I will lay -3 (-150) with Michigan this afternoon.

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  • Snowball
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 11-15-09
    • 30058

    #1
    I will lay -3 (-150) with Michigan this afternoon.
    angles:

    Starters:
    Much being made of Michigan's lack of returning starters, but that factor
    is likely overestimated, because Michigan is one of the best programs
    in the country. Truly elite programs like Michigan are always stacked
    with real football talent. They recruit and prepare depth at all positions.
    Florida has more serious personnel issues. 10 players suspended for
    misusing school funds include very important offensive weapons WR
    Callaway and RB Scarlett. Moreover, their injury sheet is a mile long.

    Florida is not going into this game with an organized and well-planned unit.
    Their moment where we see their best is likely a month+ away.

    Coaching:
    Jim Harbaugh. Truly inspirational and perceptive head coach.
    Compare with how the Florida coach McElwain is managing the problems.
    He kept the starting QB competition active until the last minute (Thursday).
    Most expected Malik Zaire, the Notre Dame graduate transfer to start.
    He's been working with the team since June. Instead, Redshirt Freshman
    Felipe Franks gets the nod, a totally unestablished player with the obvious eye
    on future development more than winning now, as in today.
    If this is where McElwain is going, it says something about the nature of this game.
    Being on a neutral field - and the first inter-conference opener for Florida, I suspect
    McElwain is more prepared to accept a loss than Harbaugh is.
    Harbaugh knows how to capitalize against a freshman QB.

    I would be ok with laying 5 but since the buy to -3, covering 3 for push and 4
    brings this line to a palatable (-150).
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #2
    Too much juice on the road
    Comment
    • jtoler
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 12-17-13
      • 30967

      #3
      Dang my Blue returning fewest in nation.
      Comment
      • Snowball
        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
        • 11-15-09
        • 30058

        #4
        Originally posted by jjgold
        Too much juice on the road
        what road ? Game is in Texas for both teams.
        Comment
        • Itsamazing777
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 11-14-12
          • 12602

          #5
          Game is in Texas not Florida
          Comment
          • Mac4Lyfe
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 01-04-09
            • 48384

            #6
            Harbaugh is the most overrated coach in CFB. What the hell has this guy done? Come in 3rd in one of the B10 divisions? Didn't UM lose 3 of their last 4 games with his best team on paper last year? Now he has to start over and he's supposed to be better?

            I'm sure the response from UM homers are going to be Harbaugh's stellar NFL record and Stanford. Hell Lovie Smith took team to superbowl. How many superbowls has he won? Memo to all... David Shaw has a better record at Stanford than Harbaugh.

            Don't fall for the 10 suspensions. UF has one of their best offensive and defensive lines in quite some time. They also have some serious playmakers on offense with speed to burn as well. Florida money line for me but best of luck.
            Comment
            • Snowball
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 11-15-09
              • 30058

              #7
              I'm taking a break tonight..
              maybe tomorrow too...

              good job Michigan !

              Comment
              • Shute
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 03-20-17
                • 11835

                #8
                Snowball
                We did it bro!!!!!!
                Comment
                • Plaza23
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 12-29-13
                  • 7392

                  #9
                  Malik Zaire is such a dumb ninja. All you gotta do is NOT turn the ball over that game ends in an Under. What a piece of shit. I hate bad beats, and that was a bad bad bad beat.

                  The offenses in that game had no business hitting an over.
                  Comment
                  • Mac4Lyfe
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-04-09
                    • 48384

                    #10
                    UF offense is as shitty as ever. I don't think I've ever seen a more pitiful bunch.
                    Comment
                    • bstraw53
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 08-18-16
                      • 3

                      #11
                      That game was going over on any score. A safety, a TD or FG for Florida.. hell, if that last FG for Michigan was made with like 6 min to go it would have been over.. far from a bad beat.
                      Comment
                      • Plaza23
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 12-29-13
                        • 7392

                        #12
                        Originally posted by bstraw53
                        That game was going over on any score. A safety, a TD or FG for Florida.. hell, if that last FG for Michigan was made with like 6 min to go it would have been over.. far from a bad beat.
                        Florida had no chance at scoring. Their offense scored 3 points the entire game. The game had 3 defensive TDs. That as horseshit of over as can be.

                        All that dumb QB had to do was simply not turn the ball over. Because Michigan was going to kneel on it even if they got the ball back at the 5 yard line. Yes, Michigan's FG kicker missed a couple FGs, but he also hit 2 50+ yarders. When you cap games, you don't anticipate 3 defensive Tds.
                        Comment
                        • xdodger19
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-20-12
                          • 18012

                          #13
                          replay

                          Comment
                          • xdodger19
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-20-12
                            • 18012

                            #14
                            post game recap

                            Comment
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