Mia +255

**goduke** · 05-25-23, 07:42 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

The Heat close this out. All the talk of Boston coming back ends in a whimper.

I think it ends Saturday. That being said your bet for tonight is the only bet worth anything so it’s still the right play

**d2bets** · 05-25-23, 07:57 AM

Ballsy
I think I'd prefer 8.5. This series is due for a close game.

**lakerboy** · 05-25-23, 08:06 AM

Originally posted by d2bets

Ballsy
I think I'd prefer 8.5. This series is due for a close game.

I think books are looking at this as Boston wins big or just loses outright. I don't think that mia would cover and lose. The ml is obviously low.

**d2bets** · 05-25-23, 08:09 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

I think books are looking at this as Boston wins big or just loses outright. I don't think that mia would cover and lose. The ml is obviously low.

I disagree. I'm calling a close game. Could go either way, but margin 5 or less. Maybe an OT.

**scorpion896** · 05-25-23, 10:03 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

I think books are looking at this as Boston wins big or just loses outright. I don't think that mia would cover and lose. The ml is obviously low.

Strongly disagree with this. Miami is 3-1 ATS in this series, and are 12-5 ATS in the playoffs, books had to adjust. If anything, +255 looks high to me given that.

**lakerboy** · 05-25-23, 10:22 AM

Originally posted by scorpion896

Strongly disagree with this. Miami is 3-1 ATS in this series, and are 12-5 ATS in the playoffs, books had to adjust. If anything, +255 looks high to me given that.

No the ml is low. It was+310 in game 1 with a 8.5 spread.

**scorpion896** · 05-25-23, 10:29 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

No the ml is low. It was+310 in game 1 with a 8.5 spread.

Yeah but isn't perception of Miami and Boston different now than what it was in Game 1? Miami was a huge underdog in the series back then. They are favored to win the series now, shouldn't it be adjusted?

**lakerboy** · 05-25-23, 10:32 AM

Originally posted by scorpion896

Yeah but isn't perception of Miami and Boston different now than what it was in Game 1? Miami was a huge underdog in the series back then. They are favored to win the series now, shouldn't it be adjusted?

It did get adjusted . It was+310 now it's +255. Books aren't going to give+310 today. You get it now or not?

**actiondan** · 05-25-23, 11:53 AM

is jimmy butler mj's illegitimate son?

**ChuckyTheGoat** · 05-25-23, 12:00 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

The Heat close this out. All the talk of Boston coming back ends in a whimper.

Good Luck, Laker. I don't doubt your play.

I do feel like Boston has the horses and the momentum here. For Miami to win, I think they need some Spoelstra brilliance and a big effort from one of the bench players.

**BeatTheJerk** · 05-25-23, 12:17 PM

Gabe Vincent out for tonight games could be a big enough factor why they lose tonight in a close one.

**lakerboy** · 05-25-23, 01:28 PM

Originally posted by BeatTheJerk

Gabe Vincent out for tonight games could be a big enough factor why they lose tonight in a close one.

WHO?

Never heard of him.

**stevenash** · 05-25-23, 01:30 PM

Originally posted by d2bets

I disagree. I'm calling a close game. Could go either way, but margin 5 or less. Maybe an OT.

Boston wins, Miami covers.
That's the way I see it.

**BeatTheJerk** · 05-25-23, 01:44 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

WHO?

Never heard of him.

17.5 points a game this series that guy, their starting point guard.

**pavyracer** · 05-25-23, 01:47 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

WHO?

Never heard of him.

**stevenash** · 05-25-23, 01:53 PM

^
I'm pretty sure LB was being sarcastic.
I'd bet cash money on that.

**asiagambler** · 05-25-23, 01:54 PM

Miami blowout

**lakerboy** · 05-25-23, 01:56 PM

Originally posted by stevenash

^
I'm pretty sure LB was being sarcastic.
I'd bet cash money on that.

Yes but he is just one of a team full of bums that are stepping up. Some other bum will today

**stevenash** · 05-25-23, 01:59 PM

^
I think it's Tatum's show tonight.
Too bad one of us is going to be wrong.

**Snowball** · 05-25-23, 02:05 PM

I'm not surprised at the decision to sit Vincent, who could play, but is being saved for Game 6.
The question is how to win despite this? Of course, the answer is Kyle Lowry, but it's more complicated than that.
Lowry needs to take more shots. He's overpassing, despite his 2022/23 FG% being 40.4% compared to career 42.4%,
not a significant drop-off.

