Week 13 NFL Picks

**lakerboy** · 11-26-18, 12:01 AM

I like betting early if I feel an edge. You have no edge on that Steelers game. Books opened high. I bet you lac gets hit. Pitt is not more then a fg better. Line is high because Pitt lost.

Bears never play well in NY. They lose su.

I agree that the saints win but I don't play TDS on tnf.

Falcon are trash but who knows.

Good luck

**ddittie** · 11-26-18, 12:10 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

I like betting early if I feel an edge. You have no edge on that Steelers game. Books opened high. I bet you lac gets hit. Pitt is not more then a fg better. Line is high because Pitt lost.

Bears never play well in NY. They lose su.

I agree that the saints win but I don't play TDS on tnf.

Falcon are trash but who knows.

Good luck

I agree, LAC +4 or Steelers -2.5/-3.

Bears/Giants I still have to think about myself, ATL is a crapshoot.

Saints/Dal may be playing TNF, but they still had a whole week, no? I think Dallas get's shredded here. I agree with Saints -7.

**Debacleov** · 11-26-18, 12:11 AM

Saints may be getting ready to rape Dallas.

**Yankfan4life2** · 11-26-18, 12:15 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

Bears never play well in NY. They lose su.

Good luck

I'm on this as well. Bears will go down next week.

**thomorino** · 11-26-18, 12:16 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

I like betting early if I feel an edge. You have no edge on that Steelers game. Books opened high. I bet you lac gets hit. Pitt is not more then a fg better. Line is high because Pitt lost.

Bears never play well in NY. They lose su.

I agree that the saints win but I don't play TDS on tnf.

Falcon are trash but who knows.

Good luck

The Steeler line will likely go off at 6.5 - the Chargers are not a good team, look at who this team has beaten.

The Chargers have played 2 playoff teams all year, KC and the Rams, they lost to both by double digits and failed to cover - this team is now without 3 of their 4 best defensive players an Bossa is still nowhere near 100%. This line will move up during the week.

**Debacleov** · 11-26-18, 12:17 AM

Chargers loss to the Broncos cost me my life.

**thomorino** · 11-26-18, 12:17 AM

Originally posted by Yankfan4life2

I'm on this as well. Bears will go down next week.

Barkely didn't play much in the 2nd half against the Eagles, was hurt, but the Giants season is over, they'll get up for primetime games and games against rivals like the Eagles but I dont' see them getting up for this game. Mack will have a huge advantage against the Giants offensive line.

**thomorino** · 11-26-18, 12:18 AM

Originally posted by lakerboy

I like betting early if I feel an edge. You have no edge on that Steelers game. Books opened high. I bet you lac gets hit. Pitt is not more then a fg better. Line is high because Pitt lost.

Bears never play well in NY. They lose su.

I agree that the saints win but I don't play TDS on tnf.

Falcon are trash but who knows.

Good luck

Its not a traditional Thursday game since the Saints have a week to prepare, Dallas is an easy place to play in, Saints will have plenty of fans there, and Dallas has covered the spread once the entire year when Elliot hasn't run for 100 yards, Saints run defense looks great.

**sweep** · 11-26-18, 12:20 AM

Lets get those basketball picks up Morono!!

**thomorino** · 11-26-18, 12:20 AM

Originally posted by sweep

Lets get those basketball picks up Morono!!

Fuk off

**Debacleov** · 11-26-18, 12:22 AM

Stop trolling this guy, hes posting picks. Post some picks or gtfo you little venoms

**sweep** · 11-26-18, 12:24 AM

Originally posted by Debacleov

Stop trolling this guy, hes posting picks. Post some picks or gtfo you little venoms

fuk off

**Debacleov** · 11-26-18, 12:25 AM

your pussy ends right now

**thomorino** · 11-26-18, 12:30 AM

Originally posted by sweep

fuk off

Fuk off

**lakerboy** · 11-26-18, 09:46 AM

Lac is +3.5 at pinny

**lonegambler23** · 11-26-18, 09:51 AM

atlanta playing hard.. lol lets run a slow motion offense down 21 points

**Booya711** · 11-26-18, 09:52 AM

Originally posted by Debacleov

Stop trolling this guy, hes posting picks. Post some picks or gtfo you little venoms

Fukk off

**sweep** · 11-26-18, 09:56 AM

Lets get those basketball fades up Morono!!

**magpie878** · 11-26-18, 10:11 AM

Originally posted by thomorino

Saints -7 - Dallas has only covered the spread once when Elliot hasn't run for 100 yards or better, Saints run defense is strong, Dallas doesn't have the passing game to take advantage of Saints issues in the secondary, Dallas front seven is strong but corners aren't good

Saints may very well win this, and your ends will justify the means, but you have two glaring holes here.

Dallas is 12th against the pass, but their "corners aren't good" just isn't correct.

You're already assuming Elliott isn't rushing for 100, throwing out a statement how they don't cover when he doesn't hit 100. How about when he does? Saints rushing D is overblown, as the teams they're playing have to play catch up and they haven't played many good RBs. Eagles run D was super hyped until recently too.

Anyway, good luck. I just prefer some facts when I'm spelling out something.

**thomorino** · 11-26-18, 01:51 PM

Originally posted by sweep

Lets get those basketball fades up Morono!!

Fuk off

**thomorino** · 11-26-18, 01:52 PM

Originally posted by magpie878

Saints may very well win this, and your ends will justify the means, but you have two glaring holes here.

Dallas is 12th against the pass, but their "corners aren't good" just isn't correct.

