REMAINDER of 2024 all sports all plays, and high volume

[veriableodds]

Note this Dodgers loss on Tuesday.. IF they lose again today I'll Martingale them -1.5 RL for the next 2-3 games, and will continue even once my bet wins.

They are far, far too good to be on any losing streaks in the foreseeable future. The most they will lose this season is 3 straight. So I stay away today, but will get my money ready for tomorrow in case the Nats manage another upset

Hope this works out, sounds like you're onto something. LAD get the win today. I used to take risks like your martingale, can't stomach it anymore. I will however try 3 parlays throughout the year if I can find a less than 3% chance of losing with payout above 5% on the ML. Last time I tried it Alabama did me in. The only sports I delve with this stuff is college more specific ncaaf, ncaab
GL

[MalikHusam]

Note this Dodgers loss on Tuesday.. IF they lose again today I'll Martingale them -1.5 RL for the next 2-3 games, and will continue even once my bet wins.

They are far, far too good to be on any losing streaks in the foreseeable future. The most they will lose this season is 3 straight. So I stay away today, but will get my money ready for tomorrow in case the Nats manage another upset

[veriableodds]

8-7/ +0.42u
ytd/ 292-536-20/ -3.67u

4/9 *actually just sticking with home teams with +ev over 105 value. Reduced volume and take adv. of the league trend. Never will I play a total in baseball over 7, unless it's an under with at least 1r adv.
NHL
anh/+131

MLB
ptt/+103
det/+134
sea/+115
mia/nym/O7/-120
sd/oak/U10/-105
plays=6
risk=1.50u

[veriableodds]

5-3/ +0.65u
ytd/ 284-529-20/ -4.09u

4/8 *notes: Depending on performance over next 2 weeks I might just eliminate road teams altogether. Have 2 games with correlated wagers today, will just divide the risk in half but count each wager separate.
NHL
bff/+166
fl/+107
nsh/+114

NBA
nop/+3
mlw/+5

MLB *correlated
nyy/+150*
nyy/det/O7/-115*
stl/+125*
stl/ptt/O6.5/-120*
lad/-164
tx/+140
cld/+145
az/-111
sfg/-115
mia/nym/O7/-115
plays=15
risk=3.25u

[veriableodds]

6-3-1/ +1.09u
ytd/ 479-526-20/ -4.74u

4/7
MLB
det/+140 (46.1% + +140 =110)
lad/-162 (65.3% + -162 =105)
tx/+115 (50.8% + +115 =109)
blt/+110 (53.1% + +110 =108)
cnn/+131 (46.8% + +131 =108)
mia/nym/O7/-120 (66% + -120 =120) projection of 8 runs
tor/bst/U9/-110 (66% + -110 =126) projection of 7.85 runs
mnn/kc/U8.5/-120 (66% + -120 =120) prj 6.88 runs
plays=8
risk=2.00u

[veriableodds]

*notes: Not sure if the under 40% win rate projections equal value despite being +ev +105 so just going to eliminate them.
4/6 -continued
NHL
chi/+118 (48.3% + +118 =105)
nsh/-108 (57% + -108 = 110)

NBA
bkl/+3.5 (48.3% + +140 =116)
hou/+4.5 (40.5% + +170 =109)

MLB
atl/-148 (67% + -148 =112)
cnn/+134 (45.5% + +134 =106)
hou+109 (54% + +109 =112)
sdp/+125 (47.8% + +125 =107)
cld/+101 (54.5% + +101 =109)
plays=10
risk=2.95u (9 x 0.25 =2.25 + 0.70 = 2.95u)

[veriableodds]

1-3-1/ -0.52u
ytd/ 473-523-19/ -5.83u

*Ok going back to the math equation based off what the thread was started for originally. Which is +ev value 105 or over. will put the equation next the picks for 2 days. This will bring higher volume but will be keeping the flat 0.25u risk each.
4/6
PGA VALERO TX OPEN
b harman (-145/ 0.70u-r, I always risk more on golf) (70%win rate + the payout -145 which is 69% equals=1.18 value of 13) -vs- the field

[veriableodds]

