Eagles +4.5 is the safest play imho

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • homie1975
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 12-24-13
    • 15452

    #1
    Eagles +4.5 is the safest play imho
    Everything has been said. No need to rehash. Play the fawken game now.
  • seaborneq
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 09-08-06
    • 22556

    #2
    I like it. Wouldn't be surprised if Eagles won outright by double digits
    Comment
    • grease lightnin
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-01-12
      • 16015

      #3
      Safe never seems like the right word to use re: sports betting.

      But if you like Eagles... +6 was safer. Lol
      Comment
      • homie1975
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-24-13
        • 15452

        #4
        Originally posted by grease lightnin
        Safe never seems like the right word to use re: sports betting.

        But if you like Eagles... +6 was safer. Lol
        Note the word "safest" not "safe". Nothing in gambling is safe. There are degrees, Brother. All plays are tricky but this appears to me as the safest play in a sea of danger
        Comment
        • GzaTheGenius
          SBR MVP
          • 02-12-13
          • 4181

          #5
          No safe words during a rape

          And that's what this will be

          Tom Brady fukking the Iggles
          Comment
          • KVB
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 05-29-14
            • 74817

            #6
            I see what you're saying Homie.

            There are alternate lines that are much "safer" in that they have a better chance of winning.

            But you have to pay for that safety. Risk/reward becomes shitty.

            The standard spread was perhaps "safer" at +6.5 or +6, but that's in the past.

            Good Luck Homie

            Comment
            • KVB
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 05-29-14
              • 74817

              #7
              Originally posted by GzaTheGenius
              No safe words during a rape

              And that's what this will be

              Tom Brady fukking the Iggles
              Comment
              • homie1975
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-24-13
                • 15452

                #8
                Originally posted by KVB
                I see what you're saying Homie.

                There are alternate lines that are much "safer" in that they have a better chance of winning.

                But you have to pay for that safety. Risk/reward becomes shitty.

                The standard spread was perhaps "safer" at +6.5 or +6, but that's in the past.

                Good Luck Homie

                It was never available at better than +5 to the general public
                Comment
                • 2daBank
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 01-26-09
                  • 88966

                  #9
                  I thought this way last week, more I thought about I decided pats ml was safest. Little worried this could be 1st time they beat a team by a td or more. Gl
                  Comment
                  • KVB
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 05-29-14
                    • 74817

                    #10
                    Originally posted by homie1975
                    It was never available at better than +5 to the general public
                    This is not true.

                    The 6.5 lines were out at a few places for a bit of time. The 6 lines were available at more houses for even a longer time. Some places traded between 5.5 and 6, back and forth. I saw this first hand on my screens.

                    I own +6.5 and +6 and know plenty who hit limits at those numbers.

                    Good Luck!

                    Comment
                    • grease lightnin
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-01-12
                      • 16015

                      #11
                      Originally posted by homie1975
                      It was never available at better than +5 to the general public

                      Pretty sure I saw +5.5
                      Comment
                      • KVB
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 05-29-14
                        • 74817

                        #12
                        Originally posted by 2daBank
                        I thought this way last week, more I thought about I decided pats ml was safest. Little worried this could be 1st time they beat a team by a td or more. Gl

                        One thing's for sure...The NE monelyine may very well be the best deal out there when it comes to an assessment of value to the market based on past numbers.

                        It usually happens with the Superbowl, especially with lines inside of a TD. The market takes a lot of moneyline upset bets and spread favorite bets.

                        This tends to separate the favorite moneyline price from it's normally tied to spread number. We tend to get some kind of value there.

                        I'm not one to judge the value or assess a line after the game result, but if it is a NE blow out, that moneyline price will at least FEEL like a good deal.

                        Good Luck Banker

                        Comment
                        • 2daBank
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-26-09
                          • 88966

                          #13
                          Originally posted by KVB
                          One thing's for sure...The NE monelyine may very well be the best deal out there when it comes to an assessment of value to the market based on past numbers.

                          It usually happens with the Superbowl, especially with lines inside of a TD. The market takes a lot of moneyline upset bets and spread favorite bets.

                          This tends to separate the favorite moneyline price from it's normally tied to spread number. We tend to get some kind of value there.

                          I'm not one to judge the value or assess a line after the game result, but if it is a NE blow out, that moneyline price will at least FEEL like a good deal.

                          Good Luck Banker

                          I honestly did a 180, I initially thought philly but drug my feet and missed good number you got. Once pats ml started coming down to around -200 (I actually got in at -190), I couldn't resist. Even when I liked philly w the points I always figured pats prob win.

                          In few months we will see the uninformed laying more chalk than that on some random baseball game!! Regardless how it plays out I'm happy with my decision, certainly feel like I got some good value as Brady beating foles has to be well north of 66% likely!! Hopefully we both cash, gl to you as well buddy.
                          Comment
                          • homie1975
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-24-13
                            • 15452

                            #14
                            Originally posted by grease lightnin
                            Pretty sure I saw +5.5
                            The last widely available 5.5's I saw were on sunday night 1/21 right after the championship games about 3 hrs after the Philly gm. I was not ready to bet it then. 4 5 is tye best number in the past 7 days widely available
                            Comment
                            • homie1975
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-24-13
                              • 15452

                              #15
                              Originally posted by kvb
                              this is not true.

                              The 6.5 lines were out at a few places for a bit of time. The 6 lines were available at more houses for even a longer time. Some places traded between 5.5 and 6, back and forth. I saw this first hand on my screens.

                              I own +6.5 and +6 and know plenty who hit limits at those numbers.

                              Good luck!



                              good god what a stomach on this babe
                              Comment
                              • homie1975
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 12-24-13
                                • 15452

                                #16
                                Originally posted by GzaTheGenius
                                No safe words during a rape

                                And that's what this will be

                                Tom Brady fukking the Iggles
                                Comment
                                • homie1975
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 12-24-13
                                  • 15452

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                  I honestly did a 180, I initially thought philly but drug my feet and missed good number you got. Once pats ml started coming down to around -200 (I actually got in at -190), I couldn't resist. Even when I liked philly w the points I always figured pats prob win.

                                  In few months we will see the uninformed laying more chalk than that on some random baseball game!! Regardless how it plays out I'm happy with my decision, certainly feel like I got some good value as Brady beating foles has to be well north of 66% likely!! Hopefully we both cash, gl to you as well buddy.
                                  always trust your first instinct
                                  Comment
                                  • homie1975
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-24-13
                                    • 15452

                                    #18
                                    Winner!!
                                    Comment
                                    • 2daBank
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 01-26-09
                                      • 88966

                                      #19
                                      Nice call bro
                                      Comment
                                      • clockwise1965
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 10-01-13
                                        • 6753

                                        #20
                                        Your money.. never bet this one.
                                        Comment
                                        • ikid2groove415
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 01-08-18
                                          • 11981

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by homie1975
                                          good god what a stomach on this babe
                                          She has a nice body !! Avg face
                                          Comment
                                          • homie1975
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 12-24-13
                                            • 15452

                                            #22
                                            Pats backers are u healed yet from getting your shit shoved in your face? ??
                                            Comment
                                            • KVB
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 05-29-14
                                              • 74817

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by ikid2groove415
                                              She has a nice body !! Avg face
                                              I wonder what her "O" face looks like.

                                              Either way, the natural fan pics are always a little hotter than those airbrushed cheerleader pics.

                                              Well, maybe not always.

                                              Good job Homie, points weren't even needed.

                                              Comment
                                              Search
                                              Collapse
                                              SBR Contests
                                              Collapse
                                              Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                              Collapse
                                              Working...