Kinda thinking I'll do another switching app st with Georgia southern +24.5
And win both
And win both
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It is lookComment -
Jfc. I would never put 100 bucks on that many teams! Lol. Maybe if it was like all college fav mls but not with spreads less than a td!! Honestly I’d be quicker to stop at gas station and buy 5 20 dollar scratchers (I’ve done that a bunch! Lol)..
Not even gonna try to discuss the nfl games cause I been fukkin horrible with nfl this year so I doubt I’d be telling ya right anyways: lol. I love ravens this week so you should be good w pats, lol. Still don’t like ducks but gl pal.Comment -
I think patriots lose this weekend
Ravens are kind of similar to the Bills but much better offense
Tough environment, Brady really showing his age recently and still not much of a vertical passing game
What gives me pause is Ravens pass rush but Patriots OL hasn't been great either. I think Ravens secondary will bottle up the receivers anyway
Just need Jackson to not turn it over. As long as Ravens keep it on the ground, I think they have good chance to win outrightComment -
I made them my 2x play in pick 6 contest, interestingly enough as fukkin horrible I’ve been at nfl this season I’ve actually hit most my 2x nfl picks! I’m waiting for it to flip where I start actually getting a few more right but missing that play every week!!! Lmao.
God the nfl been a nightmare for me this year, not shocking since I was really good last year finishing like 30th in btp. I’ve never known from year to year how the hell nfl was gonna play out! Have a lot more meh years than the handful of awesome ones and handful of god awful ones tho. Keep thinking it will turn at some point, most my really bad years were disasters early on and I managed to salvage it a little toward the back end. Luckily I didn’t even really bet it last week cause it hasn’t turned yet!
I kinda think Jackson gonna have to make some big time throws to pull it off but I think he capable and not like pats try to trick ya much, they play straight man like 90% the time on back end it up front they are tricky so there plays to be made and should doubly be so considering you know pats gonna make a point of containing the run game and Jackson legs. He the kind of guy even those best laid plans don’t always work cause his athleticism beats even the best scheme/design. Nice to actually be excited for a prime time game but not really exciting being against pats! LolComment -
Ravens d is def the concern. I think harbugh squads have done as well or better than anyone outside the giants when it comes to giving pats offense problems over the years, he doesn’t exactly have the personnel he used to on that side of the ball tho. Adding peters certainly helps imo.
What he does have is a way better offense and playmakers than he had in past. If anything I really do believe it be a good game, certainly won’t shock me if pats end up winning it. Would kinda shock me if pats just destroyed them like they been doing to all these scrubs.Comment -
Yeah I thought exactly the same. Patriots gonna throw all kinds of different schemes and looks but it's almost like Jackson's athleticism isn't something you can scheme for
He will have to make plays with his arm for sure and I think he will but it wouldn't surprise me at all if he throws some bad picks or has some really bad fumbles. He's been prone to that but I also think he's been improving in that regard too
Pats blowout would really shock me. I almost think it's more likely Ravens win big. I'm still debating whether to take +3.5 or moneyline, might just take bothComment -
In the contest I intentionally played it before it got to 3.5 so I could get + money on +3 on the off chance I finally have a good week and could win some money!! Lol. Far as betting I’ll for sure be taking as many I can get!! Lol.
I’m with ya, I have little doubt Jackson prob make a mistake or 2, I think the d will have his back to a extent, as long as he makes a few the big plays as well they be in it. Without having dove into numbers to get idea where I think score be as of yet I Kinda expect it a game low 20s wins.Comment -
Thinking Houston hangs with UCF enough to cover that number, right?Comment -
Yea.. homer alert but Miami catching +3 @ Florida st is an auto play for me.. they probably win outright here. Love this spot for them.Comment -
Miami game. I think it opened at +5.5.
Fla St hasn't played anyone that's at the level of Miami (excluding Clemson which is in a class by itself in ACC). Wake was the next closest team to having some level of competitiveness but Miami is much better than Wake in my opinion and according to power ratings. Miami's record does not indicate how good they are.Comment -
You are correct Banker. I only look back 5 weeks in my scans at most. Boise was week 1.
I figure anything older is too old to consider, unless a team is on a streak.
But looking at Boise, I still see them better than Miami but not by a huge margin.Comment -
Anyone else on Baylor -18.5 tonight?
Also like them first half too.Comment -
ag i just think app st much better team. they run for 5.7ypc which is more than g. southern, and they can pass if needed. t/o ratio +7. and this is the best team they have had in years, good defense, and at home on a thursday night. 1h you may be good with southern, but i think by late game st. takes over and covers.Comment -
i know its ncaaf, but guy on daily wager just said 49ers 7-0 in 3q outscoring opp. 72-24. 5d has it at -2.5 / -120 and -.5/ -123Comment -
I'm not betting it. Hard to say how well they deal with the option, they couldn't handle it much last year. Different coaching staff this year though and their DC was on Georgia Tech's staff when they ran the option so that could help.
But if it's as windy as forecast, then that really plays into Southern's favour since their offense stays mostly the same but App State's won't be able to throw it as much
Another thing I noticed is Georgia Southern is good against the run allowing just 38% of runs to be successful. App State is a step up in competition sure but GS did pretty well against Minnesota early in the year, holding them to 93 yards on 48 carries. If weather makes App State one-dimensional and Southern can really sell out against the run, I think they can do a better job against it than App State against their option since that's more based on trickery
Line has moved too much anyway, now at 14
I thought about the under too but that was when it was at 44.5 and it's moved even more to 41.5!! UnbelievableComment -
Down to 13
LolComment -
low number, but app st has only given up 17 total pts in last 3 games. not the best comp. and option can add different element. but being +7 t/o's is pretty strong and defense only gives up 320 ypg. app st avg less than 200 ypg passing so running is def. priority and passing game to keep em honest. i bought em down to 13.5 as it may be close early, but i think they get them by at least 2 td's before its over.Comment -
I liked Georgia Southern but in this case I believe the line move is more of an indicator of the 30mph winds up to 40mph gusts more so than just the 2 teams. That's why the total moved the way it did as well.
BOLComment
