Let’s talk ncaaFB WEEK 10!!

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  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #211
    Originally posted by asiagambler
    Also like Memphis/SMU under 71.5

    Really high number. SMU plays super fast but their offense isn't really that efficient. Memphis also plays really really slow. Their defense has improved a lot this year too and in particular they limit explosive plays well and have good red zone defense.

    I look for Memphis to control the tempo of this game. I think they win and cover too and also think there's correlation. If Memphis covers, game goes under. If SMU wins/covers, game goes over.
    I agree w most that but don’t think I’m touching, prob have Memphis in some kinda ml parlay but that be about it. We talk plenty bout how the hell smu scores so much rushing it 50x a game at just over 4 per rush? Lol. Makes no sense to me, no way I play the over in 70s!!
    Comment
    • 2daBank
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 01-26-09
      • 88966

      #212
      Originally posted by asiagambler
      I like Illinois/Rutgers under 49

      Illinois will run the ball with lots of success of course but I haven't seen enough from their passing game to believe they can just run up the score here

      Whatever success Rutgers had last week putting points up is highly unlikely to happen here. Illinois DL is a class above Liberty's and should completely stuff the run. Oluwole Betiku is expected back and he's going to make life miserable for Langan. I still can't believe how well Langan played last week but I just can't see a repeat of that. More likely the awful performance like against Indiana.
      If this would have been a early start I was gonna use Rutgers in my ml dog contest I play in! Lol. Few guys hit k-st last week so I need a home run. The early slot seems to be where the biggest happen so was disappointed this was 2:30, prob saved me a bad one anyways but I dunno. Wouldn’t totally shock me, Illini bout due for a stinker! Lol. I’m not touching this game in any manner tho., gl
      Comment
      • asiagambler
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 07-23-17
        • 6827

        #213
        Originally posted by 2daBank
        If this would have been a early start I was gonna use Rutgers in my ml dog contest I play in! Lol. Few guys hit k-st last week so I need a home run. The early slot seems to be where the biggest happen so was disappointed this was 2:30, prob saved me a bad one anyways but I dunno. Wouldn’t totally shock me, Illini bout due for a stinker! Lol. I’m not touching this game in any manner tho., gl
        I mean if I had to pick a side, I probably would go with Rutgers here. Illinois laying 20 just doesn't look right any which way you look at it!

        But Illinois has some talent on the DL. Just looking at Rutgers scores against other Big Ten teams it's downright pathetic. Even against Maryland, they could only put up 7! Betiku is supposed to be one of the top pass rushers and what I've seen from Rutgers, they just don't have the athletes in the trenches.

        Langan is a running QB and I don't think Illinois has really faced a dual threat guy yet so maybe they can be susceptible that way? Not sure. Maybe they can surprise but with Illinois not really showing much in the passing game, I think betting the total gives you a lot of flexibility

        I don't see all that many big underdogs this week though? Do you dare try Maryland lol? They're supposed to have Josh Jackson back. There's some animosity between Locksley and Michigan OC too, could play a factor. Michigan also does struggle with speed and Maryland got an explosive running game. Maryland's just been a tough team for me to figure out. I still may bet them at 21.5

        Other than that, I don't know, I kind of like the favorites. I think Notre Dame is a bad matchup for Virginia Tech's offensive line which grades out really poorly. South Carolina owns Vanderbilt and Vandy got that really big win against Missouri but that team (Vandy) is just a total wreck. Their QBs are horrible. They've got a decent running back but that's it. I thought they actually quit on Mason before that upset. They are coming off a bye though.
        Comment
        • asiagambler
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 07-23-17
          • 6827

          #214
          Originally posted by 2daBank
          It just keeps me off it doesn’t push me to utes. No way I’d touch either the road favs in the 2 big pac12 games. Line still down to 3 despite that stuff. Chris Peterson teams been fantastic off a bye his whole career.,obviously he saw lot of cupcakes at Boise but he undefeated off bye and has very strong ats as well.
          Yes those are all good points. Utah might be a little fraudulent too beating up on Cal 3rd stringer and ASU backup (I believe).

