2 games. Philly@Atlanta (+1)total is 224.5 as well as Phoenix@Denver (-1.5) total in that game is 223. 76ers/Hawks line seems spot on, exactly what it should be. However I struggle to see how Denver is laying a basket to Phoenix after how Phoenix has absolutely dominated them for about 6 quarters straight.
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if 2020 taught us anything its wait til everyone counts the Nuggets out then bet themComment -
Denver much better with Will Barton back though his teammates didn't show up.Comment -
Favor DEN minus the small # tonight.Comment -
Can someone tell me why Atlanta isn't favored at home tonight? They were a very good home team later in the season even at limited capacity. Full capacity tonight that place will be rocking and this series is all about runs. They should be able to have some huge runs at home. Can Embiid carry Philly all by himself? I just don't see the Hawks being intimidated. + money seem almost too good to be true. Tell me what I'm missing.Comment -
76ers should win pretty easilyComment -
Denver starters were awful outside of jokic last game. Don't see that happening again it might be similar to the bucks vs nets game last night.Comment -
Don’t think u can go wrong taking home teams
then again I always wrong in nbaComment -
I make a wide range of forecasts and the sharpest playoff forecast I have shows Philly beating Atlanta buy more than 4 points. As I tier down the forecasts Philly continues to have a few point to moneyline edge.
The non-predictive public gauge, which I create to gauge the sentiment of the general betting population, based on ratings, formulas, and an assessment of the news cycle, both local and broad (yeah, what we do in my office is pretty fukkin' sick) also has Philly winning 113-111.
Everyone has Philly nailed down, but it's the public gauge along with unsophisticated ratings and strategies that gives Atlanta more credit, this is evident across the spectrum. Think about that if you are assessing the game based on simple factors or even just feel alone.
When it comes to the market the books know the line is priced low and quite frankly are happy at this point to take in the bets on Philly here. That said, my scan across the market, something I talked about in the Morino WNBA thread, and other info tells us that another group in the New Jersey area or at least getting down there likes Atlanta and represents market moving money to those books in spite of the public pressure on Philly.
It's early and this situation is fluid but this gives yet another glimpse into how my office handicaps.
I have no bet at this time but if the volume continues to come in on the side it has and the books continure to hold the line, we will have Atlanta +1.5 on the contrarian Fund radar.
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what was philly......... -3.5 first game?
looked fishy and hawks won
now philly is -1 on the road?
looks fishy
probably philly winComment
