Easiest hedge of my life..Trevisan +627 (468/2936)

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  • Doug tushyterror
    SBR MVP
    • 07-03-12
    • 4172

    #1
    Easiest hedge of my life..Trevisan +627 (468/2936)
    Totally expecting her to lose but I can't take that chance.
    $4122 or $7527 balance depending on the outcome. This ensures $7059 regardless who wins. Absolute no brainer considering it's the WTA and all the favorites that came in yesterday.
  • pologq
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-07-12
    • 19899

    #2
    good luck

    you are transparent with your action. it is nice to see.
    Comment
    • SamsNCharge99
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 10-22-08
      • 41242

      #3
      nice win either way
      Comment
      • Doug tushyterror
        SBR MVP
        • 07-03-12
        • 4172

        #4
        Originally posted by pologq
        good luck

        you are transparent with your action. it is nice to see.
        Appreciate it man, It's only fair I post the good shit with the bad.
        Comment
        • Doug tushyterror
          SBR MVP
          • 07-03-12
          • 4172

          #5
          Originally posted by SamsNCharge99
          nice win either way
          Thanks Sam, as bad as yesterday was to think I only needed 3 points in the last 18+ minutes to actually have a really good SB Sunday instead of losing $7654 is kind of painfully hysterical.
          Comment
          • pologq
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-07-12
            • 19899

            #6
            Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
            Thanks Sam, as bad as yesterday was to think I only needed 3 points in the last 18+ minutes to actually have a really good SB Sunday instead of losing $7654 is kind of painfully hysterical.
            there is no one that would have said before the game yesterday the chiefs would score under 10 points. even on a bad day you would think 17 points to 20 points.
            Comment
            • Doug tushyterror
              SBR MVP
              • 07-03-12
              • 4172

              #7
              Originally posted by pologq
              there is no one that would have said before the game yesterday the chiefs would score under 10 points. even on a bad day you would think 17 points to 20 points.
              They made it all the more painful by converting that 4th down on that last drive to set up a 1st down at the 14. (-322 live at that point to score at BM). I just knew they wouldn't.
              Comment
              • chargers4222
                SBR MVP
                • 01-16-10
                • 4702

                #8
                Definitely should've just taken her +1.5, give yourself a chance to win both.
                Comment
                • Doug tushyterror
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-03-12
                  • 4172

                  #9
                  Originally posted by chargers4222
                  Definitely should've just taken her +1.5, give yourself a chance to win both.
                  Wouldn't do me any good. The +627 makes it a perfect hedge based on the balance distribution.
                  Comment
                  • Otters27
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 07-14-07
                    • 30760

                    #10
                    Breath easy
                    Comment
                    • Doug tushyterror
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-03-12
                      • 4172

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Otters27
                      Breath easy
                      Appreciate it but we both know it's never easy just on to the next bet.
                      Comment
                      • Johnnythunder
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-25-10
                        • 2161

                        #12
                        I took her + 6.5 (juiced)....she has talent & the other girl is a total flake
                        Comment
                        • Doug tushyterror
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-03-12
                          • 4172

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Johnnythunder
                          I took her + 6.5 (juiced)....she has talent & the other girl is a total flake
                          Agreed she's even a live dog @+627.. She made the FO QF from qualies beating a lot of good players. (Giorgi, Gauff, Sakkari, & Bertens)
                          Comment
                          • chargers4222
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-16-10
                            • 4702

                            #14
                            Originally posted by Doug tushyterror
                            Agreed she's even a live dog @+627.. She made the FO QF from qualies beating a lot of good players. (Giorgi, Gauff, Sakkari, & Bertens)
                            That was on clay. I don't think there is any chance of her winning the match but 2-1 Alexandrova is actually pretty likely.
                            Comment
                            • jjgold
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 07-20-05
                              • 388179

                              #15
                              nice maneuver
                              Comment
                              • Smoke
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-09-09
                                • 48111

                                #16
                                Did he win?
                                Comment
                                • cincinnatikid513
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 11-23-17
                                  • 45360

                                  #17
                                  what was orginal bet
                                  Comment
                                  • jjgold
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 07-20-05
                                    • 388179

                                    #18
                                    The guy is like a technician I like his style
                                    Comment
                                    • Doug tushyterror
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-03-12
                                      • 4172

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by cincinnatikid513
                                      what was orginal bet
                                      Won the 1st one..didn't realize the Alexandrova match was today otherwise I would've picked an other play wo. having to hedge.

                                      Comment
                                      • Underdog5229
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 10-31-11
                                        • 1856

                                        #20
                                        nice work I must say
                                        Comment
                                        • Doug tushyterror
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-03-12
                                          • 4172

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Underdog5229
                                          nice work I must say
                                          Thanks man just lucky I picked a spot where pretty much all the favs. were hitting.
                                          Comment
                                          • cincinnatikid513
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 11-23-17
                                            • 45360

                                            #22
                                            i like the russian hope she kicks ass tonight
                                            Comment
                                            • Smoke
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 10-09-09
                                              • 48111

                                              #23
                                              Did he win
                                              Comment
                                              • jtoler
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 12-17-13
                                                • 30967

                                                #24
                                                there was no reason to hedge for this one u could have saved that half a dime. trevisan is talented not quite as much as she is annoying on the court though. and that talent and game is built for clay not as much on hard. alex has too much power for her here
                                                Comment
                                                • Vyasports
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-27-19
                                                  • 4946

                                                  #25
                                                  Best betting decision

                                                  Now just FORGET about this match.

                                                  Comment
                                                  • lonegambler23
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 06-22-16
                                                    • 9760

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by jtoler
                                                    there was no reason to hedge for this one u could have saved that half a dime. trevisan is talented not quite as much as she is annoying on the court though. and that talent and game is built for clay not as much on hard. alex has too much power for her here
                                                    after the day he had yesterday it was the move. good work douggy, kids proving himself here!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • jtoler
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 12-17-13
                                                      • 30967

                                                      #27
                                                      with that said the reason many heavy favs like this lose is because of underestimating the opponent, bad tactics, overall nerves etc. alexandrova is no stranger to nerves and trevisan will make her work some probably more in the 2nd set though. alexandrova can hit too flat a lot of times resulting in many balls into the net. longer rallies favor trevisan who naturally knows to play a few feet back behind the baseline than normal. a match last night saw savinykh, who should of beaten cornet who is smart enough to know to nullify power by backing up, ultimately became the downfall for savinykh who had no answer to that simple tactic. savinykh was on the top of her game, for her, with power strokes all over the court and with cornet 5 feet behind the baseline could have easily drop shot cornet to death which would have caused cornet to have to make a decision on whether to play so deep also have her exerting energy running to the net. but no savinykh as most power players was caught up in the moment and not thinking and the better seasoned veteran cornet outlasted her as savinykh couldnt maintain the winners. match reminded me years ago of cibulkova/radwanska, radwasnka was being hit all over the court and off it and all cibulkova had to do was hit drop shots but was tickled by the fact she could make radwanska look silly exerting so much energy.
                                                      Comment
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