Let’s talk ncaa week 9

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  • U2.5
    SBR MVP
    • 02-21-14
    • 1953

    #281
    Originally posted by 2daBank
    Think it 1st time in history a school was paying another to come in and were dogs!! Lmao.

    I’m more interested in the other dumpster bowl. Ucom laying 10 on the road? Yea right, think a money line in play on umass! Lol
    how did houston not drop 50 on them? Unreal. Uconn and rutgers might as well abandon their football program.
    Comment
    • U2.5
      SBR MVP
      • 02-21-14
      • 1953

      #282
      today I have to go to my best friends bachelor party so I won't be able to post many plays. I am on Ohio st -14 because I believe wisconsin is vastly over rated and ohio st is the best team in the country. Just my opinion. I hate ohio st as a fan but as a gambler it is what it is
      Comment
      • fecgp40
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 02-01-11
        • 5750

        #283
        Originally posted by 2daBank
        Speaking of option teams you know who impresses me every week? Air Force; they can actually pass which makes them incredibly dangerous!! Even the 3rd stringer came in last week and hit some big throws!!!
        Good point Bank. Air Force can certainly sling it!! I was very impressed with their passing game from what I've seen of them. I liked them initially vs. Utah St, but really not so sure now.
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        • firedawg
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 10-08-08
          • 39219

          #284
          Vols not starting the frosh QB

          Big problem
          Comment
          • U2.5
            SBR MVP
            • 02-21-14
            • 1953

            #285
            I don't think wisconsin will be able to run the ball against that ohio st defense, and I don't think wisconsin will be able to stop the ridiculously balanced offense ohio st is bringing into the game
            Comment
            • fecgp40
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-01-11
              • 5750

              #286
              Originally posted by Tanko
              Yeah... Agree. Just the first one I came across going through them.
              There are 5-6 others that are on my list but I'm not done evaluating them.

              What do you see fecgp? Anything stand out?
              I honestly like San Jose St +10. But that team always hoses me.
              Comment
              • Tanko
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 09-19-09
                • 5143

                #287
                Originally posted by U2.5
                I don't think wisconsin will be able to run the ball against that ohio st defense, and I don't think wisconsin will be able to stop the ridiculously balanced offense ohio st is bringing into the game
                Ohio St. offense is great but -14.5 is a pretty big number to cover. Ohio St could win by 30 or have a flat day and win by 10.
                I'm not feeling as comfortable with this game. 14 feels about right for the gap between these teams.
                Good luck.
                Comment
                • Tanko
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 09-19-09
                  • 5143

                  #288
                  Originally posted by fecgp40
                  I honestly like San Jose St +10. But that team always hoses me.
                  If you held a gun to my head I would take SJ but I don't like either team on this game. Army has been flat lately (0-4 ATS). SJ only slightly bettter. Tough one for me to see value on.

                  Good luck.
                  Comment
                  • Joe Sharp
                    SBR MVP
                    • 06-01-09
                    • 3011

                    #289
                    Locked in a couple of 1st halfs
                    Purdue -6
                    Wisconsin +7.5

                    There is a lot of over reaction from last week. All of my buddies are ranting about how they are hammering Illinois and Ohio State.... I just don't see it. I feel that last week means little to nothing and this is a new week.
                    Comment
                    • 2daBank
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-26-09
                      • 88966

                      #290
                      Originally posted by firedawg
                      Vols not starting the frosh QB

                      Big problem
                      I’ve kinda gotten away from that one anyways. Never could convince myself it was that great a play..
                      Comment
                      • jeffchitown
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-21-16
                        • 1859

                        #291
                        Originally posted by Joe Sharp
                        Locked in a couple of 1st halfs
                        Purdue -6
                        Wisconsin +7.5

                        There is a lot of over reaction from last week. All of my buddies are ranting about how they are hammering Illinois and Ohio State.... I just don't see it. I feel that last week means little to nothing and this is a new week.
                        Well I went to Purdue and I hammered the hell out of Illinois money line. It is going to be a rainy game so mean run game. Purdue can’t run the ball. They are trash at that. Illinois on the other hand can. I expect Illinois wins 21 to 14. Maybe 20 to 14 with missed extra point due to weather conditions.