2-3/ -0.43u
ytd/ 472-520-18/ -5.31u

4/5
NBA
mlw/mia/O213.5/-108

CBB
boise st/-135

MLB
bst/-114
atl/-220
oak/cld/U9.5/-115
plays=5
risk=1.25u

[veriableodds]

4/4
MLB
stl/+131
nym/-120
atl/-220
tb/+122
sdp/cbs/O6.5/-125
plays=5
risk=1.25u

[veriableodds]

5-5/ -0.09u
ytd/ 470-517-18/ -4.88u

4/3
*no plays

[veriableodds]

0-2/ -1.02u
ytd/ 465-51-18/ -4.79u

4/2 *sticking with same everything just changing to flat wagering (0.25u per w)
NBA
mia/bst/O212/-108

CBB
g.twn/+8.5/-110

MLB
cnn/-120
tb/+108
stl/-137
tor/+106
c.cbs/+102
blt/+107
kc/mlw/U8/-115
cld/phi/O7/-115
plays=10
risk=2.5u (0.25ur-each)

[veriableodds]

3-3/ +0.02
ytd/ 465-510-18/ -3.77u

4/1
NHL
wnp/+112/ 0.51

MLB
hou/+106/ 0.51
plays=2
risk=1.02u

[veriableodds]

Thanks Chuck. Blood in blood out.

3-5/ -1.37u
ytd/ 463-508-18/ -3.79

3/31
CBB
utah/+100/ 0.54
gtwn/wsh st/U159/-110/ 0.56

MLB
bst/+128/ 0.52
cnn/+107/ 0.52
hou/-120/ 0.58
det/+106/ 0.56
plays=6
risk=3.28

[ChuckyTheGoat]

3/30 continued
NBA
cha/nop/O212/-110/ 0.56

CBB
tnn/hou/O123.5/-110/ 0.56

MLB
blt/+119/ 0.51
cnn/+110/ 0.50
ptt/-105/ 0.56
clv/+102/ 0.52
stl/+111/ 0.51
plays=8
risk=4.43u

Props on your efforts, Veri. GL on the Baseball.

[veriableodds]

3/30 continued
NBA
cha/nop/O212/-110/ 0.56

CBB
tnn/hou/O123.5/-110/ 0.56

MLB
blt/+119/ 0.51
cnn/+110/ 0.50
ptt/-105/ 0.56
clv/+102/ 0.52
stl/+111/ 0.51
plays=8
risk=4.43u

[veriableodds]

2-2/ +0.08
ytd/ 460-503-18/ -2.42

regular plays post Sunday morning, if any!
3/29
PGA Houston open
min woo lee (-190/0.71/) -vs- the field

[veriableodds]

0-2-1/ -1.04u
ytd/ 458-501-18/ -2.50u

3/29
MLB
nyy/-149/ 0.65
stl/+110/ 0.51
sfg/+112/ 0.51
nym/+113/ 0.51
plays=4
risk=2.18u

[spiromoney23]

May lal ML be the worst beat of your season

lebron...

[veriableodds]

3-3/ -0.26u
ytd/ 458-499-17/ -1.46u

3/28
MLB
blt/+118/ 0.53
atl/+114/ 0.51
oak/sea/O7/-110/ 0.56
plays=3
risk=1.60u

[veriableodds]

1-0/ +0.51u
ytd/ 455-496-17/ -1.20

3/27 see post#267
NBA
lal/-150/ 0.66

MLB
tx/+100/ 0.53
ptt/-145/ 0.63
stl/-105/ 0.57
phi/wsh/O7/-110/ 0.56
laa/cws/O7.5/-110/ 0.56
plays=6
risk=3.51u

[veriableodds]

0-1/ -0.50u
ytd/ 454-496-17/ -1.71u

3/26
NBA
bst/phx/O221/+102/*alt line/ 0.50
plays=1
risk=0.50u

[veriableodds]

I did find one for today. Might as well list 3/27 plays for the deck
3/25
MLB
atl/+120/ 0.50
plays=1
risk= 0.50u

3/27 *on deck
tx/+100/ 0.53
ptt/-145/ 0.63
stl/-105/ 0.57
phi/wsh/O7/-110/ 0.56
laa/cws/O7.5/-110/ 0.56
(risk=2.85u)

