Cowboys over Cards

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  • kelly@Vegas
    SBR High Roller
    • 01-06-20
    • 193

    #1
    Cowboys over Cards
    I got this at plus 2.5 for cowboys early before the Line moved to -1 for them because the public is getting smoked with the packers and rams. This is the exact same spot and over reaction that caused both packers and rams to move from a look ahead line of plus 3 to -2.5. Recency bias so much stronger these days with all the states legalizing sports betting that the books have to adjust the lines creating value for the sharper people that know and understand numbers and where the value is. Cowboys were -3 in the look ahead and moved to plus 2.5 because of the dak injury. No reason for the move as andy dalton is more than capable and one of the best backups and insurance policies in the league. He could start on about 10 teams in the league right now. If you didnt get in on the cowboys wait till before kickoff more stupid money will come in on cards, take the moneyline you dont need the points in this one. Cowboys either win or lose by 10 plus
  • jrgum3
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-21-17
    • 7005

    #2
    Originally posted by kelly@Vegas
    I got this at plus 2.5 for cowboys early before the Line moved to -1 for them because the public is getting smoked with the packers and rams. This is the exact same spot and over reaction that caused both packers and rams to move from a look ahead line of plus 3 to -2.5. Recency bias so much stronger these days with all the states legalizing sports betting that the books have to adjust the lines creating value for the sharper people that know and understand numbers and where the value is. Cowboys were -3 in the look ahead and moved to plus 2.5 because of the dak injury. No reason for the move as andy dalton is more than capable and one of the best backups and insurance policies in the league. He could start on about 10 teams in the league right now. If you didnt get in on the cowboys wait till before kickoff more stupid money will come in on cards, take the moneyline you dont need the points in this one. Cowboys either win or lose by 10 plus
    I agree although I do think the Cowboys will change their gameplan to feature Zeke a lot more with Dalton playing QB. He's capable of getting them a win but I think they lean on Zeke in this one and get a victory because of it.
    Comment
    • Kermit
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 09-27-10
      • 32555

      #3
      Zeke will have a huge game. Slam his prop bets.
      Comment
      • mackave
        SBR MVP
        • 03-22-14
        • 4971

        #4
        LB check in
        Comment
        • johnnyvegas13
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 05-21-15
          • 27898

          #5
          Pass
          Comment
          • mjsuax13
            Moderator
            • 03-14-15
            • 25158

            #6
            Morino on Dallas and on a 3-16 run... err crash so tread lightly. You got the better line though.
            Comment
            • ThaTopMoron
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 04-30-10
              • 27020

              #7
              cards D was absolute trash when i watched them vs panthers and offense their QB looked like a mental midget throwing every pass 1 foot high in front of target

              they just lost jones for the year too...

              but the cowboys defense is trash as well and will prob let murray escape the pocket all day

              home team or no play here
              Comment
              • lakerboy
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 04-02-09
                • 94379

                #8
                Originally posted by mackave
                LB check in
                Everyone on Dallas
                Comment
                • kelly@Vegas
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 01-06-20
                  • 193

                  #9
                  Originally posted by mjsuax13
                  Morino on Dallas and on a 3-16 run... err crash so tread lightly. You got the better line though.
                  Hes an idiot so every blind squirrel finds a nut eventually. But win or lose cowboys at plus money with points i can say i made a good bet. Long term that means profit
                  Comment
                  • johnnyvegas13
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 05-21-15
                    • 27898

                    #10
                    Originally posted by mjsuax13
                    Morino on Dallas and on a 3-16 run... err crash so tread lightly. You got the better line though.
                    Is he really

                    I know he’s on bills
                    Comment
                    • mjsuax13
                      Moderator
                      • 03-14-15
                      • 25158

                      #11
                      Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                      Is he really

                      I know he’s on bills
                      Yes.
                      Comment
                      • mjsuax13
                        Moderator
                        • 03-14-15
                        • 25158

