Monday Plays?? Dead Board San Jose Or Nothing

Mackballs · 05-13-19, 07:30 AM

Walking card

GzaTheGenius · 05-13-19, 07:31 AM

Blues tonight

Shev2 · 05-13-19, 07:40 AM

Angels under 4
Mariners - Athletic's under 8.5
Tigers ML
White Sox ML

KiDBaZkiT · 05-13-19, 07:52 AM

Pirates Under everyday they play.

Shev2 · 05-13-19, 07:54 AM

Originally posted by KiDBaZkiT

Pirates Under everyday they play.

Love the confidence after they put up 3 in the first yesterday lol

The General · 05-13-19, 08:27 AM

Financial planning, therapy, 2k walk (no chit), Ted talk, food nutrition, peer support and NA. Games after that.

Carpe Diem

Shev2 · 05-13-19, 08:28 AM

Originally posted by The General

Financial planning, therapy, 2k walk (no chit), Ted talk, food nutrition, peer support and NA. Games after that.

Carpe Diem

Like your style

BIGDAY · 05-13-19, 08:32 AM

Looking for a spot.

Duckshit · 05-13-19, 08:33 AM

So nice to hear from you!

The General · 05-13-19, 08:36 AM

In a good place Shev. When I get that one little break, someone will score huge. I'm a winning lottery ticket waiting to be bought.

Semper Fi

LT Profits · 05-13-19, 08:38 AM

Just the opposite, Blues or nothing as I like St. Louis to win Stanley Cup, so that have to win at least once in San Jose this series.

That said,I have nothing yet, my only bet so far is Angels +136 in MLB.

KVB · 05-13-19, 09:48 AM

This Contrarian Fund Total is anything but forced...

Originally posted by KVB

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

907

13-May

HOU/DET OVER 8.5 (-110)

Back at those Totals again...

KVB · 05-13-19, 09:54 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

Just the opposite, Blues or nothing as I like St. Louis to win Stanley Cup, so that have to win at least once in San Jose this series.

That said,I have nothing yet, my only bet so far is Angels +136 in MLB.

Looking at those Angels as well for both the Contrarian Fund and the Contrarian Runline Fund.

Could be the best play on the board today.

juicername · 05-13-19, 11:06 AM

Going against Berrios at home can never be a good idea.

funnyb25 · 05-13-19, 11:07 AM

Lost EVERYTHING

KVB · 05-13-19, 11:22 AM

Originally posted by juicername

Going against Berrios at home can never be a good idea.

Definitely why it becomes a contrarian play, even on the runline.

I see LAA getting sharp play in the market and that line movement is looking like RLM.

Would be interesting to see if there are buybacks. I've bought them, but the Contrarian Fund has yet to trigger, losing some value while we wait for more volume in the samples.

A later buyback on Minny would make me nervous, but right now all signs point to the Angels.

LT Profits · 05-13-19, 11:28 AM

Originally posted by juicername

Going against Berrios at home can never be a good idea.

My +136 is now scalpable at most books so I am happy with it.

KVB · 05-13-19, 11:36 AM

Originally posted by LT Profits

My +136 is now scalpable at most books so I am happy with it.

Yeah things really moved there, well ahead of the market.

jjgold · 05-13-19, 11:58 AM

I keep hitting San Jose every hr

what a mismatch

The General · 05-13-19, 12:03 PM

My 2k walk is underway.

The General · 05-13-19, 12:48 PM

Success finished in top third. Not to shabby for broken down surgically repaired old man. Snowflakes are out of shape and a little muscle pain scared the chit out of them. These are soldiers, too. Not many Marines, though. Huge difference.

The General · 05-13-19, 12:50 PM

I was shooting the breeze with an army guy one day. He was bragging about how often he missed formation while serving the Nation. He asked me how many times I missed the early Am rally. I said , son I never knew it was optional. Wtf.

The General · 05-13-19, 01:50 PM

Food nutrition at top of hour, peer support and NA. Looking forward to NA group. Good people. Really enjoy the structure here but miss female companionship.

KVB · 05-13-19, 02:47 PM

Originally posted by KVB

Definitely why it becomes a contrarian play, even on the runline.

I see LAA getting sharp play in the market and that line movement is looking like RLM.

Would be interesting to see if there are buybacks. I've bought them, but the Contrarian Fund has yet to trigger, losing some value while we wait for more volume in the samples.

A later buyback on Minny would make me nervous, but right now all signs point to the Angels...

Indeed there was some buying back and the market had to blink. The contrarian fund is seeing the value return, and needed to, as the buyback action itself causes an adjustment against the Angels.

This will likely be the highest volume game of the day and it's pretty clear the originators and books helped cause it. With that kind of volume, the contrarian side shows the advantage with the Angels today.

The Fund has still not triggered, now, at these prices, there is plenty of time to gather more information.

The good news is that the LAA runline has gotten cheaper and will likely trigger in the RL fund, we need plays to trigger there to make up the early season deficit.

The General · 05-13-19, 02:57 PM

You da man, kvb. Solid.

pablo222 · 05-13-19, 03:15 PM

Originally posted by The General

I was shooting the breeze with an army guy one day. He was bragging about how often he missed formation while serving the Nation. He asked me how many times I missed the early Am rally. I said , son I never knew it was optional. Wtf.

Aint
Ready for
Marines
Yet

KVB · 05-13-19, 03:22 PM

Liking that -140 for the Angels Runline...

Originally posted by KVB

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

909

13-May

LAA +1.5 (-140)

This is the second time this line has hit this level and I think it's the best we get. Volume and metrics at these levels tend to hold their trend by the close and while it's possible that this play could move off the radar by the close, it triggers now.

KVB · 05-13-19, 04:13 PM

The Contrarian Fund picked up the Angels...

Originally posted by KVB

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has added...

909

13-May

LAA +133

Been watching this one all day...

tucks · 05-13-19, 04:23 PM

BLUES

Yankees

KVB · 05-13-19, 05:29 PM

Originally posted by KVB

This Contrarian Fund Total is anything but forced...

Originally posted by KVB

The KVB MLB Contrarian Fund has picked up...

907

13-May

HOU/DET OVER 8.5 (-110)

Back at those Totals again...

...

I bought this OVER before the Umps were announced but I do have some good news in that dept.

Today's Ump in Detroit is Paul Emmel.

Emmel is one of the top OVER umps in my database, going back nearly 15 years.

He has kept up the OVER tendency this year already as I have him 5-1 with the OVER better up nearly 4 units, depending on the line.

The wind at Comerica is expected to be blowing out toward center at nearly 10 mph but that will slowly drop to 7 mph as the game progresses.

This line has been pricing higher for the OVER all day long as books have seen, from my samples, a consistent supply of OVER bets.

Some houses have moved to 9, pricing that UNDER high. I've seen some UNDER trades here that constitue RLM, when counting the price change. So that isn't too significant.

If it blinks back down to 8.5, or the UNDER 8.5 becomes juiced, I might worry at that late market countering activity.

The General · 05-13-19, 06:00 PM

NA meeting starting. No cross talk please.

jjgold · 05-13-19, 07:06 PM

Watching the Phillies game very light card actually good lose less money

2daBank · 05-13-19, 07:28 PM

Blues huge, that all we need tonight!

jjgold · 05-13-19, 08:45 PM

St. Louis looking good early but San Jose can explode at any time