Saturday Razor Sharp Plays???

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  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #36
    Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
    Agree banker

    rats a trendy dog today

    pass
    They might hit. Pen almost blew it last night and until they get those other guys back you gotta be careful with them (I wouldn’t pay all the juice anyways except parlays or being creative with Ff -.5 to bring it down, not the full game run line). I passed on cards yesterday Cept throwing them in few degen parlays cause it was opening day after all!! lol.

    I don’t think pit was a bad play at price, but doesn’t mean I think they win or want any part of them. Most don’t understand this concept with bases but a team winning or losing a single game isn’t really the point. It more about would they win that game more times than line suggest so if you make 100s just like it over the season you come out on top (theoretically of course! Lol). Price is everything in this sport.

    It was pretty nauseating watching all the favs come in yesterday even tho my day was great sweeping my 3 Ff under plays and some parlays! Plus I had fish who was one the only dogs who cashed (also had snakes and halos tho). Won’t be long till we see some monster lines hitting the board!
    Comment
    • johnnyvegas13
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 05-21-15
      • 27862

      #37
      Os got the jump on Boston
      Comment
      • TheMetsSuck
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 01-14-12
        • 6149

        #38
        Originally posted by KVB

        Lol
        Comment
        • KVB
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 05-29-14
          • 74817

          #39
          Originally posted by 2daBank
          ...I don’t think pit was a bad play at price, but doesn’t mean I think they win or want any part of them. Most don’t understand this concept with bases but a team winning or losing a single game isn’t really the point. It more about would they win that game more times than line suggest so if you make 100s just like it over the season you come out on top (theoretically of course! Lol). Price is everything in this sport...
          I went with Pit again for the Contrarian Fund and yes, the number is important.

          This time though, with Pitt, I have them winning outright. It's an early season raw forecast, but the outright win, combined with the price and what I see in the volume coming in, just made it a good long term contrarian look.

          My early season forecast so far fairly hit and miss, but it did have Miami winning yesterday and a couple that appeared "off market."

          Let's see how it goes.

          Comment
          • johnnyvegas13
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 05-21-15
            • 27862

            #40
            Os prop the dog I was looking for and I missed it
            Comment
            • 2daBank
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-26-09
              • 88966

              #41
              Originally posted by KVB
              I went with Pit again for the Contrarian Fund and yes, the number is important.

              This time though, with Pitt, I have them winning outright. It's an early season raw forecast, but the outright win, combined with the price and what I see in the volume coming in, just made it a good long term contrarian look.

              My early season forecast so far fairly hit and miss, but it did have Miami winning yesterday and a couple that appeared "off market."

              Let's see how it goes.

              Miami yesterday was easily the best dog. Alcantera at that price was crazy. Hopefully it takes a while for ppl to figure out he a stud!!

              If they were at Miami park today I’d love them again, but as I said Smith high heat fly ball approach scares me in that bandbox.

              Far as buccos I just need cards 1st 5. I think waino will pitch around the problem spots in lineup and be fine thru 5, could get dicey after that tho and again our pen short handed. Williams stuff isn’t typically the kind of pitches that give our lineup problems, I think carp will have a big day at the plate, he looks to be seeing ball well right now and took some walks last night, today he gonna drive a few those sinkers I believe. Let me be up 4-2 after 5 innings then pirates can take over after that! (Although you know I can’t be rooting for you! Lol).
              Comment
              • KVB
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 05-29-14
                • 74817

                #42
                Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                Os got the jump on Boston
                Balty just on the outside of my Contrarian Fund target range so I didn't pick them up.

                A lot like Mia yesterday.

                Comment
                • Snowball
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 11-15-09
                  • 30047

                  #43
                  Originally posted by pimike
                  I like snowy’s pick.


                  I’ll add Pirates as a Dog

                  up 5 zip

                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #44
                    Originally posted by johnnyvegas13
                    Os prop the dog I was looking for and I missed it
                    I really gave that one a long look too Johnny. Problem was Cobb killed me last year as he just hasn’t looked like the same pitcher he used to be years ago in Tampa before getting hurt. Man he used to have such a nasty change up!
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #45
                      Goldy!
                      Comment
                      • KVB
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 05-29-14
                        • 74817

                        #46
                        Yesterday only 3 of the 14 games had a score in the 1st inning, we already have 3 games with 1st inning scores today.



                        If Pitt leaves those runners stranded I'm gonna go smoke a bowl.

                        If they score I'm gonna go smoke a bowl.

                        So I'm pretty much gonna go smoke a bowl.



                        Comment
                        • jjgold
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 07-20-05
                          • 388189

                          #47
                          0-3 here to start the season

                          not good
                          Comment
                          • KVB
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 05-29-14
                            • 74817

                            #48
                            Originally posted by jjgold
                            0-3 here to start the season

                            not good
                            Me too, but it's not necessarily bad. This year I'll run a Contrarian Aggressive Trader Fund, like the NBA. That was wild before the shutdown.