                        This is all assuming they don’t cancel the game.
                        Comment
                        • fecgp40
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 02-01-11
                          • 5750

                          #292
                          Originally posted by 2daBank
                          I’ve kinda gotten away from that one anyways. Never could convince myself it was that great a play..
                          Tennessee looks like a good play to me. Do you still like Tulsa?
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #293
                            Originally posted by Joe Sharp
                            Locked in a couple of 1st halfs
                            Pursue -6
                            Wisconsin +7.5

                            There is a lot of over reaction from last week. All of my buddies are ranting about how they are hammering Illinois and Ohio State.... I just don't see it. I feel that last week means little to nothing and this is a new week.
                            I agree it doesn’t. Thing Is I think they might be right but just for wrong reasons. If weather is nasty at Purdue that favors Illini imo. I actually have Illini +10. Nothing to do w last week.

                            I agree w wiscy but I just can’t get in osu way.
                            Comment
                            • 2daBank
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 01-26-09
                              • 88966

                              #294
                              Originally posted by fecgp40
                              Tennessee looks like a good play to me. Do you still like Tulsa?
                              It might be, just don’t think it as strong as the 5 I got already.

                              I think so on Tulsa. I’m pretty confident they will give a good effort and play solid d. I just worry how much offense they can give me and if they can hold Memphis down as much as cincy? Bright side is they did move the ball vs Bearcats they just kept freaking turning it over. They actually out gained them on the day. It not till 6 and don’t think I have any night games on card yet so they most likely for sure be a play! lol
                              Comment
                              • 2daBank
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-26-09
                                • 88966

                                #295
                                Originally posted by jeffchitown
                                Well I went to Purdue and I hammered the hell out of Illinois money line. It is going to be a rainy game so mean run game. Purdue can’t run the ball. They are trash at that. Illinois on the other hand can. I expect Illinois wins 21 to 14. Maybe 20 to 14 with missed extra point due to weather conditions.

                                This is all assuming they don’t cancel the game.
                                Glad to hear it Jeff. Kinda my thoughts exactly.
                                Comment
                                • Joe Sharp
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 06-01-09
                                  • 3011

                                  #296
                                  Originally posted by jeffchitown
                                  Well I went to Purdue and I hammered the hell out of Illinois money line. It is going to be a rainy game so mean run game. Purdue can’t run the ball. They are trash at that. Illinois on the other hand can. I expect Illinois wins 21 to 14. Maybe 20 to 14 with missed extra point due to weather conditions.

                                  This is all assuming they don’t cancel the game.
                                  Do we know why the opening line moved from -7.5 to -10 in places? Also why does Purdue solely have to run in the rain? Wet surfaces are bad for D backs and Corners too... you could absolutely be right. We shall see. Good luck!
                                  Comment
                                  • 2daBank
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 01-26-09
                                    • 88966

                                    #297
                                    Originally posted by 2daBank

                                    1st play I grabbed.

                                    Wku +5., kicking myself for being late missing the 6 but I don’t think it matters.,, this game all about defense and I think it be close., defense travels and wku brings in a very good one!

                                    Main difference I see is wku despite not so good offense they are pretty good on 3rd down converting over 40% of the time, Marshall defense not good at getting off the field allowing damn near 47% conversion rate coming in at 107 in the country! On the other side wku ranks in the top 10 nationally only allowing opponents to convert 28.5% of their 3rd downs facing a Marshall offense that ranks 86th picking them up. Wku can sustain drives while Marshall will struggle to stay on the field.

                                    Historically we are been winning this game recently but wku covers virtually every year. Marshall has name recognition and is seemingly always overvalued in this matchup. I think wku wins outright this year but I’ll happily take the points in a game they should be at a premium


                                    Louisville+3.5. Grabbing this now cause I see the hook disappearing at some places. I’m just not sure uva the better team here? this line implies
                                    uva-10 ish at home?? Anyone agree with that? I don’t.