          I think Utah -2 could be a buy point for me. but that's unlikely since wide receiver news isn't really that public I don't think. If/when news breaks, it would probably push Utah back to -3.5
          Comment
          • leetreaper
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 10-23-10
            • 34841

            #215
            Virginia is my top play for the evening, working on the early card as we speak.
            Comment
            • toddsclowns
              SBR MVP
              • 10-19-13
              • 1578

              #216
              Loving Notre Dame -17 today (buy hook). Va Tech averaging 40 points/game in their last three, and no way they sniff that against ND, who will be looking for some redemption off that embarrassment in Michigan. Tech also coming off a bye, so I expect them to start a bit slow and sloppy, leading to some early turnovers. As always, great thread, good luck!
              Comment
              • jeffchitown
                SBR MVP
                • 01-21-16
                • 1859

                #217
                I parlayed $100 on northwestern money line with Tulsa money line to win $1000 lol! I know banks likes Tulane but I just see potential upset. Anyhow it is a far reach a bit crazy for me lol
                Comment
                • U2.5
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-21-14
                  • 1953

                  #218
                  Originally posted by jeffchitown
                  I parlayed $100 on northwestern money line with Tulsa money line to win $1000 lol! I know banks likes Tulane but I just see potential upset. Anyhow it is a far reach a bit crazy for me lol
                  good luck man. NW needs to score to win baby! I wouldn't bet NW but I hope you win your bet
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #219
                    Originally posted by asiagambler
                    I mean if I had to pick a side, I probably would go with Rutgers here. Illinois laying 20 just doesn't look right any which way you look at it!

                    But Illinois has some talent on the DL. Just looking at Rutgers scores against other Big Ten teams it's downright pathetic. Even against Maryland, they could only put up 7! Betiku is supposed to be one of the top pass rushers and what I've seen from Rutgers, they just don't have the athletes in the trenches.

                    Langan is a running QB and I don't think Illinois has really faced a dual threat guy yet so maybe they can be susceptible that way? Not sure. Maybe they can surprise but with Illinois not really showing much in the passing game, I think betting the total gives you a lot of flexibility

                    I don't see all that many big underdogs this week though? Do you dare try Maryland lol? They're supposed to have Josh Jackson back. There's some animosity between Locksley and Michigan OC too, could play a factor. Michigan also does struggle with speed and Maryland got an explosive running game. Maryland's just been a tough team for me to figure out. I still may bet them at 21.5

                    Other than that, I don't know, I kind of like the favorites. I think Notre Dame is a bad matchup for Virginia Tech's offensive line which grades out really poorly. South Carolina owns Vanderbilt and Vandy got that really big win against Missouri but that team (Vandy) is just a total wreck. Their QBs are horrible. They've got a decent running back but that's it. I thought they actually quit on Mason before that upset. They are coming off a bye though.
                    I was too scared Michigan rolling and like I said last week I wasn’t sure Terps had any life left.

                    I ended up going with army, Vtech, and beavers cause I like to at least hit 1 every week to keep me in the top 3rd! Army really the only big one that “makes sense” to me, that wouldn’t surprise me any. Tech just desperation heave, lol.
                    Comment
                    • RudyRuetigger
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 08-24-10
                      • 65084

                      #220
                      What's the top play
                      Comment
                      • U2.5
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-21-14
                        • 1953

                        #221
                        Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                        What's the top play
                        this week no one has any top plays. i feel like this is going to be a bad week to bet NCAAF. I want to fade myself this week, so I am just laying off. That's probably the best play other than hawaii fresno over. I will play that one
                        Comment
                        • RudyRuetigger
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 08-24-10
                          • 65084

                          #222
                          OK thanks bro
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #223
                            Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                            What's the top play
                            I like Oregon st quite a bit.

                            Army too.
                            Comment
                            • firedawg
                              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                              • 10-08-08
                              • 39219

                              #224
                              How bout them Dawgs
                              Comment
                              • firedawg
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 10-08-08
                                • 39219

                                #225
                                It's a great day to be a Georgia Bulldog
                                Comment
                                • firedawg
                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                  • 10-08-08
                                  • 39219

                                  #226
                                  Sic em
                                  Comment
                                  • firedawg
                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                    • 10-08-08
                                    • 39219

                                    #227
                                    Rudy
                                    I've got 32 beers to drink




                                    Sic em
                                    Comment
                                    • 2daBank
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-26-09
                                      • 88966

                                      #228
                                      Originally posted by firedawg
                                      It's a great day to be a Georgia Bulldog
                                      Gl buddy.

                                      I might turn it from army/AF to catch a little of that one! Lol
                                      Comment
                                      • firedawg
                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                        • 10-08-08
                                        • 39219

                                        #229
                                        Banker
                                        I'm prepared for the worst here

                                        I'll be on suicide watch no doubt
                                        Comment
                                        • firedawg
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 10-08-08
                                          • 39219

                                          #230
                                          Only one thing I hate more than a gator




                                          And that's a war damn eagle
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #231
                                            My card looks pretty much like this:

                                            Neb/Purdue ov58
                                            Tulane -10
                                            Army +16.5
                                            Vtech +17.5
                                            Oregon st +5.5
                                            Pitt-7.5
                                            BYU +3.5


                                            That should do it for now, I’m sure I’ll add some totals and whatnot throughout the day.
                                            Comment
                                            • swordsandtequila
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 02-23-12
                                              • 9758

                                              #232
                                              Originally posted by RudyRuetigger
                                              What's the top play
                                              Agree with the others, nothing stands out as a "top play". That said, Fla/Ga and SMU/Mem should be entertaining games to watch, regardless if you have money on it.


