There's a tennis play tomorrow that simply won't lose

[SBR Lou]

You wont be seeing me lay down that much on a favorite that big either... sorry

It doesn't matter to me if anyone follows, I'm just putting that out there as this is one game I'd stake my reputation as a tennis handicapping evaluator on.

[JRS21386]

It doesn't matter to me if anyone follows, I'm just putting that out there as this is one game I'd stake my reputation as a tennis handicapping evaluator on.

I understand, Im sure its a great pick... I just dont have the bankroll to be throwin down that much on that heavy of a favorite... GL Though

[bettilimbroke999]

I actually agree with the pick but two questions, who is Radwanska (I've never heard of her has she won anything? All I know is somehow she's 11th seed in the tournament) and how did that no-name midget kid comeback from a set down to beat the 6th ranked alien in the world

[SBR Lou]

I actually agree but two probs, wtf is Radwanska and how did this no-name midget kid comeback from a set down to beat the 6th ranked alien in the world

Radwanska is the best 20 year old tennis player in the world, period. People that follow the tour know her game and what she's capable of. The one thing that will hinder her from being a 5+ Slam winner is the fact that she has no answer for someone with a Williams, Ivanovic, or Wozniacki power. She plays great defense, makes very few unforced errors, and just has this consistency in the style she plays that is really quite remarkable to watch. She is not a mental case, won't blow up in a match, she's simply an incredible athlete and "smart" tennis player. She isn't gifting this match to some 17 year old that has already achieved her big "surprise" (take it with a grain of salt, Jankovic blows hot and cold like the rest of them).

[jellobiafra]

...this is one game I'd stake my reputation as a tennis handicapping evaluator on.

No offense, but what reputation is that? All I've seen in the past few weeks is you getting absolutely shit-hammered by taking these huge favorites and losing.

[durito]

Radwanska for the limit at -310

You kidding me? Oudin, a 17 year old midget that capitalized off a choking Jelena Jankovic is actually less than a 3-1 dog to upset the most consistent player she has EVER faced?

This is just highway robbery here for anyone that actually bites on Oudin, I really think the Slams have a tendency to be ''dumbed down'' any time a big favorite and popular player gets upset. We saw the same with Soderlings lines not where they should be after upsetting Nadal, now we see the same ridiculousness on Oudin, a player that is ranked what #150 in the world?

Radwanska will lose to a Williams sister and absolutely nobody else, maybe Wozniacki, that's how damn good and consistent she is. She isn't going to gift this match with unforced errors, horrible horrible match up for Oudin. Cinderella going home.

-310 is a pinnacle number like you always use (but can't bet).

The current limit is to win $5,000. That's a $15,500 risk. You want us to believe you are betting 8 months salary on one tennis match?

[SBR Lou]

-310 is a pinnacle number like you always use (but can't bet).

The current limit is to win $5,000. That's a $15,500 risk. You want us to believe you are betting 8 months salary on one tennis match?

Watch where it closes.

[yisman]

It doesn't matter to me if anyone follows, I'm just putting that out there as this is one game I'd stake my reputation as a tennis handicapping evaluator on.

[durito]

Watch where it closes.

Do you even bet at all?

[Spanks]

Lou,laying juice like that on heavy favs is ridiculous...anyone can lose in tennis as the other poster said when Soderling beat Nadal recently...if a player is off ,you are done for...women can be very much like that as seen with Jelena...she was -1500 juice...-1500 to win 100 is not good....and -310 to win 100 isnt much better...you got better value on a dog like Momo at + money if anything...

[valdosta]

Radawanska has without a doubt the worst 2nd serve of any top 12 women. She had some serves less than 60 miles and hour against Li Na. She's consistent and all that but jesus she is weak.

[j0hnnyv]

you either bet the dog here or you move on. not worth it. oudin's miracle run could continue and why be on the wrong side of that

[KingRevolver]

If Oudin wins tomorrow - this thread is going to explode with laughter.

This is Lou sweeping up all the chalk

[SBR Lou]

Radawanska has without a doubt the worst 2nd serve of any top 12 women. She had some serves less than 60 miles and hour against Li Na. She's consistent and all that but jesus she is weak.

Like I said her strong point is not her power, and that is why she is so weak against players with dominant power, but thing is a lot of players that fit that criteria i.e. Ivanovic are so wildly inconsistent and commit so many errors that the consistency and coolness of Radwanska is always going to be a major plus particularly in the WTA.

Either way, Oudin definitely isn't going to be blasting Radwanska off the court and will find herself outmatched only this time once she gets down the first set there will be no miracle comeback.

[KingRevolver]

Don't let these guys bother you, Louie.

[KingRevolver]

Only tennis I'm betting tomorrow will be BERDYCH +145

[head_strong]

I'll give it a shot, why not.....

PARLAY 3
Agnieszka Radwanska -310
Serena Williams -900
Roger Federer -1800
(2Units to win 1.2Units)

Surprised by the big discrepancy in the lines from different books:
SportsBetting: Federer -1200 & S.Williams -900
5Dimes: Federer -1580 & S.Williams -795
Blowdog: Federer -3000 & S.Williams -1200

GL CrazyLou

[jayc88]

gl lou, radwanska might be -400 at the beginning of the match ,
looks like you have spotted some value

[jayc88]

3-1 oudin , will crazy jinx lou strike again?

[SBR Lou]

Radwanska wins in straight sets 64 75.

Closed at -361, durito.

[rake922]

Lou what book did you use for this wager

[The General]

Nice pick

[head_strong]

Thanks CrazyLou I know very little if anything about tennis, you talked a big game and backed it up and I appreciate it. I hate tailing blindly but it was too hard to ignore your confidence putting yourself out there like that, much the same way you did with your bold statement Nadal wouldn't win the French. Thanks again and good luck the rest of the way.

[bettilimbroke999]

Nice pick

[SexyMit]

Lou what book did you use for this wager

He doesn't bet, he just gives us losers consistantly! Why would he bet when he loses high chalk regularly?

[yisman]

It doesn't matter to me if anyone follows, I'm just putting that out there as this is one game I'd stake my reputation as a tennis handicapping evaluator on.

Seeing as your reputation was someone who was good fade material, I'm afraid you just lost it.

[SBR Lou]

Seeing as your reputation was someone who was good fade material, I'm afraid you just lost it.

Yeah a -310 bet that I was sure would move as I was quite confident in the play that later closed at over -375 most shops and closed at -361 at Pinnacle sports further cements my reputation as a short-term losing poster.

Not to mention the play won in straight sets, although that's not really relevant.

[yisman]

You lost your reputation, Lou.

Posting a winner ruined it for you.

You staked your reputation on it and lost. Find a new line of work, buddy.

[rake922]

He doesn't bet, he just gives us losers consistantly! Why would he bet when he loses high chalk regularly?

then why did he say for the max

[SBR Lou]

then why did he say for the max

Always amusing when posters weigh in with their "insight" into who bets what and where. Don't ask them where I'm playing or for how much, not because they aren't valid questions but because they don't know.

[rake922]

I asked you directly in post#56

[durito]

Always amusing when posters weigh in with their "insight" into who bets what and where. Don't ask them where I'm playing or for how much, not because they aren't valid questions but because they don't know.

It's even more amusing when clueless idiots that make 27k a year try and pretend they are betting 15k at a line they can't even get if they wanted it.

[j0hnnyv]

nice call Lou.

[pavyracer]

Ivo Karlovic -146

This is the lock for tomorrow.

[ZXCVBNM]

Easy betting day today really. Very little upsets.