UCLA -3 at Memphis

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  • grease lightnin
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-01-12
    • 16015

    #1
    UCLA -3 at Memphis
    UCLA doesn't have the best D, I know, but Memphis D didn't do much better vs UL Monroe. They barely won.

    I would ask for people to talk me out of it but I already hit it for 1.66 units

    So... tell me how I made a mistake.
  • Husker36
    SBR MVP
    • 12-02-08
    • 3846

    #2
    One of my top plays
    Comment
    • unde0087
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 03-27-08
      • 28956

      #3
      It is UCLA so you know how that can turn out. Having said that, the difference in the recruits on paper aren't even close. This appears to be the game of the week that is too good to be true. Good luck on it Greaser
      Comment
      • grease lightnin
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-01-12
        • 16015

        #4
        Yeah it does look fishy, unde, but I figured look-ahead to Stanford and shitty D, so...
        Comment
        • Snowball
          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
          • 11-15-09
          • 30058

          #5
          yeah, this stuck out for me also.

          always tough on the road.

          Does Memphis have a strong pass rush ?
          Comment
          • grease lightnin
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-01-12
            • 16015

            #6
            Originally posted by Snowball
            Does Memphis have a strong pass rush ?
            Allowed 279 yds to UL Monroe
            Comment
            • Sam Odom
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-30-05
              • 58063

              #7
              Good Luck , greasy
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              • Snowball
                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                • 11-15-09
                • 30058

                #8
                Originally posted by grease lightnin
                Allowed 279 yds to UL Monroe
                hammer time.
                UCLA while 3 lasts.
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                • TheChamp1
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 08-20-15
                  • 811

                  #9
                  Originally posted by grease lightnin
                  UCLA doesn't have the best D, I know, but Memphis D didn't do much better vs UL Monroe. They barely won.

                  I would ask for people to talk me out of it but I already hit it for 1.66 units

                  So... tell me how I made a mistake.
                  Be careful. Memphis' offense is explosive. They played UL Monroe in driving rain from Harvey. Monroe scored 2 junk TD's against Memphis' 4th string in the 4th quarter. Game wasn't close. Vegas isn't stupid
                  Comment
                  • USCPHILLYGUY
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-15-12
                    • 21746

                    #10
                    Originally posted by TheChamp1
                    Be careful. Memphis' offense is explosive. They played UL Monroe in driving rain from Harvey. Monroe scored 2 junk TD's against Memphis' 4th string in the 4th quarter. Game wasn't close. Vegas isn't stupid
                    Greaser doesn't cap games based on logic....the dart landed on UCLA this week so that's the play
                    Comment
                    • JIBBBY
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-10-09
                      • 83686

                      #11
                      UCLA is tough and is showing heart this year, 2-0 so far, spanked Hawaii last week.. I think they can take Memphis and out score them also Greaser..

                      UCLA at Memphis
                      Sat 9/16 137 UCLA -3 -105 -145 o70½ -110
                      12:00PM 138 Memphis +3 -115 +125 u70½ -110
                      Comment
                      • grease lightnin
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-01-12
                        • 16015

                        #12
                        Originally posted by USCPHILLYGUY
                        Greaser doesn't cap games based on logic....the dart landed on UCLA this week so that's the play

                        Solid analysis.

                        Thanks for your addition to the discussion old fella.
                        Comment
                        • gojetsgomoxies
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-04-12
                          • 4222

                          #13
                          same reaction as OP.............. memphis is very scrappy. probably good under-the-radar recruits as it's a great geographic area. UCLA is chronic underachiever but maybe that's changed now..

                          i do like UCLA though.
                          Comment
                          • Eddy Munny
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 08-13-13
                            • 15768

                            #14
                            One of those games where Vegas is either going to look really sharp, or really stupid.
                            Comment
                            • maggiethebestdog
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 12-21-13
                              • 6700

                              #15
                              The spread looks right to me. If Sumlin wasn't the worst, most gutless coach in history, Memphis is -3. They destroyed ULM in terrible weather. I personally wouldn't touch the game. I hope you win, though.
                              Comment
                              • grease lightnin
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-01-12
                                • 16015

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Eddy Munny
                                One of those games where Vegas is either going to look really sharp, or really stupid.
                                Well they are 5-9 ats 2016, through 1st game of this season so it seems they have been overvaluing them...
                                Comment
                                • grease lightnin
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-01-12
                                  • 16015

                                  #17
                                  91% on UCLA. Line has only moved .5 a point.

