Advice on capping Corner Totals in soccer

[Optional]

Easy win. Only 2 corners. Very slow game in the first half as expected.

First half seems to be more predictable corner wise in these games.

[Chi_archie]

off the topic of thread

but related Q

overall, what % of corners have resulted in goals in high level soccer matches over the course of time?

anyone know a site for stats like that?

[Optional]

off the topic of thread

but related Q

overall, what % of corners have resulted in goals in high level soccer matches over the course of time?

anyone know a site for stats like that?

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/fancy-stats/wp/2014/06/17/what-is-a-corner-kick-worth-in-soccer/

Washington post says about 3% conversion rate to goals.

[Chi_archie]

awesome! thanks so much for the reply.

interesting stuff in there

Out of 10,969 crosses from the corner, the vast majority did not even produce a shot. They went long, got cleared, or caromed around the penalty area before going out of play harmlessly. Only 12 percent of these corners produced a legitimate shot attempt. Simply getting a shot away from a corner kick is an accomplishment. Of the 1,362 shots directly assisted by corners, 182 were knocked home for goals. So that’s a scoring rate of about 13 percent for shots assisted by corner kicks. And an overall rate of goals scored from corner kicks of a little less than 2 percent.

Now, this is not the only way to score from a corner. Most obviously, a goal can be scored after a flick-on, a slight touch to redirect the corner kick such as the one by Abel Aguilar that set up Teofilo Gutierrez for Colombia’s second goal against Greece. There can also be the goal mouth scramble, or the short corner which leads quickly to a good chance. Opta classifies these chances as following “a corner kick situation,” and they show the value of a corner kick to be slightly higher than the 2percent cited above.

[Alfa1234]

In a Belgian soccer TV program the other day, it was mentioned (with the exact stats but I can't find them now) there are actually more goals scored for the opposing team on a counter right after a corner, than from the actual corner itself. This was for this past season though and I believe it was for all the major European leagues (including Belgium). They mentioned it in regards to that late Chadli goal for Belgium VS Japan, right after the Japan corner.

[tsty]

What's the max bet on these?

[Alfa1234]

Roughly 750€ for the 1H.

[tsty]

Roughly 750€ for the 1H.

Then what's the point?

[Alfa1234]

Then what's the point?

You little troll.

If you only bet things with a limit over 2k, you won't find a lot of edges now will you? As you are probably well aware, higher limits means more efficient markets.

I have no problem placing a 100€ limit bet on some obscure market if I know there is a lot of value in it.

[Alfa1234]

Once again I'm on the under 4.5 corners FH in the Sweden VS England game @+104. I expect England to start furiously but their lack of quality won't allow them to get into the box vs that Sweden defense. An early goal could actually help with this in case they do get through.

[Optional]

Once again I'm on the under 4.5 corners FH in the Sweden VS England game @+104. I expect England to start furiously but their lack of quality won't allow them to get into the box vs that Sweden defense. An early goal could actually help with this in case they do get through.

Good luck. Took England, Ov .5 and Ov6.5 match corners +120 for my parlay

[JayLA]

Once again I'm on the under 4.5 corners FH in the Sweden VS England game @+104. I expect England to start furiously but their lack of quality won't allow them to get into the box vs that Sweden defense. An early goal could actually help with this in case they do get through.

This is at 1.80 at my book. Nice odds

[Alfa1234]

This is at 1.80 at my book. Nice odds

Currently at +100 at Maxbet.

[Alfa1234]

Another easy win. 3 corners first half. 2 in the last minute. I was about to hedge out when the line first hit 2.0 but then England got their first corner and scored so I was too late...let it run.

[Optional]

both winners.

Have Croatia/Ov.5/Ov 9.5 corners +350 in next game.

[keely85]

Does extra time corners count towards total?

[keely85]

Omg huge fukk up there. Cash one

[keely85]

Omg back to back

[Alfa1234]

Does extra time corners count towards total?

Overtime yes (as in the few minutes played after each half). Half hour extra time does not.

[danshan11]

any bet is worthwhile if it has an edge, if you cant determine a fair line, you can surely bet it and win. How do you create a fair edge, you need to model it and create a fair line
Step 1 create your own line prior to 100 games
step 2 compare your line to the 100 games lines once they close
step 3 see how far off you are on average and in a certain direction
step 4 bet on the way your line is off
step 5 get pissed refill your book account
step 6 go back to step 1 but tweak your guesses

[packerd_00]

Corners can be a abit of a crap shoot,dont know if theirs really a solid technique to it.

[danshan11]

its all about that edge, if you can get an edge you can bet ANYTHING