How do you not take Strasburg+160?

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  • lakerboy
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-02-09
    • 94367

    #1
    How do you not take Strasburg+160?
    Isn't this a must play? Home teams are winless in the series. The better pitcher is a dog. The home pitcher is winless in 6 world series starts.
  • juicername
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-14-15
    • 6906

    #2
    How do you not take the home team after the road team winning each of the first five? Regression to the mean.
    Comment
    • krk1030
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-13-08
      • 17610

      #3
      Bingo

      This series has been a cash cow. Won games 1 and 2 at plus money and hit the run line with Houston in games 3 and 5.

      Only loss was game 4.
      Comment
      • biggie12
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-30-05
        • 13784

        #4
        Hopefully your wrong lb. think straus gets lit up early
        Comment
        • USCPHILLYGUY
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 12-15-12
          • 21744

          #5
          GL w the wager LB
          Comment
          • Hman
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-04-17
            • 21429

            #6
            Nats were hot now Houston is

            GL either way LB
            Comment
            • jjgold
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 07-20-05
              • 388189

              #7
              Straus due to get nailed
              Comment
              • lakerboy
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 04-02-09
                • 94367

                #8
                No play officially yet
                Comment
                • gauchojake
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 09-17-10
                  • 34103

                  #9
                  Seems too easy
                  Comment
                  • Golden fleece
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 09-25-18
                    • 858

                    #10
                    I am going with the Astros to close it out tonight. they are jus too good to lose 3 straight home games on the biggest stage. they are 1 game a way , they know it , the crowd knows it , everyone will be pumped up to play.
                    Comment
                    • jjgold
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 07-20-05
                      • 388189

                      #11
                      BIG $$$ all on Houston
                      Comment
                      • Sam Odom
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 10-30-05
                        • 58063

                        #12
                        JJ

                        what about the Due Theory ?
                        Comment
                        • shocka1212
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-06-12
                          • 16788

                          #13
                          verlander 0-5 in WS games.........
                          Comment
                          • Big Bear
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 11-01-11
                            • 43253

                            #14
                            Originally posted by lakerboy
                            No play officially yet
                            okay keep us updated
                            Comment
                            • thechaoz
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-23-09
                              • 12155

                              #15
                              Originally posted by shocka1212
                              verlander 0-5 in WS games.........
                              Ya he worries me. Doesn't really look that good. I wonder if he'll walk into the sunset after this game
                              Comment
                              • flakeandbake
                                SBR MVP
                                • 06-21-10
                                • 3672

                                #16
                                Originally posted by lakerboy
                                Isn't this a must play? Home teams are winless in the series. The better pitcher is a dog. The home pitcher is winless in 6 world series starts.
                                “Home teams winless in the series”

                                Does it ever occur that when something happens that many times in a row it’s prime for a reversal. And that usually happens once people come to their senses? I’m on nationals too but Jesus Christ
                                Comment
                                • lakerboy
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 04-02-09
                                  • 94367

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by lakerboy
                                  No play officially yet
                                  In on Washington ml +159 and RL-142
                                  Comment
                                  • Big Bear
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 11-01-11
                                    • 43253

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by lakerboy
                                    In on Washington ml +159 and RL-142
                                    boom shocka locka

                                    2 canadians going head to toe in this one

                                    Biggie vs Lakerboy

                                    I’m just waiting for Seaweed to release his play
                                    Comment
                                    • shocka1212
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-06-12
                                      • 16788

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by biggie12
                                      Hopefully your wrong lb. think straus gets lit up early
                                      shit, you're taking htown?
                                      Comment
                                      • thomorino
                                        Restricted User
                                        • 06-01-17
                                        • 45842

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by lakerboy

                                        In on Washington ml +159 and RL-142
                                        Better value taking the nationals team total over than laying -142 on a run line.
                                        Comment
                                        • jolyolyolyman
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 01-17-18
                                          • 602

                                          #21
                                          Besides Gerrit Cole, Strasburg has been the best pitcher this postseason. Could he get rocked? Absolutely. But from what I’ve seen, his stuff has been downright filthy. JV is JV but he has given up plenty of homeruns this year and this postseason. I Could easily see the Nats up or tied after 5; however, I don’t trust that Nats bullpen to hold up against Houston’s bats this late in a series.
                                          Comment
                                          • thomorino
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 06-01-17
                                            • 45842

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by juicername
                                            How do you not take the home team after the road team winning each of the first five? Regression to the mean.
                                            Because if you are making a case for regression to the mean nats offense should go off, they are 1-20 with runners in scoring position last 3 games.
                                            Comment
                                            • sballen
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 02-26-14
                                              • 815

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by juicername
                                              How do you not take the home team after the road team winning each of the first five? Regression to the mean.
                                              If I flip a coin 5x and it lands on heads every time, how can it not land on tails the next time? You literally just described the gamblers fallacy.
                                              Comment
                                              • stevek173
                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                • 03-29-08
                                                • 27598

                                                #24
                                                Bol lb
                                                Comment
                                                • flakeandbake
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 06-21-10
                                                  • 3672

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by thomorino
                                                  Because if you are making a case for regression to the mean nats offense should go off, they are 1-20 with runners in scoring position last 3 games.
                                                  Who cares? What does that have to do with this game? People were saying the exact same thing about the Astros when the were down 0-2 in the series hitting < 150 with runners in scoring position
                                                  Comment
                                                  • thomorino
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 06-01-17
                                                    • 45842

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by flakeandbake
                                                    Who cares? What does that have to do with this game? People were saying the exact same thing about the Astros when the were down 0-2 in the series hitting < 150 with runners in scoring position
                                                    Buy a tv Houston's offense has been strong the last 3 games.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dj_destroyer
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 07-28-10
                                                      • 3856

                                                      #27
                                                      I think I like the Stros to end it
                                                      Comment
                                                      • johnnyvegas13
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 05-21-15
                                                        • 27812

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by dj_destroyer
                                                        I think I like the Stros to end it
                                                        Agree

                                                        Natsss a good story but they look done and this road team streak gonna end
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jjgold
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 07-20-05
                                                          • 388189

                                                          #29
                                                          Verlander also due to win a world series game
                                                          Comment
                                                          • nyplayer33
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 09-27-06
                                                            • 8304

                                                            #30
                                                            Wait...astros werent pumped up to win first 2...now they are ?? Hmmmm....how bout luck.....difference between hitnl or out is luck kinda..
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Sam Odom
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 10-30-05
                                                              • 58063

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Sam Odom


                                                              JJ

                                                              what about the Due Theory ?
                                                              Originally posted by jjgold


                                                              Verlander also due to win a world series game



                                                              Comment
                                                              • lakerboy
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 04-02-09
                                                                • 94367

                                                                #32
                                                                Not much line movement here so let's see what happens
                                                                Comment
                                                                • johnnyvegas13
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 05-21-15
                                                                  • 27812

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Strossss win laker
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Machba
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 01-08-19
                                                                    • 6747

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Heard the Stros were a LOCK
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bill10
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 11-09-10
                                                                      • 658

                                                                      #35
                                                                      What’s the play Machba ?QUOTE=Machba;29010090]Heard the Stros were a LOCK[/QUOTE]
                                                                      Comment
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