                        #12
                        Originally posted by kelly@Vegas
                        Hes an idiot so every blind squirrel finds a nut eventually. But win or lose cowboys at plus money with points i can say i made a good bet. Long term that means profit
                        Fair enough. You for a great line. Good luck. He’s scrounging for player props right now.
                        Comment
                        • thomorino
                          Restricted User
                          • 06-01-17
                          • 45842

                          #13
                          Originally posted by mjsuax13
                          Morino on Dallas and on a 3-16 run... err crash so tread lightly. You got the better line though.
                          Originally posted by kelly@Vegas

                          Hes an idiot so every blind squirrel finds a nut eventually. But win or lose cowboys at plus money with points i can say i made a good bet. Long term that means profit
                          Originally posted by mjsuax13

                          Fair enough. You for a great line. Good luck. He’s scrounging for player props right now.
                          2 dumb shits
                          Comment
                          • maggiethebestdog
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 12-21-13
                            • 6700

                            #14
                            Originally posted by kelly@Vegas
                            Hes an idiot so every blind squirrel finds a nut eventually. But win or lose cowboys at plus money with points i can say i made a good bet. Long term that means profit
                            LOL

                            You make fun of Morino, but you sound just like him

                            So you got the early line before the move, and then didn't post the "bet" until after the line move

                            Hmmmmmm

                            Pot meet kettle
                            Comment
                            • thomorino
                              Restricted User
                              • 06-01-17
                              • 45842

                              #15
                              Originally posted by maggiethebestdog

                              LOL

                              You make fun of Morino, but you sound just like him

                              So you got the early line before the move, and then didn't post the "bet" until after the line move

                              Hmmmmmm

                              Pot meet kettle
                              Oh look it’s the coward who never post anything then makes dumb claims he can never back up. You are a parasite.
                              Comment
                              • maggiethebestdog
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 12-21-13
                                • 6700

                                #16
                                Originally posted by thomorino
                                Oh look it’s the coward who never post anything then makes dumb claims he can never back up. You are a parasite.
                                LOL

                                I was actually kind of sticking up for you there, although I did bust you a little

                                I was obviously going after Kelly the fraud

                                Do you even read the posts anymore?????
                                Comment
                                • thomorino
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 06-01-17
                                  • 45842

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by maggiethebestdog
                                  LOL

                                  I was actually kind of sticking up for you there, although I did bust you a little

                                  I was obviously going after Kelly the fraud

                                  Do you even read the posts anymore?????
                                  You are a dumb shit.
                                  Comment
                                  • maggiethebestdog
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 12-21-13
                                    • 6700

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by thomorino
                                    You are a dumb shit.
                                    LOL

                                    Yesterday I called the guys stalking you pathetic

                                    Today I called out Kelly the fraud about making fun of you

                                    Now I did throw a couple digs at you in the process, but I thought our friendship could overcome that

                                    I'm crushed now

                                    Sorry buddy, my heart was in the right place
                                    Comment
                                    • johnnyvegas13
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 05-21-15
                                      • 27898

                                      #19
                                      Of course ur gonna lose after jj talks u up

                                      happens every time
                                      Comment
                                      • mjsuax13
                                        Moderator
                                        • 03-14-15
                                        • 25158

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by maggiethebestdog
                                        LOL

                                        Yesterday I called the guys stalking you pathetic

                                        Today I called out Kelly the fraud about making fun of you

                                        Now I did throw a couple digs at you in the process, but I thought our friendship could overcome that

                                        I'm crushed now

                                        Sorry buddy, my heart was in the right place
                                        Morino takes no prisoners.
                                        Comment
                                        • CanuckG
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-23-10
                                          • 21978

                                          #21
                                          Comment
                                          • maggiethebestdog
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 12-21-13
                                            • 6700

                                            #22
                                            Kelly the fraud posts a fake line and still gets rolled

                                            He should stick to saying how easy games are after they are completed with no pick before the game

                                            Couldn't hit 50% if his life depended on it
                                            Comment
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