                                    Both played Irish to a incredibly similar score. They both played FSU and while uva won at home and ville lost on road a case could be made ville played them at least as well. FSU had a shot to beat uva and blew it. Ville had a late lead and were inside 20 to put FSU away and threw a pick. Again I think a very similar effort from both vs like opponent.

                                    Last week was the 1st time in I dunno how long Clemson has allowed a 100 yard rusher. I know uva has a very strong run d but is it better than tigers? Saterfield designs a very clever run game and I think they will have success against another strong rushing d., ville was a few dropped passes from being in that Clemson game.

                                    Ville defense is a concern so this a little out of character for me as I typically lean to the stronger defense. That said uva offense is putrid, the teams that have lit ville up have pretty good offenses coming into that game. I like ville to have some offensive success and put pressure on a uva offense to score points which isn’t their strength.


                                    Northwestern +10.., 10 points in a game they might not score 20 between them? This team ain’t as bad its record, the offense sucks but they can play d. Even at 1-5 nw season ain’t over yet, they have been known to start winning games around this time and find their way into a bowl game. If they lose here the season prob over but I think this be a battle.,

                                    Sparty +5.5., already screwed up waiting on this one, hope it doesn’t matter. I honestly think sparty wins this game so just taking as many points I can get now.

                                    I’m not so convinced psu a top 10 team, they have earned the rank I suppose but they have been outgained both the last 2 weeks. They come in here off 2 physical games they barely held on to win and facing a sparty team that had a bye to lick their wounds and regroup., ppl I respect think dantonie out after the year and if that so I gotta believe they still look at this season like it can be a success if they win here then maybe beat Michigan down the road., they could still go to a nice bowl.

                                    Forecast calls for rain starting early and going throughout which is lovely for our cause. Sloppier this game is the better., really expect sparty best effort of season in this one and will def have the ml in a RR.,
                                    Illini +10 -120., played this before I went to sleep, talked bout it just didn’t remember to post it. You can see thoughts on it in previous pages.
                                    Comment
                                    • Joe Sharp
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 06-01-09
                                      • 3011

                                      #298
                                      Originally posted by 2daBank
                                      Glad to hear it Jeff. Kinda my thoughts exactly.
                                      Damn. Might have to bet out! Haha shit
                                      Comment
                                      • 2daBank
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-26-09
                                        • 88966

                                        #299
                                        Originally posted by Joe Sharp
                                        Do we know why the opening line moved from -7.5 to -10 in places? Also why does Purdue solely have to run in the rain? Wet surfaces are bad for D backs and Corners too... you could absolutely be right. We shall see. Good luck!
                                        I heard gusty wind is what did it for me. The rain not so much impossible to throw in but if there high winds that makes it tough.

                                        No idea on line but I don’t concern myself w that stuff. Lines only move for a few reasons imo, money coming in mostly and sometimes injuries or weather., I don’t care about money moving it, they don’t know outcome any more than the rest of us.
                                        Comment
                                        • jeffchitown
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-21-16
                                          • 1859

                                          #300
                                          Originally posted by Joe Sharp
                                          Damn. Might have to bet out! Haha shit
                                          Honestly if Purdue wins they cover IMO. It means the rain isn’t that bad and throwing the ball is possible. if they have a hard time throwing cause of the rain Illinois should win this game. I saw some videos posted online of them warming up this morning. The rain wasn’t an issue at that time but I think it is just going to get worse as the day goes on.