So, Lowry is going to have to take his shots when he has them, and I think that could help the Heat not tire, so
they can quickly get back on defense. Miami will win if they shoot well enough and don't try to spend too much energy
fighting in the paint for second chances and fouls that won't be easy to get when Boston is at home and desperate.

So, I think the key to tonight's game is for Miami to save its energy for defense, and don't go in there trying to outplay Boston. Just concentrate on shooting the ball, which is why they are even in this position.

**johnnyvegas13** · 05-25-23, 02:38 PM

Stupid

**stevenash** · 05-25-23, 03:06 PM

^
Elaborate Johnny?

**Snowball** · 05-25-23, 03:21 PM

If the Heat are going to make a game of this or even win
that Lowry point prop has to hit.

Over 11.5 -120

**gauchojake** · 05-25-23, 04:32 PM

Originally posted by johnnyvegas13

Stupid

You calling a bet stupid is pretty rich

**ThaTopMoron** · 05-25-23, 07:02 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

The Heat close this out. All the talk of Boston coming back ends in a whimper.

Boston isn't losing a 3rd in a row at home... a full week in between games

books already slapped the public around enough Den not covering 2x at home... beating LA in LA 2x for a sweep and and what the heat did with 2 wins @ bos in which both were dd comebacks then blew boston out the water at home

Bos wins tonight and probably cover the first half and cover the full game spread.... maybe a chance on a play on Heat spread at half if down double digits

**ThaTopMoron** · 05-25-23, 07:04 PM

Originally posted by BeatTheJerk

17.5 points a game this series that guy, their starting point guard.

LB doesn't watch the games...

**lakerboy** · 05-25-23, 07:06 PM

Originally posted by ThaTopMoron

Boston isn't losing a 3rd in a row at home... a full week in between games

books already slapped the public around enough Den not covering 2x at home... beating LA in LA 2x for a sweep and and what the heat did with 2 wins @ bos in which both were dd comebacks then blew boston out the water at home

Bos wins tonight and probably cover the first half and cover the full game spread.... maybe a chance on a play on Heat spread at half if down double digits

You talking about the Boston that is 4-5 at home in the playoffs?
The Boston that could not win gm 5 at home vs the lowly Hawks?

The Boston that got blown out at home in game 5 vs the sixers?

You think you know which Boston is going to show up today?

I KNOW mia will show up.

**homie1975** · 05-25-23, 07:09 PM

celtics -8 or no play at all

the twitterverse calling them quitters especially Tragic Magic Johnson and his loudmouth,
awakened the sleeping giants.

celtics roll, but may miss the cover by 1 or 2 points.

Heat ML is dead money

you are betting because you hate Boston.

not wise

**TheMoneyShot** · 05-25-23, 07:11 PM

I don't like any dude missing a game who gives you +17.5 points a game. Miami already down 2 big bench players... now a 3rd?? Terrible news. And will he even be available for Game 6? Crazy news. Not good.

**lakerboy** · 05-25-23, 07:12 PM

Originally posted by homie1975

celtics -8 or no play at all

the twitterverse calling them quitters especially Tragic Magic Johnson and his loudmouth,
awakened the sleeping giants.

celtics roll, but may miss the cover by 1 or 2 points.

Heat ML is dead money

you are betting because you hate Boston.

not wise

I don't need your advice.

Your post is funny though. You covered it all just in case.

**homie1975** · 05-25-23, 07:13 PM

the play is Boston -8.5 (now) or no play at all.

i am staying off but if forced i would give the points.

no play for me.

Heat ML is dead on arrival.

Losing wager.

**Darkside Magick** · 05-25-23, 07:15 PM

Ran Monte Carlo Simulation 10 million times....... Boston -5

**ThaTopMoron** · 05-25-23, 07:48 PM

Originally posted by lakerboy

You talking about the Boston that is 4-5 at home in the playoffs?
The Boston that could not win gm 5 at home vs the lowly Hawks?

The Boston that got blown out at home in game 5 vs the sixers?

You think you know which Boston is going to show up today?

I KNOW mia will show up.

Mia now +500... unload LB

if Mia has another superhuman underdog road comeback i will be BLEEDING TONIGHT.... but I had no sweat making the Boston -300 bet because FUK spreads over -7 ... too hard to predict blowouts

**TheMoneyShot** · 05-25-23, 08:01 PM

Miami will conserve their energy.... and save it for Game 6. Boston -10 cover for sure.