You're already assuming Elliott isn't rushing for 100, throwing out a statement how they don't cover when he doesn't hit 100. How about when he does? Saints rushing D is overblown, as the teams they're playing have to play catch up and they haven't played many good RBs. Eagles run D was super hyped until recently too.

Anyway, good luck. I just prefer some facts when I'm spelling out something.

Yeah when you cap a sport 12 games into the season you can't look at stats at face value, you have to look at strength of competition. Dallas's secondary has struggled when the strong defensive line hasn't been able to get pressure, and the Saints offensive line is strong, Brees gets the ball out very fast. Saints rush defense has been strong all year, including against better running backs like Gurley.

**jjgold** · 11-26-18, 03:33 PM

I rather bet all those 10 point teaser or ml parlay

Kid makes sense on these

God Bless

**trobin31** · 11-26-18, 03:45 PM

3-1, lone loser will be Falcons

**thomorino** · 11-26-18, 06:49 PM

I'm adding Houston -3.5

**thomorino** · 11-26-18, 11:06 PM

Winner with Houston 46-32

**thomorino** · 11-29-18, 01:12 AM

I'm adding the under in Saints-Cowboys at 52.5, and Seattle -10

**cankid** · 11-29-18, 06:39 AM

Thanks for posting I wonder if they let go the Atlanta staff, bad in game decisions from game 1 in my opinion and the play calling was better than last year but still suspect, minus turnover team, bad karma team this year

**magpie878** · 11-29-18, 01:49 PM

Originally posted by thomorino

Yeah when you cap a sport 12 games into the season you can't look at stats at face value, you have to look at strength of competition. Dallas's secondary has struggled when the strong defensive line hasn't been able to get pressure, and the Saints offensive line is strong, Brees gets the ball out very fast. Saints rush defense has been strong all year, including against better running backs like Gurley.

You're quite right, have to look deeper.

Saints #1 rush defense also has the least rushing attempts per game against it (again, they're getting leads and most idiot coaches just abandon their run games).

Saints rank #2 in rushing yards against per game (3.6) but in their last three games, it's at a much higher 4.4 yards.

Dallas ranks #25 on offense total yards per game, but in their last three, they're 11th.

Again, NO can win in a blowout, but I can see both sides of this coin, I wouldn't be very surprised if Dallas upset them.

**thomorino** · 11-29-18, 01:51 PM

Originally posted by magpie878

You're quite right, have to look deeper.

Saints #1 rush defense also has the least rushing attempts per game against it (again, they're getting leads and most idiot coaches just abandon their run games).

Saints rank #2 in rushing yards against per game (3.6) but in their last three games, it's at a much higher 4.4 yards.

Dallas ranks #25 on offense total yards per game, but in their last three, they're 11th.

Again, NO can win in a blowout, but I can see both sides of this coin, I wouldn't be very surprised if Dallas upset them.

Of course there are 2 sides, I could care less what teams rushing yards per game are the last 3 games - they've been blowouts and most of those numbers are in garbage time. The run defense looks good and that's what I see, not just yard per game, but also yards per play. I don' see a blowout, but Dallas has covered the spread once all year when Elliot hasn't run for 100 yards, I don't see him doing it here.

**ForumvilleLoL** · 11-29-18, 01:56 PM

Nice record Marino !

**thomorino** · 11-29-18, 02:02 PM

Originally posted by cankid

Thanks for posting I wonder if they let go the Atlanta staff, bad in game decisions from game 1 in my opinion and the play calling was better than last year but still suspect, minus turnover team, bad karma team this year

Agree, play calling has been better this year - I do think the narrative that the reason the offense isn't as good as it was 2 years ago with Shanahan is too simple, its not the same team and that year looks like the exception.

**magpie878** · 11-29-18, 02:15 PM

Originally posted by thomorino

Of course there are 2 sides, I could care less what teams rushing yards per game are the last 3 games - they've been blowouts and most of those numbers are in garbage time. The run defense looks good and that's what I see, not just yard per game, but also yards per play. I don' see a blowout, but Dallas has covered the spread once all year when Elliot hasn't run for 100 yards, I don't see him doing it here.

So you care about Dallas' last 11 games (mostly the ones that Elliott hasn't hit 100 yards), but don't care about the last three, defensively, of the Saints? That's odd to me.

Blowouts, yes, two of three I'd call blowouts. And those last three games were against a horrid defense (Bengals), a horribly banged up Eagles, and another bottom of the barrel defense in Atlanta.

Don't know, I think it'll be interesting and hopefully Dallas wins.

**thomorino** · 11-29-18, 02:21 PM

Originally posted by magpie878

So you care about Dallas' last 11 games (mostly the ones that Elliott hasn't hit 100 yards), but don't care about the last three, defensively, of the Saints? That's odd to me.

Blowouts, yes, two of three I'd call blowouts. And those last three games were against a horrid defense (Bengals), a horribly banged up Eagles, and another bottom of the barrel defense in Atlanta.

Don't know, I think it'll be interesting and hopefully Dallas wins.

Magpie you're being emotional, you're not listening to what I'm saying. I'm saying I don't take stats at face value in blowouts because there's a lot of yardage in garbage time, of course I care about the Saints last 3 games, I'm not looking at stats from those games or any blowout and taking them at face value.

The Saints have dominated all year, not just against weak defenses. Do I expect a blowout here - no, that's why the line is 7 not double digits. I do think the Saints run defense is for real, they were solid even against Gurley, and I don't think Dallas can move the ball consistently without a running game.

You seem to not be giving the Saints defense any credit for there great games the last couple weeks, the Eagles injuries were mostly on defense, not offense.

**ForumvilleLoL** · 11-29-18, 03:18 PM

Morino & I are exchanging "fuk offs" @ the SBRpoker table.