Tuesday Basesball 4.27.20

[carolinakid]

this game will be a very small play for me as the numbers are just not there to go any larger for me..FUBON +1.5 RUNS+125..........glta (ck)

[carolinakid]

why will the advance not let me change the date on the main heading??

[astrobloke]

i played the over... thx mate, and good luck.

[carolinakid]

gl with the over there let get both..............(ck)

[carolinakid]

what over did you get if i may ask, i have only seen 12 here........

[astrobloke]

got o 10.5 for 2u @ {b365}

[astrobloke]

good luck ck ....

lets ca$h it

[carolinakid]

great total you got, bol with the over, for some reason this game numbers side and total just dont go with my numbers here, that why i played it very small.....fyi i might have my 1st SIP going here on friday if everything goes with my thinking on a game.........gl (ck) most guys know me, know the Sip win at a very high rate for about 20 yrs going......

[astrobloke]

great total you got, bol with the over, for some reason this game numbers side and total just dont go with my numbers here, that why i played it very small.....fyi i might have my 1st SIP going here on friday if everything goes with my thinking on a game.........gl (ck) most guys know me, know the Sip win at a very high rate for about 20 yrs going......

great tips....do you do ths full time? if so, you are got a great records on this stuff.

I do this as a hobby have my bad weeks, and then really good weeks, I dont really have mediocre weeks LOL

but more good weeks than bad.

bol ck, lets cash these checks. $$$$

[carolinakid]

yes im full time with this and i love most all sports, sometime i have so many damn sheets here in my office and i cant find my desk........lol buying 2 new monitors for my home office here this week to peek in on the games.

[Darkside Magick]

Win by 4 or more runs


Rakuten Monkeys -1.5 -193 vs Fubon Guardians

[lonegambler23]

need to jump on CKs bandwagon once im back in the game

[carolinakid]

^^^^^ yes the money is going your way on this one, like i said it my smallest play as my numbers just dont go with this one on tuesday...........i do have a couple of good plays later in the day i will be posting on.................(ck)

[carolinakid]

LG it been a good run the last 3 weeks or so, but i have hot and cold spells like everyone, i had a couple of games that the damn hook got me on, but today i won a game over the hook.bol there gambler and if i can ever help you please ask........i love sports!!

[carolinakid]

Morning showers. High 27ºC. Winds E at 15 to 30 km/h. Chance of rain 30%. be sure to see if that wind changes any before 1st pitch

[Tanko]

I like the play CK.
I see an advantage in pitching with the Guardians and hitting with the Monkeys but Rakuton bats have chilled a little the last two games.

Pitching:
CPBL doesn't post starting pitchers until 1 hr before gametime but based on ~ 5-6 days rotation (historically what CPBL teams use), I think the pitching matchup will be as follows.

Since this is my "guess" on starters, I'm likely wrong but we'll see.

Team	NAME	G	IP	WHIP	ERA
Guardians	81 CHEN, SHIH-PENG	2	11.1	1.59	3.97
Monkeys	22 Ryan Carpenter	2	12.2	1.03	3.55

Looks evenly matched for the starters.
But, the Guardians bullpen has an ERA of ~4.6 vs 7.4 for Monkeys (only using data from players w/ > 2 innings of work). The Guardians seem to have a significant bullpen advantage.


Batting (players w/ 15 or more at bats):
Guardians: 0.269 Avg, Slugging 0.465, OBP 0.334
Monkeys: 0.335 Avg, Slugging 0.571, OBP 0.386


The last couple of games Monkeys scored 5 & 7 runs. Guardians 5 & 5.


I agree with your play but I'm leaning under the 11 total for no reason other than the string of overs for the Monkeys's games has got to end sometime, right? Maybe not tonight though. We'll see.

Good Luck

[carolinakid]

if you like the under, i see several 12 at plus money out there now, most of these totals will change a lot when we get into the last hr before 1st pitch.they saying early morning showers, bol with the total here...thanks for your added info......(ck)

[Tanko]

Yep... I jumped on under 12 -115 already.


Thanks.

[Tanko]

Morning showers. High 27ºC. Winds E at 15 to 30 km/h. Chance of rain 30%. be sure to see if that wind changes any before 1st pitch

I think if the wind is from the East that means it should be blowing in from right field (~15 mph), unless I mapped the wrong stadium. That might help keep the score down.

[jjgold]

How long do these games take

[carolinakid]

Tanko yes you are correct, but i have found out the wind changes fast at this stadium for some reason , i would check it again close to 1st pitch too.JJ i found they last about the same as a mlb game, the only different is if they go extra innings they dont play like the mlb and play on and on until someone wins

[carolinakid]

i see where the money has move off the monkeys a little as we get close to 1st pitch, at midnight it was monkeys -1.5 runs-170 and now it stands at monkeys -1.5-130, i hope this a good sign for the dog here.gl (ck)

[jjgold]

kid do you ever sleep???????

[carolinakid]

good morning JJ, im on the Trump program i guess about 3 to 4 hrs here..........but i do not tweet at 4 am lol

[carolinakid]

0-0 going to the bot of the 4th

[carolinakid]

3-0 bad guys heading to the 8th

[carolinakid]

3-0 final as this small play did not work out, look like the best play was the under in this one...........