Bills will beat the commanders

[DJK]

My mind is very slow today.

Since you said Bills and Washington, I will have to make a wager on a parlay of Baltimore and Detroit.

99.99% guaranteed win with your losing streak of picks.

[mjsuax13]

My mind is very slow today.

Since you said Bills and Washington, I will have to make a wager on a parlay of Baltimore and Detroit.

99.99% guaranteed win with your losing streak of picks.

How many straight has he lost? 15?

[stevenash]

How many straight has he lost? 15?

That's Thom O. Rino Esq. (attorney at law, don't you know) territory.

[DJK]

Ok, I'm going to be really greedy and make a parlay wager of all favorites on the moneyline including OSU.

$1,000 returns $4,805.09 at DK.

+380 at DraftKings
+347 at FanDuel
+343 at betPARX
+355 at BetMGM
+330 at Caesars
+347 at Bet365
+333 at ESPNBet
+343 at Rivers
+346 at Bookmaker
+363 at Pinnacle

[DJK]

5 Picks Parlay +380
Ohio State, KC Chiefs, DET Lions, PHI Eagles, BAL Ravens
Open
Jan 17, 2025, 5:36:48 PMDK638727502068382302
Ohio State -360 Moneyline Ohio State Notre Dame Jan 20, 2025, 7:30:00 PM
KC Chiefs -455 Moneyline HOU Texans KC Chiefs Jan 18, 2025, 4:30:00 PM
DET Lions -470 Moneyline WAS Commanders DET Lions Jan 18, 2025, 8:00:00 PM
PHI Eagles -278 Moneyline LA Rams PHI Eagles Jan 19, 2025, 3:00:00 PM
BAL Ravens -115 Moneyline BAL Ravens BUF Bills Jan 19, 2025, 6:30:00 PM

[DJK]

After all, this is the record year where the favorites covered at the highest level.

See if that trend continues.

[DJK]

5 Picks Parlay +380
Ohio State, KC Chiefs, DET Lions, PHI Eagles, BAL Ravens
Open
Jan 17, 2025, 5:36:48 PMDK638727502068382302
Ohio State -360 Moneyline Ohio State Notre Dame Jan 20, 2025, 7:30:00 PM
KC Chiefs -455 Moneyline HOU Texans KC Chiefs Jan 18, 2025, 4:30:00 PM
DET Lions -470 Moneyline WAS Commanders DET Lions Jan 18, 2025, 8:00:00 PM
PHI Eagles -278 Moneyline LA Rams PHI Eagles Jan 19, 2025, 3:00:00 PM
BAL Ravens -115 Moneyline BAL Ravens BUF Bills Jan 19, 2025, 6:30:00 PM

Just in case this loses, I have a backup parlay of OSU, KC, and Detroit at -115 to win back what I would lose on this and more.

I might also wager on Detroit and Baltimore parlay at +126.

The way I see it, it wasn't the public wagering that moved the line from +1 to -1.5 for Baltimore.

But the other sharps could move it back to Buffalo being the favorite by the game time, so I may have to wait to bet this one but it sucks the games are Saturday and Sunday.

[johnnyvegas13]

Sticking w this

actually shaped up nicely

I am guessing bills will b favored by kick vs chiefs

[lakerboy]

Sticking w this

actually shaped up nicely

I am guessing bills will b favored by kick vs chiefs

They can't be too win this game. They must remain dogs

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Sticking w this

actually shaped up nicely

I am guessing bills will b favored by kick vs chiefs

Not sure about the #. But the Bills should be mentally ready to go.

Chance to reverse all the close losses:
1) Allen is in peak-form.
2) I feel like Mahomes is 10% off his peak. Kelce at least 20% off his peak.
3) Chefs are ripe. They don't have championship stats. And they've built up a ton of goodwill.
4) Bill summary this year = Less is More. Departures actually led to a more balanced team.

[Eddy Munny]

Bills will have to beat the zebras too. They all wear Chiefs jerseys underneath their stripes.

[DrunkHorseplayer]

After all, this is the record year where the favorites covered at the highest level.

See if that trend continues.

Dogs are 7-3 ATS in the NFL playoffs
Chalk is 9-2 ATS in NCAA

[pavyracer]

So Chiefs - Eagles is the play. Thanks JV.

[OldBill]

supe r bowl will be eagales vs bills and mor tahe your penetrating house seell your car an d ev erything else and BET THE BILLS

im not a fab of bills but i watc hed this team all year an d wow specail teams offsensive cooridtoer Degensive coord like a fine tuned machine

egles disped of rams just didnt cover spread now we face wash an d on t hier 4 th str8 road

might not cover spread

but teams after tangiling with lions this year and last faill miserably ats and many s/u

[johnnyvegas13]

supe r bowl will be eagales vs bills and mor tahe your penetrating house seell your car an d ev erything else and BET THE BILLS

im not a fab of bills but i watc hed this team all year an d wow specail teams offsensive cooridtoer Degensive coord like a fine tuned machine

egles disped of rams just didnt cover spread now we face wash an d on t hier 4 th str8 road

might not cover spread

but teams after tangiling with lions this year and last faill miserably ats and many s/u

Your last point is a legit trend that is concerning

also wash lost a good o line man

that said eags hav injuries as well

and I wouldn’t change my picks

[Eddy Munny]

Wow, turns out Johnny is the only one who can decipher Old Bill's posts.