                            Losses will come for me, the markets will sway back and forth, and have volatilty.

                            Remember last year?



                            We got this, Gold.

                            We got this.
                            Comment
                            • mjsuax13
                              Moderator
                              • 03-14-15
                              • 24956

                              #49
                              Originally posted by jjgold
                              0-3 here to start the season

                              not good
                              JJ, you should consider a new hobby or just get on Tinder and find something to smash on.
                              Comment
                              • BIGDAY
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 02-17-10
                                • 48245

                                #50
                                Paul Craig & Robert Whittaker
                                Comment
                                • lakerboy
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 04-02-09
                                  • 94373

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by Snowball
                                  up 5 zip

                                  Took+179 for my largest baseball play in 4 years.

                                  Thank you.
                                  Comment
                                  • mackave
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-22-14
                                    • 4972

                                    #52
                                    banker, cards game 2 easy, thx broski
                                    Comment
                                    • 2daBank
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-26-09
                                      • 88966

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by mackave
                                      banker, cards game 2 easy, thx broski
                                      No problem bud. You know this what I do!
                                      Comment
                                      • 2daBank
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-26-09
                                        • 88966

                                        #54
                                        Originally posted by KVB
                                        Yesterday only 3 of the 14 games had a score in the 1st inning, we already have 3 games with 1st inning scores today.



                                        If Pitt leaves those runners stranded I'm gonna go smoke a bowl.

                                        If they score I'm gonna go smoke a bowl.

                                        So I'm pretty much gonna go smoke a bowl.



                                        I can’t believe waino gifted them the run walking the one guy in! Just throw it down middle to bottom pirates order, they trash. That what KK did last night to end the game, served up a meatball that turned into a DP, lol. Buccos 7-8-9 hitters are ugly, that a problem this day and age! Just pitch around the heart their lineup and they fucjed.
                                        Comment
                                        • 2daBank
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 01-26-09
                                          • 88966

                                          #55
                                          Last one for the day.

                                          Snakes Ff +105 and Ff u4

                                          Should be a pitchers duel with strikeouts galore thru 5 innings here. Ray has a poor history vs this lineup but word is he has tweaked his mechanics and looks much smoother. At plus money I’ll take a shot he can out duel lement. No interest trying to back snakes pen vs pads pen in the later innings as I think the amount of punch outs could run starters pitch counts up and this be a pen battle from 6th on.
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #56
                                            Oh yea I also got me a super square tribe ml/reds rl parlay. Reds should continue clobbering tigers. Don’t trust tribe offense enough to lay the 1.5 but clevinger licking his chops to strike out bunch of hitters after watching Biebs yesterday! Kc starting a rookie w back of rotation stuff in gm 2, he shouldn’t go long then there the matheny pen mistakes to take advantage of (he always made them in stl, doubt much has changed, lol).,,
                                            Comment
                                            • 2daBank
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 01-26-09
                                              • 88966

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                                              Oh yea I also got me a super square tribe ml/reds rl parlay. Reds should continue clobbering tigers. Don’t trust tribe offense enough to lay the 1.5 but clevinger licking his chops to strike out bunch of hitters after watching Biebs yesterday! Kc starting a rookie w back of rotation stuff in gm 2, he shouldn’t go long then there the matheny pen mistakes to take advantage of (he always made them in stl, doubt much has changed, lol).,,
                                              Nevermind already started. I’ve done this few times today. lol.
                                              Comment
                                              • Snowball
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 11-15-09
                                                • 30047

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by lakerboy
                                                Took+179 for my largest baseball play in 4 years.

                                                Thank you.

                                                Rock and Roll !
                                                Comment
                                                • pimike
                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                  • 03-23-08
                                                  • 37139

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by Snowball
                                                  Baltimore +185



                                                  Comment
                                                  • KVB
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 05-29-14
                                                    • 74817

                                                    #60
                                                    Hey New York Mets, I got a message for you...

                                                    Comment
                                                    • KVB
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 05-29-14
                                                      • 74817

                                                      #61
                                                      Some results...

                                                      Originally posted by KVB
                                                      Here's the KVB MLB Contrarian Fund after 2 days and 7 plays...

                                                      25-Jul CHW +105 1.05
                                                      PIT +142 -1
                                                      MIA +162 -1
                                                      NYM +107 -1
                                                      Sat -1.95
                                                      Fri -3
                                                      Total -4.95
                                                      Streaky and volatile...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • pimike
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 03-23-08
                                                        • 37139

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by KVB
                                                        Hey New York Mets, I got a message for you...


                                                        Comment
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