                                          Edited meant wasn’t
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #301
                                            Originally posted by Joe Sharp
                                            Damn. Might have to bet out! Haha shit
                                            I’ve been wrong before bud., my thinking all along tho was I really liked this over but when weather became apparent if it was bad enough for me not to play over then I thought it favored Illini.
                                            Comment
                                            • U2.5
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-21-14
                                              • 1953

                                              #302
                                              Originally posted by Tanko
                                              Ohio St. offense is great but -14.5 is a pretty big number to cover. Ohio St could win by 30 or have a flat day and win by 10.
                                              I'm not feeling as comfortable with this game. 14 feels about right for the gap between these teams.
                                              Good luck.
                                              i hear ya. I feel it's a 21+ point margin. Wisconsin has no quality wins in myt opinion. The big ten is really down this year. I feel a complete blowout on the rise today. GL with your bets too my friend
                                              Comment
                                              • fecgp40
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-01-11
                                                • 5750

                                                #303
                                                Anyone like Kansas St +23.5?
                                                Comment
                                                • STANDARD BET
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 05-10-19
                                                  • 224

                                                  #304
                                                  Originally posted by U2.5
                                                  I don't think wisconsin will be able to run the ball against that ohio st defense, and I don't think wisconsin will be able to stop the ridiculously balanced offense ohio st is bringing into the game
                                                  I agree for the most part but won't be playing this game. Good luck. Where's that bachelor party at?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Tanko
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 09-19-09
                                                    • 5143

                                                    #305
                                                    Originally posted by fecgp40
                                                    Anyone like Kansas St +23.5?
                                                    I think I saw a post from Firedawg being on them.
                                                    Would love to take the points w/ home team but I'm not touching it since OU has potential to win by 40 (not likely but possible).
                                                    Comment
                                                    • fecgp40
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-01-11
                                                      • 5750

                                                      #306
                                                      Very quiet in here today...
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 2daBank
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 01-26-09
                                                        • 88966

                                                        #307
                                                        Originally posted by fecgp40
                                                        Very quiet in here today...
                                                        Sorry man, I tried to have most my day stuff done before this morning cause I’m out running errands and shit today.. I’m hoping to be done by the 2:30 games then I’ll be back In here to play some night Games.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Mackballs
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 12-01-16
                                                          • 5810

                                                          #308
                                                          Southern miss game over at 1pm
                                                          Comment
                                                          • fecgp40
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-01-11
                                                            • 5750

                                                            #309
                                                            Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                            Sorry man, I tried to have most my day stuff done before this morning cause I’m out running errands and shit today.. I’m hoping to be done by the 2:30 games then I’ll be back In here to play some night Games.
                                                            No need to apologize Bank. You don't have to carry the thread all the time. I was just surprised at how little discussion was going on. Last Saturday I could barely keep up with all the messages!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Tanko
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 09-19-09
                                                              • 5143

                                                              #310
                                                              Originally posted by Mackballs
                                                              Southern miss game over at 1pm
                                                              Looks like safe bet. Are you expecting ~20 from Rice and ~35 from S. Miss or am i missing something?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Tanko
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 09-19-09
                                                                • 5143

                                                                #311
                                                                Okla defense letting KSU run at will. KSU keeping it close.
                                                                OU will score about every possession it looks like but KSU offense may stay close enough to cover.

                                                                OU not looking good to cover the +23.5 right now. Glad I stayed away.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • leetreaper
                                                                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                  • 10-23-10
                                                                  • 34841

                                                                  #312
                                                                  I absolutely love MD plus points later on
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Joe Sharp
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 06-01-09
                                                                    • 3011

                                                                    #313
                                                                    Illinois was the call!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Tanko
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 09-19-09
                                                                      • 5143

                                                                      #314
                                                                      Originally posted by leetreaper
                                                                      I absolutely love MD plus points later on

                                                                      What do you like about it. I'm laying off of it for now, but I see Maryland on par with Nebraska and Minn put a hurting on Neb last week at home.

                                                                      Mayland is 2-2 ATS (one of those covers was Rutgers)
                                                                      Minn 4-0 ATS (Purdue, Ill, Neb, Rutgers)

                                                                      Not sure I'd go Maryland. What am I missing?

                                                                      Good Luck.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Tanko
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 09-19-09
                                                                        • 5143

                                                                        #315
                                                                        Originally posted by Joe Sharp
                                                                        Illinois was the call!
                                                                        I cant get that game but I see the stats show is mainly rushing which should favor Illinois. I see purdue has passed 5X for 44 yards (suprising). It the weather as bad as we hoped? Can Purdue pass?
                                                                        Comment
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