These two bobbleheads must speak a secret dialect.

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Your last point is a legit trend that is concerning

also wash lost a good o line man

that said eags hav injuries as well

and I wouldn’t change my picks

Your pick might get there, John. GL

[hehfest]

JV - The Masonic Order (Masons) run the NFL and did you know before posting this that "33" years ago (33 is the Mason "special" number) the Skins played the Bills in the Super Bowl? Just sayin'!

[johnnyvegas13]

JV - The Masonic Order (Masons) run the NFL and did you know before posting this that "33" years ago (33 is the Mason "special" number) the Skins played the Bills in the Super Bowl? Just sayin'!

I like it

[Eddy Munny]

JV - The Masonic Order (Masons) run the NFL and did you know before posting this that "33" years ago (33 is the Mason "special" number) the Skins played the Bills in the Super Bowl? Just sayin'!

That's true, but why commemorate that fact this year as opposed to other years? In other words every year there's a 33rd anniversary of a Super Bowl... for instance last year would've been a great time for the Bills to meet the Giants in the SB just like they did 33 years earlier. What would be the impetus for doing it specifically this year?

[stevenash]

Wow, turns out Johnny is the only one who can decipher Old Bill's posts.

Who knew?

[ChuckyTheGoat]

Sticking w this

actually shaped up nicely

I am guessing bills will b favored by kick vs chiefs

Johnny, you might actually hit this one. If you do, think about the Humble Pie that the trolls would have to eat.

[johnnyvegas13]

Johnny, you might actually hit this one. If you do, think about the Humble Pie that the trolls would have to eat.

Check who even cares

buncha trolls don’t discourage me none

[SundanceKid]

Old Bill, you forgot to mention the most important part as to why Buffalo wins the Super Bowl. Both Washington and Philly lost to Tampa Bay this season. Losing to Tampa Bay is the Number 1 Eliminating Factor of the Old Bill Super Bowl Almanac.

[stevenash]

he Old Bill Super Bowl Almanac.

I would love a copy of that Almanac, guaranteed to keep me busy for days.

[Easy-Rider 66]

Johnny, you might actually hit this one. If you do, think about the Humble Pie that the trolls would have to eat.

With all dues respect Chuck, those who are tired of JV's act have a legit point. Yeah every now and then JV hits something but who doesn't when throwing darts. No rationale is ever given for a play, no record keeping on JV's results, and the attention seeking is constant. I really don't understand the dynamic between JV and you unless you know each other offline which is a high probability?

Remember his classic dart of New Orleans to beat GB ON a MON Night game 2024. NO JV did not take the 14 points or give any rationale on why he liked NO. He just said on it. You want to call us trolls go ahead. But look in the mirror. JV and you are 2 of the biggest trolls here in regard to his action. Just my 2 cents. Have a good day.

[johnnyvegas13]

Not sure how I’m a troll when all I do is post plays consistently

guess depends on what u think a troll is

[Easy-Rider 66]

Not sure how I’m a troll when all I do is post plays consistently

guess depends on what u think a troll is

you are a TROLL to the max as you don't grade/tally your action and you just say ON IT. Think about JV. You are trolling SBR?

[Easy-Rider 66]

Not sure how I’m a troll when all I do is post plays consistently

guess depends on what u think a troll is

Trolling is when someone posts or comments online to 'bait' people, which means deliberately provoking an argument or emotional reaction. In some cases they say things they don't even believe, just to cause drama.

[Easy-Rider 66]

I think the above explanation fits your SBR Methodology to a T JV.

[Easy-Rider 66]

Your NO Pick over GB Late last year is a classic example of trolling SBR. You will never convince me you really thought they would win. You posted an New Orleans ON IT to get a reaction from SBR and to garner attention. No worries though JV. It's all in fun. BTW I am on both WASH and BUFF + the points. Not because of your proclamations though. See what happens.

[johnnyvegas13]

lol those were just bad picks not trolling

[Easy-Rider 66]

lol those were just bad picks not trolling

If you can recall why did you Like New Orleans in that spot?

[johnnyvegas13]

If you can recall why did you Like New Orleans in that spot?

I liked the big number right of the + sign

[Easy-Rider 66]

I liked the big number right of the + sign

you just explained your methodology here at SBR JV. THX for the answer. Good day.