Take Yankees ml -130 tonight

jjgold · 07-23-20, 07:38 AM

Square play Johnny

johnnyvegas13 · 07-23-20, 07:39 AM

Originally posted by jjgold

Square play Johnny

I know

dont mean it’s wrong tho

carolinakid · 07-23-20, 07:40 AM

gl with the bases guys, i will not even post on mlb until i have 2 weeks of data to work with..

johnnyvegas13 · 07-23-20, 07:42 AM

Originally posted by carolinakid

gl with the bases guys, i will not even post on mlb until i have 2 weeks of data to work with..

That’s fair

that is prob around the time I buy some futures ...

lakerboy · 07-23-20, 08:01 AM

Rainout

lakerboy · 07-23-20, 08:02 AM

Originally posted by carolinakid

gl with the bases guys, i will not even post on mlb until i have 2 weeks of data to work with..

Won't be much left

KnuckleHeadz · 07-23-20, 08:09 AM

Originally posted by carolinakid

gl with the bases guys, i will not even post on mlb until i have 2 weeks of data to work with..

What more information do you need to know about the Dodgers besides there stacked and going against Cueto off Tommy John.. just 🔨 it and make some cash as Covid may cancel season before two weeks is up

johnnyvegas13 · 07-23-20, 08:09 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Rainout

Really

that sucks

2daBank · 07-23-20, 08:16 AM

Originally posted by carolinakid

gl with the bases guys, i will not even post on mlb until i have 2 weeks of data to work with..

This year I don’t blame you but most normal seasons I disagree with that strategy. For most players we already have years of data and examples of how they perform at any given point in a season including the 1st weeks. That said didn’t get to see/have a typical spring training and this obviously a different circumstance than normal. Most years I think the best time to bet mlb Is from opening day until the all star break so I come firing right out the gates!!

2daBank · 07-23-20, 08:18 AM

Originally posted by KnuckleHeadz

What more information do you need to know about the Dodgers besides there stacked and going against Cueto of Tommy John.. just hammered it and make some cash as Covid may cancel season before two weeks is up

Lol. Oh man I can see we have vastly different approaches to mlb! Not that there anything wrong with that, I actually think this approach could very well pay off this season more so than typical years!

Hot Jerry · 07-23-20, 08:19 AM

I like Dodgers - JOHNNY !! Good luck to both of us !

stevenash · 07-23-20, 08:23 AM

Originally posted by KnuckleHeadz

What more information do you need to know about the Dodgers besides there stacked and going against Cueto of Tommy John.. just hammered it and make some cash as Covid may cancel season before two weeks is up

If you like the Yankees at -131 you may want to consider them at +130 on the run line.

I will only play a run line if
a) The favorite is on the road (because the road team is always guaranteed a ninth inning at bat.
b) The favorite is starting an elite pitcher.

Both criteria are met here.

The benefit here is if NYY loses you are out -100 not -131
The thing is you must win by two runs plus.

Reduced Juice - Internet Only
Thu 7/23	901 New York Yankees G Cole - R	-1½ +130	o7½ -107
7:08PM	902 Washington Nationals M Scherzer - R	+1½ -140	u7½ -103

I'm looking at Dodger TT over 2.5 runs FF

johnnyvegas13 · 07-23-20, 08:33 AM

Originally posted by KnuckleHeadz

What more information do you need to know about the Dodgers besides there stacked and going against Cueto off Tommy John.. just  it and make some cash as Covid may cancel season before two weeks is up

Everyone thinks doggersss is free money tonight

might b a burial

KnuckleHeadz · 07-23-20, 08:34 AM

Originally posted by 2daBank

Lol. Oh man I can see we have vastly different approaches to mlb! Not that there anything wrong with that, I actually think this approach could very well pay off this season more so than typical years!