[veriableodds]

3-1/ +0.74u
ytd/ 454-495-17/ -1.21u

3/25 *no plays meet criteria

[veriableodds]

2-1/ +0.55u
ytd/ 451-494-17/ -1.95

3/24
NBA
tor/+100/ 0.53
dnv/-155/ 0.68

CBB
army/ fl gulf c/U151/ 0.55
cleveland st/-170/ 0.68
plays=4
risk=2.44u

[veriableodds]

1-4/ -1.98
ytd/ 449-493-17/ -2.50u

3/23
CBB
n arizona/+120/ 0.52
n texas/-170/ 0.68

PGA- VALSPAR
winner
hoveland/brideman/echavarria/ @+113/ 0.50/-vs- the field
plays=3
risk=1.70u

[veriableodds]

2-1/ +0.36u
ytd/ 448-489-17/ -0.52u

3/22
NHL
nj/-108/ 0.57

NBA
mlw/+115/ 0.52

CBB
dayton/-145/ 0.63
purdue/-250/ 0.80
Wisconsin/-115/ 0.58
plays=5
risk=3.10u

[veriableodds]

6-6/ -0.23u
ytd/ 446-488-17/ -0.88u

3/21 *keepin it the same (+ev over 105) just fine tuning, as in more favorites, or less long outside chances, reduced volume
NBA
phi/sas/U236/ 0.56

CBB
ole miss./+110/ 0.52
Connecticut/-215/ 0.74
plays=3
risk=1.82u

[veriableodds]

7-1/ +1.93u
ytd/ 440-482-17/ -0.65u

3/20 *Bad feeling about these but unbiased here
NHL
clb/+168/ 0.43
phi/ +236/ 0.34
chi/+233/ 0.37
bff/+156/ 0.44
bst/+252/ 0.37
sj/+1.5g/+121/ 0.28
tor/nyr/O5.5g/-120/ 0.6

NBA
bkl/+8.5/ 0.21
cha/+7.5/ 0.32
chi/+7/ 0.36
tor/+14/ 0.19

CBB
wofford/tnn./O133/ 0.57
plays=12
risk= 4.48u

[veriableodds]

1-5/ -1.36u
ytd/ 433-481-17/ -2.58u

3/19
NBA *lines -110 unless stated
dll/+10.5/ 0.29
mia/+5.5/ 0.46
no/+13.5/ 0.20
sa/+8.5/ 0.36
wsh/+5/ 0.46
chi/+7/ 0.38

CBB
uab/+5/ 0.37
bradley/-145/ 0.75
plays=8
risk=3.27u

[veriableodds]

0-1/ -0.60u
ytd/ 432-476-17/ -1.22

Reverting back to +ev value/ Since these are not my personal picks it requires little work. Wager based off % projection of winning.
NHL
clg/+220/ 0.37
anh/+300/ 0.28
chi/+140/ 0.45

NBA
cha/+8/-108/ 0.36
clv/ml. -150/ 0.64

CBB
st louis/+6/-110/ 0.44
plays=6
risk=2.54

[veriableodds]

1-0/ +0.19
ytd/ 432-475-17/ -0.62

3/16
PGA - THE PLAYERS *to be graded a one
winner odds
jj spaun/+210/ 0.4
b cauley/+500/ 0.2
plays=1
risk= 0.60u

[veriableodds]

0-1/ -0.10u
ytd/ 431-475-17/ -0.81

Last on maybe some redemption
3/15
3 team selection parlay/+128
CBB
memphis/-420
houston/-280
liberty/-280
plays=1
risk/ 0.15u

[veriableodds]

Fun parlay WTF not
3/14
6 selections/ +545
nba/bst/mia/O214.5/-108
CBB
tnn/-500
northfolk st/-800
n tx/-1200
uc irvine/-550
gr st/ala st/O127.5/-110
plays=1
risk= 0.10u

[veriableodds]

1-0/ +0.49u
ytd/ 431-474-17/ -0.71u

[veriableodds]

3/8
PGA Arnold palmer inv.
winner
THE FIELD@-125 -vs- c. morikawa/ 0.61
plays=1
risk=0.61u