimate how shitty the falcons defense is
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  3. 10-07-13 04:25 PM #3
    billysink
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDeem5 View Post
    2.2 units gets you 2 units on this one

    Geno Smith +48.5 Pass yds versus Matt Ryan.

    Why? I see the Falcons winning this game fairly big, getting up early and Jets would be behind and throwing all 2h.

    Sure, Ryan is usually good for 300 yards at home in the dome, but.... If you're up 28-10 in the 3rd/4th you aren't going to throw much.

    Geno will throw pick(s), and hopefully Atlantas defense can give Atlanta a short field, limiting Ryan's pass yds as well.


    Dude who he gonna throw to??
    I see Ryan going for about 305 and Geno in the 280s.

    I see a Falcons 27-13 final as well.
    Dude who he gonna throw it to?
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  4. 10-07-13 04:28 PM #4
    TonyTall
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    this thinking rarely works. i used to think this way with the underdog qb's getting +60 ect

    yes you might get a final drive, maybe 2, where atlanta is in the super prevent and geno racks up 70+ yards but it doesnt happen that often. but for 90% of the game ryan will have the petal to the metal trying to pick up first downs. so for 90% of the game its ryan vs smith in that fukin dome. how will smith fair, probably not that good. i would take ryan if it was -35 but its a pass for me
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  5. 10-07-13 04:28 PM #5
    Bet10Heinekens
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    Seems like a good bet, Falcons pass defense giving up nearly 300 ypg this year... I don't trust Smith yet and his top 2 WR might be out, Holmes and Hill
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  6. 10-07-13 04:29 PM #6
    BigDeem5
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    Quote Originally Posted by billysink View Post
    Dude who he gonna throw it to?
    Jeremy Kerley/Clyde Gates/Winslow
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  7. 10-07-13 04:32 PM #7
    billysink
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDeem5 View Post
    Jeremy Kerley/Clyde Gates/Winslow
    Shit pal Gates and Winslow don't have one good fukkin knee between them.

    Neither one a lock to play at all.

    Kerley is the only healthy wideout.
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  8. 10-07-13 04:36 PM #8
    Speedy88
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    Falcons gonna throw no matter what. Down a score, up 2 scores, they're gonna be throwing. I don't know why they don't run more, but Mike Smith and Falcons love to get pass happy. And personally, I doubt they'll have any success running against the Jets front seven.
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  9. 10-07-13 04:39 PM #9
    billysink
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    Quote Originally Posted by Speedy88 View Post
    Falcons gonna throw no matter what. Down a score, up 2 scores, they're gonna be throwing. I don't know why they don't run more, but Mike Smith and Falcons love to get pass happy. And personally, I doubt they'll have any success running against the Jets front seven.
    They will have to throw even when up to move the chains and eat clock. You can't control the clock on the ground against NY
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  10. 10-07-13 05:19 PM #10
    BigDeem5
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    This is a winner, pals.
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  11. 10-07-13 05:25 PM #11
    tatddy
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    No matter what pal you lose since this is the line I have. You better be getting +135 on that prop if you're risking more than beans.

    Mon 10/7 4901 G.Smith passing yards +50½ +115
    8:35PM 4902 M.Ryan passing yards -50½ -135
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  12. 10-07-13 05:33 PM #12
    Speedy88
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    Quote Originally Posted by billysink View Post
    They will have to throw even when up to move the chains and eat clock. You can't control the clock on the ground against NY
    Couldn't have said it better.
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  13. 10-07-13 05:35 PM #13
    BigDeem5
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    You think 2 yards worries me?

    Tatter, I scouted this one
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  14. 10-07-13 05:36 PM #14
    tatddy
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    Quote Originally Posted by BigDeem5 View Post
    You think 2 yards worries me?

    Tatter, I scouted this one
    It's all about value pal...especially with props. Based on your analysis on this game, you'd be better served taking Matt Ryan UNDER 297.5 at +115.

    Will root for your W.
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  15. 10-07-13 05:38 PM #15
    BigDeem5
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    Quote Originally Posted by tatddy View Post
    It's all about value pal...especially with props. Based on your analysis on this game, you'd be better served taking Matt Ryan UNDER 297.5 at +115.
    Matt Ryan will get 303 yards.
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  16. 10-07-13 06:29 PM #16
    Stokes36
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    I think Matt Ryan Over 25.5 completions is the bet here. It's at +130 on 5D, but I don't see how they don't just pass all day.
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    regdent gave Stokes36 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

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  17. 10-07-13 07:21 PM #17
    TonyTall
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    i would never take a matt ryan under prop at home. plain stupid
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  18. 10-07-13 08:25 PM #18
    teaserpleaser
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    Quote Originally Posted by teaserpleaser View Post
    You underestimate how shitty the falcons defense is
    Ryans going to be throwing alot pretty much all game good for my prop you see what I was talking about when I say how shitty falcons defense is shitty.
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  19. 10-07-13 10:00 PM #19
    Bcatswin
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    Damn Deemer your write up seems to be ass backwards
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