What can I say I’m born and raised here and Dodgers been my team since I was a kid. I’m a homer that way like the cardinals are for you.
I like my chances with those bats below!
Expected Lineup

CF M. Dubon R
LF M. Yastrzemski L
1B W. Flores R
DH Hunter Pence R
3B P. Sandoval S
2B Y. Sanchez S
RF A. Slater R
C T. Heineman S
SS D. Solano R

Expected Lineup
RF Mookie Betts R
1B Max Muncy L
3B J. Turner R
CF C. Bellinger L
SS Corey Seager L
LF Joc Pederson L
DH A.J. Pollock R
C Will Smith R
2B Chris Taylor R

KnuckleHeadz · 07-23-20, 08:40 AM

Originally posted by stevenash

If you like the Yankees at -131 you may want to consider them at +130 on the run line.

I will only play a run line if
a) The favorite is on the road (because the road team is always guaranteed a ninth inning at bat.
b) The favorite is starting an elite pitcher.

Both criteria are met here.

The benefit here is if NYY loses you are out -100 not -131
The thing is you must win by two runs plus.

Reduced Juice - Internet Only
Thu 7/23	901 New York Yankees G Cole - R	-1½ +130	o7½ -107
7:08PM	902 Washington Nationals M Scherzer - R	+1½ -140	u7½ -103

I'm looking at Dodger TT over 2.5 runs FF

Wish my book offered FF individual teams..like that one a lot

stake1 · 07-23-20, 08:42 AM

Good luck tonight Johnny

pologq · 07-23-20, 09:00 AM

i am with you johnny

2daBank · 07-23-20, 09:21 AM

Originally posted by KnuckleHeadz

What can I say I’m born and raised here and Dodgers been my team since I was a kid. I’m a homer that way like the cardinals are for you.
I like my chances with those bats below!
Expected Lineup

CF M. Dubon R
LF M. Yastrzemski L
1B W. Flores R
DH Hunter Pence R
3B P. Sandoval S
2B Y. Sanchez S
RF A. Slater R
C T. Heineman S
SS D. Solano R

Expected Lineup
RF Mookie Betts R
1B Max Muncy L
3B J. Turner R
CF C. Bellinger L
SS Corey Seager L
LF Joc Pederson L
DH A.J. Pollock R
C Will Smith R
2B Chris Taylor R

Not exactly what I meant, just the approach of betting such big favs. I don’t play many favs in general and never really lay more than -140ish, I might from time to time do 2 team parlay with bigger favs but not real often.

For most part I play dogs and totals, I’ve never been able to hit favs at a high enough clip to be worth it. For example what doyers like freaking -300ish tonight? That’s god damn 75% to break even! I can’t hit -180 favs at the 65ish% it take to break even! The best teams almost never win 65% of their games over a full season! This year we could see a few teams finish with a win percentage over that in a 60 game season which why I said this approach might have far more merit than most years.

Certainly not trying to argue how talented the doyers are, just that baseball a funny game, like I said above the most talented teams almost never win 65% their games! While the worst teams still manage to win 37-40% of their games! It’s not like football where the best teams do win 75+% their games and the worst teams often don’t win 30%!! This what I love about betting bases, I feel like I can get plus money on lot of games that are much closer to 50-50 then odds suggest! There lot of different approaches to this thing and certainly not saying mine any better or worse just what works for me.

While I do normally think venturing into betting favs -200 or more a bad idea in baseball I also recognize this season could very well be a outlier where someone could have success doing it. (Although id still be hesitant but that over a decade of experience to the contrary talking, lol).

Far as being a fan sure I rep my city but when it comes to betting the games you will find I have no problem fading my cardinals! Especially in the regular season cause I understand even when they good they gonna lose upwards of 70 games! I try to be incredibly honest with ppl about my team as I think we have a responsibility as fans who know our team better than most to take advantage of that by making money even off their misfortune! After all end of the day I’m a fan of ME way more than of a team!!