                                  Yikes.
                                  Comment
                                  • Wheatgrass
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 07-05-17
                                    • 507

                                    #18
                                    Adam RittenbergESPN Staff Writer

                                    UCLA will travel Thursday night to Memphis in an effort to adjust to the time zone for Saturday's kickoff (9 a.m. Pacific time on ABC) against the Tigers. The Bruins will have a Friday morning workout and operate on a schedule designed to get them acclimated as best as possible for the game at the Liberty Bowl.


                                    Comment
                                    • unde0087
                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                      • 03-27-08
                                      • 28956

                                      #19
                                      Greaser, I hope to God you don't get UCLAed
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                                      • Cougsky17
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 05-26-10
                                        • 135

                                        #20
                                        Wrong.Team.Favored.
                                        Comment
                                        • t-wizzle
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 12-18-09
                                          • 38099

                                          #21
                                          Looks like a stone Memphis line.
                                          Comment
                                          • JIBBBY
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-10-09
                                            • 83686

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Wheatgrass
                                            Adam RittenbergESPN Staff Writer

                                            UCLA will travel Thursday night to Memphis in an effort to adjust to the time zone for Saturday's kickoff (9 a.m. Pacific time on ABC) against the Tigers. The Bruins will have a Friday morning workout and operate on a schedule designed to get them acclimated as best as possible for the game at the Liberty Bowl.


                                            Most of these college kids are at class at 9am so I don't think it's gonna make a difference..
                                            Comment
                                            • Roscoe_Word
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-28-12
                                              • 3999

                                              #23
                                              I was lookin at the 16 day rest MEM will have, but I don't think that will matter. GL with that pic.
                                              Comment
                                              • Mike2332
                                                SBR Hustler
                                                • 07-20-17
                                                • 78

                                                #24
                                                This seems like one of the toughest games on the board........I would almost rather give -7 @UCLA than -3 @Memphis
                                                Comment
                                                • grease lightnin
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-01-12
                                                  • 16015

                                                  #25
                                                  Well major public play according to scores and odds, but SBR consensus looks somewhat split.

                                                  This is a good thing
                                                  Comment
                                                  • jjgold
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 07-20-05
                                                    • 388179

                                                    #26
                                                    Over might be a good bet too

                                                    UCLA ALSO
                                                    Comment
                                                    • funnyb25
                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                      • 07-09-09
                                                      • 39663

                                                      #27
                                                      Worried
                                                      Comment
                                                      • grease lightnin
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-01-12
                                                        • 16015

                                                        #28
                                                        Fock when homers are worried I get worried
                                                        Comment
                                                        • USCPHILLYGUY
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 12-15-12
                                                          • 21746

                                                          #29
                                                          Why are you taken what they did v UL Monroe? SC looked like shit v W. Michigan- played Stanford the next week - line went down to 4.5 & we hammered SC. Game was played in a hurricane & im sure these kids didn't get up for the game. UCLA D is horrible. The winning TD v A&M shouldn't have counted & they beat a horrible Hawaii team. Better games on the board brother

                                                          Im on Liverpool ML this afternoon. Good luck.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Snowball
                                                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                            • 11-15-09
                                                            • 30058

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by JIBBBY
                                                            Most of these college kids are at class at 9am so I don't think it's gonna make a difference..
                                                            that's right - and it's only 2 hours.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • TPowell
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 02-21-08
                                                              • 18842

                                                              #31
                                                              Wow do you guys do any research at all?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • grease lightnin
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 10-01-12
                                                                • 16015

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by TPowell
                                                                Wow do you guys do any research at all?
                                                                Care to elaborate?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • TPowell
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 02-21-08
                                                                  • 18842

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by grease lightnin
                                                                  Care to elaborate?

                                                                  All these guys on ucla and can't figure out why the spread is so "low"
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • grease lightnin
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-01-12
                                                                    • 16015

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by TPowell
                                                                    All these guys on ucla and can't figure out why the spread is so "low"

                                                                    I think we figured it out.

                                                                    But don't talk shit, because we've all seen you get buried more than dog bones suhn.

                                                                    Seriously though, the line does look low to me. Which is why I bet UCLA.

                                                                    You on Memohis?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • BeatTheJerk
                                                                      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                      • 08-19-07
                                                                      • 31794

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Fishy baity line, so many other games to choose from that don't seem so suspect. Definitely a intriguing game to watch.
                                                                      Comment
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