                                              Added Hawaii/Fresno over to the plays, you guys talked me into it
                                              Comment
                                              • firedawg
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 10-08-08
                                                • 39219

                                                #233
                                                Army looks solid
                                                Comment
                                                • 2daBank
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 01-26-09
                                                  • 88966

                                                  #234
                                                  Originally posted by swordsandtequila
                                                  Agree with the others, nothing stands out as a "top play". That said, Fla/Ga and SMU/Mem should be entertaining games to watch, regardless if you have money on it.


                                                  Added Hawaii/Fresno over to the plays, you guys talked me into it
                                                  Yea I’ll def play that just Havnt gotten around to it yet. I still like tcu too and few others. Shit I’m gonna end up w 10+ plays again. lol. I guess what else is new?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • veriableodds
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 08-22-17
                                                    • 5093

                                                    #235
                                                    curious why wait till game day to wager?? Is the the extra 1/2 point off a non key#, or getting extra 2c on the line worth the headache??
                                                    Comment
                                                    • swordsandtequila
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-23-12
                                                      • 9758

                                                      #236
                                                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                      My card looks pretty much like this:

                                                      Neb/Purdue ov58
                                                      Tulane -10
                                                      Army +16.5
                                                      Vtech +17.5
                                                      Oregon st +5.5
                                                      Pitt-7.5
                                                      BYU +3.5


                                                      That should do it for now, I’m sure I’ll add some totals and whatnot throughout the day.
                                                      As long as Pitt keeps it to 20 or less we good
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 2daBank
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                        • 88966

                                                        #237
                                                        Originally posted by firedawg
                                                        Army looks solid
                                                        Really hard to see that being a blowout.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Tanko
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-19-09
                                                          • 5143

                                                          #238
                                                          Purdue +4 (see post #23)
                                                          Miami +4.5 got early line (Monday). Like them on ML too but already made bet.
                                                          Indiana -10 considered buying the hook but meh...

                                                          Per some info from Banker, these looked good too so I jumped in.
                                                          Wash +140 ML
                                                          USC ML +151 <-- this one I feel is more likely of the two but both may hit.

                                                          I see AF/Army as an over 44.5.

                                                          I liked UNC Charlotte but upon further review, its off the list.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • STANDARD BET
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 05-10-19
                                                            • 224

                                                            #239
                                                            Michigan rolls early

                                                            SMU on a moneyline small play. Still unclear on status of Roberson but they have a shot either way. Offense is the real deal. Under might be a play as well

                                                            Leaning overs in TCU/OK St
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RudyRuetigger
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 08-24-10
                                                              • 65084

                                                              #240
                                                              i have to think NIU or Akron covers/wins

                                                              one of those 2 fukks will
                                                              Comment
                                                              • House
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 09-04-11
                                                                • 7088

                                                                #241
                                                                Originally posted by STANDARD BET
                                                                Michigan rolls early

                                                                SMU on a moneyline small play. Still unclear on status of Roberson but they have a shot either way. Offense is the real deal. Under might be a play as well

                                                                Leaning overs in TCU/OK St
                                                                SMU loses its first game today .... Memphis is to stout vs the run and a backup QB isn't gonna light it up through the air .. tread lightly... By the way the line started at Memphis -3 now its -5 .
                                                                Comment
                                                                • House
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 09-04-11
                                                                  • 7088

                                                                  #242
                                                                  I like Pitt , Wake , Buff , AF , Marshall , Troy ,Charlotte ,K State , CU and Ark St to cover GL guys
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Tanko
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 09-19-09
                                                                    • 5143

                                                                    #243
                                                                    Originally posted by House
                                                                    I like Pitt , Wake , Buff , AF , Marshall , Troy ,Charlotte ,K State , CU and Ark St to cover GL guys
                                                                    Wow. 16.5 pts is a lot for AF to give up to Army.
                                                                    Good Luck. Hope you hit them all.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • alamo
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 02-21-09
                                                                      • 7131

                                                                      #244
                                                                      Well boys ? Does anyone know if any game today has any weather issues- wind , rain , snow 👍
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • fecgp40
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 02-01-11
                                                                        • 5750

                                                                        #245
                                                                        Anyone like anything at noon?? I know UMass is bad, but should Liberty be laying 23 to anyone? Purdue seems like a live dog.
                                                                        Comment
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