Fans who don’t bet against their teams are no good to us gamblers! That a shame cause fans typically can offer good local incite the rest of us don’t have if capable of being impartial! Gotta watch out for the pessimistic fans also, they tend to never see when their team is a good bet cause they emotionally invested in the losing! The key is not to be too invested in anything other than the truth! Being honest about our team does not make us any less a fan (betting against them might but fukk’em! lol).

Damn that got long, lol. as you can see I love talking bases and about betting on bases!

2daBank · 07-23-20, 09:26 AM

Originally posted by KnuckleHeadz

Wish my book offered FF individual teams..like that one a lot

You can’t get 1st 5s? Man that a huge part of betting bases for me. I’ve taken to most my unders being 1st 5, and when I do like favs I often play the FF -.5 line to squash the juice and eliminate pens. You gotta get another out bud!!

unluckysob · 07-23-20, 10:37 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Rainout

Fuking book better NOT cancel my free play. Keep FP alive.

sosawestbrook · 07-23-20, 10:40 AM

Chef G vs Mad Max! Opening Day! lets GOOOOOOOO.

JayDr3am · 07-23-20, 10:41 AM

johnny out the gate

PaperTrail07 · 07-23-20, 10:42 AM

Too Much Value IMo with Wash -1 +190...only way you can beat baseball is with +$....otherwise its a long term BURIAL

Mr KLC · 07-23-20, 10:45 AM

Whenever Scherzer is the underdog, I take the underdog.

JayDr3am · 07-23-20, 10:51 AM

im in the air with this one when it comes to sides

KnuckleHeadz · 07-23-20, 10:58 AM

Originally posted by 2daBank

You can’t get 1st 5s? Man that a huge part of betting bases for me. I’ve taken to most my unders being 1st 5, and when I do like favs I often play the FF -.5 line to squash the juice and eliminate pens. You gotta get another out bud!!

I can get FF just not FF team totals like Nasher

jjgold · 07-23-20, 11:00 AM

you can never make money betting chalk bases daily the juice will wear you down

homerbush · 07-23-20, 11:03 AM

Originally posted by carolinakid

gl with the bases guys, i will not even post on mlb until i have 2 weeks of data to work with..

You know what they say the odds are just as sharp on opening day as two weeks in.

Mr KLC · 07-23-20, 11:04 AM

Juan Soto has a .403 OBP in his young career, 4th-highest by any player through their age-20 season in the Modern Era (Since 1900)

Only 3 other players have a higher OBP than Soto through their age-20 season and they are all Hall of Famers: Ted Williams, Mel Ott & Jimmie Foxx

sosawestbrook · 07-23-20, 11:10 AM

Originally posted by Mr KLC

Juan Soto has a .403 OBP in his young career, 4th-highest by any player through their age-20 season in the Modern Era (Since 1900)

Only 3 other players have a higher OBP than Soto through their age-20 season and they are all Hall of Famers: Ted Williams, Mel Ott & Jimmie Foxx

rare territory. kid is an absolute stud. if I remember correctly, he slapped around Cole in the World Series too. I think he had 2 jacks against him.

2daBank · 07-23-20, 11:30 AM

Originally posted by KnuckleHeadz

I can get FF just not FF team totals like Nasher

Ah, gotcha. I don’t play many team totals.

2daBank · 07-23-20, 11:31 AM

Anyone know the umps yet?

PaperTrail07 · 07-23-20, 11:50 AM

baseball so random in general...you don't reach MMA level of -1000s.

Originally posted by homerbush

You know what they say the odds are just as sharp on opening day as two weeks in.

2daBank · 07-23-20, 11:54 AM

Originally posted by johnnyvegas13

Everyone thinks doggersss is free money tonight

might b a burial

I don’t play a lot of team totals but doyers over 5 would be only way id play it. No chance I’d ever lay -300 on a baseball game. Gotta figure if someone willing to lay that they expect cueto to get smacked around by those lefties which could absolutely happen. Why pay all that juice?