Favorite point spreads to play/look for?

[toddsclowns]

I know with football the obvious are 2.5, 6.5, but any you look for in other sports? I’ve noticed for college b-ball, lot of 10-14 point dogs are covering early in the year, with more than a few of them winning outright at anywhere from +380 to +500. Just an early season anomaly as books look to tighten lines? Any you guys like to hone in on? Thanks!

[kidcudi92]

Seems like a lot of short dogs...talking (+2.5/+3 area) in CBB either get blown out or win SU


That doesn't say much but at least the games I have been betting, its my own trend haha

[pablo222]

Good info fellas. I will keep an eye on those trends.

[2daBank]

The ones that I feel have perceived value off my line. Doesn’t much matter what the number is to me, just whether it differs from where I put the game.

[asiagambler]

In NFL, I think there is increased value in taking the UNDERDOG at +2.5 and +6.5

2 and 6 have become more common since they moved the extra point back

Yet they still overcharge extra to buy to 3 or 7

So I rarely find myself buying the hook now under these circumstances

[2daBank]

In NFL, I think there is increased value in taking the UNDERDOG at +2.5 and +6.5

2 and 6 have become more common since they moved the extra point back

Yet they still overcharge extra to buy to 3 or 7

So I rarely find myself buying the hook now under these circumstances

I def think the idea of “key” numbers has kinda gotten skewed this day and age. I don’t know the numbers but sure seems like we get a lot more games decided by numbers that used to be considered dead.

[asiagambler]

I def think the idea of “key” numbers has kinda gotten skewed this day and age. I don’t know the numbers but sure seems like we get a lot more games decided by numbers that used to be considered dead.

And the kickers seem to getting worse and worse!

Tampa bay kicker missed 3 extra points yesterday. Maddening for me because I bet over 52 but thankfully Calvin Ridley got me there with a great TD catch late

[toddsclowns]

Great info guys, definitely appreciate it. Great insight Asia and Bank on the shift from perennial NFL “key numbers” with the extra point change, and now these escalating rule changes - wonder if/how they will continue to change the numbers landscape. Thanks Pablo and Cudi, I know what you mean though, it’s rarely ever a favorite wins by 1 or 2 in those situations. Where I’ve been finding real additional value on these types of lines is halftime bets. Obviously one game, but for example, Fordham was +10 for game, and down 15 at half. I really liked Fordham as a dog from a couple angles for game (play hard D, don’t foul a lot, play full game, plus West Kent has Louisville on deck), so down 15 at half, and then +2.5 2nd half, so essentially +17.5 for game, it let me just pull trigger without even thinking. They ended up down 3 with 20 seconds to go and almost tied the game. Again that’s one game, so doesn’t mean much, but just trying to outline my thinking as far as key numbers

[toddsclowns]

3 10-14 spread so far tonight:

Fordham +10 (lost by 6)
Va Tech +13 (up 10 w/5 mins to go)
Valpo +12 (up 4 at half)

I’m sure this will revert to the mean at some point, but my OCD is trying to figure out the psychology behind it